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US Treasury Report
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June ' 25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (02-May-25, UST10Yr 4.24%) we had expected the US2Yr to rise to 4% by July and then fall to 3.2% by October. However, the US2Yr has risen to a high of 4.07% already. The US10Yr was expected to be ranged between 4.50-3.90% for a couple of months and then fall towards 3.40% by Nov-25; but it has risen to a high of 4.63% already. Our view has been largely centered on our forecast of Brent falling towards $55 by August. While that is still a possibility, Brent has risen to a high of $66.30 so far instead of falling.
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Expected increase in oil supply by OPEC, a possible shallow recession in the US and lower global growth consensus may weigh on the crude prices in the near term and keep it lower. However, we need to keep an eye on the final trade tariff deals between ... Read More
June '25 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
June '25 US Treasury Report
In our last report (02-May-25, UST10Yr 4.24%) we had expected the US2Yr to rise to 4% by July and then fall to 3.2% by October. However, the US2Yr has risen to a high of 4.07% already. The US10Yr was expected to be ranged between .... Read More
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