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June ' 25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (02-May-25, UST10Yr 4.24%) we had expected the US2Yr to rise to 4% by July and then fall to 3.2% by October. However, the US2Yr has risen to a high of 4.07% already. The US10Yr was expected to be ranged between 4.50-3.90% for a couple of months and then fall towards 3.40% by Nov-25; but it has risen to a high of 4.63% already. Our view has been largely centered on our forecast of Brent falling towards $55 by August. While that is still a possibility, Brent has risen to a high of $66.30 so far instead of falling.

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January '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan '26 Quarterly Forecast

Our January '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 EURUSD Report

Brent and EU Inflation has been low in the last few months. If both the EU Inflation and Brent see a gradual rise in 2026, the upside could be ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 GOI Report

In our 04-Dec-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.54%) we conceded that RBI may cut the Repo due to the unexpectedly sharp fall in the Oct-25 CPI to 0.25%. The RBI then indeed ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 Crude Oil Report

Crude prices have been steady and tilted to the downside over the last few months. Hovering near $60, can it gradually move up towards $70? Or could there be room for more fall towards $55/50? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan '26 US Treasury Report

As expected in our last report (09-Dec-25, UST10Yr 4.16%) the US Fed indeed reduced the Fed Rate further by 25bp to 3.75%. We had also said that we expect another .... Read More

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