Morning BriefingThe US Treasury Yields have come down sharply. The fall is happening first in line with our expectation. They can dip more to test their support and then resume the broader uptrend. The US PCE data release today will need a watch. The German Yields can also come down from current levels to test their support. Thereafter a fresh rise is possible. The 10Yr GOI is witnessing the corrective fall as expected. It has room to go down further from here. US PCE Price Index M/M
Our October '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct'26 EURUSD Report
In our September 2026 report (4-Sep-26, EURUSD 1.1620), we revised our Euro forecast upwards due to lack of followthrough selling below 1.14. We expected the Euro to range between 1.1980-1.13 for the next 1yr. However, in line with our earlier bearish outlook, the Euro fell sharply to ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Jan'26 USDJPY Report
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct'26 GOI Report
In our 10-Sep-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.98%), we had noted that the Long end of the Curve, viz. the 10Yr GOI was rising due to a number of factors. We said, “Whether the RBI will raise rates on 07-Oct will depend on whether Crude happens to be breaking higher or would have cooled off from $105 to $95”.... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct'26 Crude Oil Report
In our September 2026 report (11-Sep-26, Brent @ $103.84), we had expected Brent to range within $90-115 for the next 1year. Prices were expected to remain elevated, primarily driven by the low volume of vessel transit in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent indeed traded within $109.97 and $90.70 in Sep-26, within our expected range. ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '26 US Treasury Report
Our last report (03-Oct-26, UST10Y 5.28%) warned of increased chances of Brent rising towards $135-145, US Core PCE rising towards 4.5-5.0% and the US10Yr rising towards 5.80% (Dec-26) and 6.00% (Aug-27). While Brent has risen to nearly $117 and the Core PCE (Aug-27) has inched up to 3.01%, we find that US Yields have fallen across .... Read More
