In our last report (02-May-25, UST10Yr 4.24%) we had expected the US2Yr to rise to 4% by July and then fall to 3.2% by October. However, the US2Yr has risen to a high of 4.07% already. The US10Yr was expected to be ranged between 4.50-3.90% for a couple of months and then fall towards 3.40% by Nov-25; but it has risen to a high of 4.63% already. Our view has been largely centered on our forecast of Brent falling towards $55 by August. While that is still a possibility, Brent has risen to a high of $66.30 so far instead of falling.
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WHAT'S NEW?
Oct '25 Quarterly Forecast
Our October '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct'25 EURUSD Report
In our September 2025 outlook (15-Sep-25, EURUSD 1.1725), we expected Euro strength to be limited to 1.19/20, to be followed by a decline to 1.12 by Mar-26 and 1.0875 by Jun-26. We had expected a rise in the Euro after an expected ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct'25 USDJPY Report
In our 12-Sep-25 report (USDJPY 147.96), we expected the USDJPY to limit the downside to 144 and ascend towards 155-158 in the coming months. In line with our view, USDJPY limited the downside to ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'25 GOI Report
In our 30-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.57%) we expected Inflation to rise strongly, but the CPI has surprised by falling to 1.54% instead, the lowest level since 2017. The US FED has cut the Fed Rate by ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'25 Crude Oil Report
With sharp decline in Gold and Gold/Brent ratio, will Brent now start moving higher? Or will other geopolitical and global issues continue to weigh and put pressure for a lower crude price? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '25 US Treasury Report
In our last report (09-Oct-25, UST10Yr 4.11%) we continued to expect the FED to cut rates by 25bp-50bp in its 29-Oct
and 10-Dec meetings and for the US10Yr to dip to .... Read More