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US Core PCE Price Index

US Core PCE - YoY (%)      
  Expectation  
Date For Market Kshitij Prev Release Rev
13-Mar-26 Jan-26 3.05 2.98 2.97 3.06 3.08
09-Apr-26 Feb-26 3.16 2.91 3.08 2.97 3.00
30-Apr-26 Mar-26 2.93 3.06 3.00 3.20 -
28-May-26 Apr-26 - - 3.20 - -
US Core PCE - MoM (%)      
  Expectation  
Date For Market Kshitij Prev Release Rev
13-Mar-26 Jan-26 0.40 0.25 0.33 0.36 0.42
09-Apr-26 Feb-26 0.50 0.37 0.42 0.37 0.37
30-Apr-26 Mar-26 0.30 0.25 0.37 0.29 -
28-May-26 Apr-26 - - 0.29 - -
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May '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
May '26 Monthly Forecast
Our May '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
May'26 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
May'26 EURUSD Report
In our April 2026 report (13-Apr-26, EURUSD 1.1686), we expected the Euro to rise to 1.1950 by May-26 while retaining our long-term bearishness towards 1.10 by Aug’26. The main reasons were good chances of a rise in the Dollar Index and crude prices. The markets expect the ECB to move ... Read More
January'26 USDJPY Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Jan'26 USDJPY Report
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More
April'26 GOI Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr'26 GOI Report
In our 09-Mar-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.69%) we had warned that the sharp rise in crude due to the US-Iran conflict could push Brent toward $134, which would lift CPI toward ~6.2%, eliminating any chance of RBI easing, and potentially force tightening. This inflation shock, along with higher US yields, was expected to push the 10Yr GOI up to ... Read More
May'26 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
May'26 Crude Oil Report
In our April 2026 edition (7-Apr-26, Brent @ $111.48), we expected Brent to test $89.26 by Jun-26 followed by a rise to $145.13 by Sep-26 before consolidating between the two levels for the rest of the year. As expected, Brent did see a corrective dip to ... Read More
May '26 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
May '26 US Treasury Report
In our last report (28-Mar-26, UST10Yr 4.43%), we had assumed little chances of the USA being able to easily extricate itself from the US-Israel-Iran war, and we said that as long Brent remains above $80, we can look for a sharper rise in the US10Yr towards .... Read More
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