Kshitij US Treasury Reports - Kshitij.com
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US Treasury Forecast
US Treasury Report
Overview
The Kshitij US Treasury Forecast covers movement in US Treasury bond yields and analyses its possible impact on Global Markets providing a macro view of the Global Economy.

Following are few of the charts we analyze in these Reports:
  • Technical Price Charts of US Treasury yield across all tenors.
  • US yield differential and yield curve analysis
  • Correlations of US yields with commodity & currency markets
  • Fundamental economic data and their impact on the overall economy
  • Major updates from the FED impacting interest rates and the economy
September/October'22 US Treasury Report

September/October ' 22 US Treasury Report

Since our last report, Powell’s hawkish stance at the Jackson Hole meeting on 27-Aug has sent yields up sharply, especially the US 2Yr which has risen well past 3.50%. The market now fully expects a 75bp hike in the FFR in today’s FOMC meeting, with a decent part of the market looking for 100bp.

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August'22 US Treasury Report

August ' 22 US Treasury Report

To be fair, Jerome Powell possibly has one of the toughest tenures as the Fed Chairman. While Powell may have erred in believing inflation to be “transitory”, the War pushed inflation beyond expectation. This after battling Covid in 2020 and then trying to sustain recovery through 2021.

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July'22 US Treasury Report

July ' 22 US Treasury Report

The US inflation continues to rise and the Fed is likely to remain aggressive on the rate hikes although a recession in the US is not far away. Under this backdrop, the US Treasury yields have declined sharply in the last one month. Has it made a top or is this a corrective fall within the broader uptrend. We analyse the scenario

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June'22 US Treasury Report

June ' 22 US Treasury Report

US inflation continues to remain high while the Treasury yields have come-off recently after the US Federal Reserve meeting. Can the yields rise back and keep the broader uptrend intact? How high can the US yields and the inflation go? We analyse that in this month report

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May'22 US Treasury Report (2)

May ' 22 US Treasury Report (2)

The US Treasury yields have come down sharply in the last two weeks. Is this a trend reversal or just a corrective fall within the overall downtrend? Where can the yields find support? We look at it in this month's report.

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May'22 US Treasury Report

May ' 22 US Treasury Report

The US inflation stays high, the Fed is turning more hawkish and the Treasury yields are surging on the back of them. How much room is left for the yields to rise from here. Are the yields nearing a top? We analyse what is on the cards for the yields going forward.

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Mar'22 US Treasury Report

Mar ' 22 US Treasury Report

The Russia-Ukraine war has increased the risk aversion and dragged the Treasury yields lower recently. Has the uptrend reversed? Can the yields go up again? Will the geo-political tensions make any change in the US Federal Reserve's stance? We analyse the possibilities in this report

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Jan'22 US Treasury Report

Jan ' 22 US Treasury Report

The surge in the Treasury Yields have gained momentum since the beginning of the New Year 2022. Can this sustain? Will the yields move further higher or see a reversal? We analyse the possibilities in this report

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Dec'21 US Treasury Report

Dec ' 21 US Treasury Report

The US Federal Reserve is all set to increase the pace of the stimulus taper and end it much earlier than expected previously. Can this help the yields to move up sharply from here or will the yields remain subdued on the back of other economic factors? We take a look at that in this month report.

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