Kshitij Euro-Dollar Forecast

Euro-Dollar Forecast

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Overview
The Kshitij Euro Report takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving the EURUSD currency pair, and provides a macro view for the next 6 to 12 months. We combine 26 years of currency forecasting experience with 4 forecasting techniques and a consistent research process to arrive at forecasts every month.

Each report contains hard number forecasts for the next 6-12 months, which is very useful for costing and hedging purposes.

We also track these specific numeric forecasts against the actual to understand our performance. Our Forecasts of Dollar-Rupee have achieved 75% reliability (directional + numerical accuracy) in the past 17+ years.

Kshitij.com’s EURUSD forecast has been ranked no. 5 worldwide by Bloomberg for quarter ended June 2023.

December ' 24 Euro Report

In our Nov-24 edition (13-Nov-24, EURUSD @ 1.0615), we expected the Euro to rise from 1.06 and head towards 1.0950-1.11 by Feb-25. However, we had also mentioned that if the political uncertainty in Germany persists along with fresh tariffs by the US along with a rate cut by the ECB in Dec-24, Euro could break below 1.06 to test 1.04.

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November ' 24 Euro Report

After Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections, will the Dollar Index fall in the coming months aiding Euro strength? Or will aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and political uncertainty in Germany and France continue to put downside pressure on the Euro?

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October ' 24 Euro Report

With the EU and US Inflation rates almost reaching the 2% target, will inflation continue to fall? Will the ECB cut rates it its upcoming policy rates next week? Does Euro have more room to fall? Or will it rise back from 1.09 itself?

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September ' 24 Euro Report

With EU Inflation within reach of its 2% target, will ECB cut rates today ahead of the FED policy meeting next week? Or will it skip and target a rate cut in Oct-24? Read the Sep-24 monthly edition to know what we think on the rate cuts by ECB and the FOMC and how Euro can be impacted in the coming months.

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August ' 24 Euro Report

The recent fall in the USDJPY from 162 has been a major trigger for Dollar weakness over the past few weeks which has taken Euro higher as well. Will Dollar Yen continue to decline in the coming months and remain a major influencer on the FX markets for other currencies as well? In that case, will it continue to support Euro strength and Dollar weakness going ahead?

January '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan '25 Quarterly Forecast

Our January '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'24 EURUSD Report

In line with our alternate view in our Nov-24 edition (13-Nov-24, EURUSD @ 1.0615), Euro did break below 1.06 and fell to a low of 1.0333 in Nov-24. However, it could not sustain at the lows and have bounced back well to ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'25 Crude Oil Report

With the US economic data strong and stable, the earlier expected US slowdown has not played out, resulting in the crude price trading higher while above $70 (Brent). While there is uncertainty in the long-term direction for crude, as long as it stays within the range of $67-80 (Brent), we have kept our earlier forecasts intact this month. Supply from the OPEC countries is also likely to remain tight for the next couple of months. Additionally, a rising Dollar could keep the crude at the higher end of its sideways range for now. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan '25 US Treasury Report

Yields have risen across the Curve in line with the anticipations in our Dec-24 report (30-Nov-24, UST10Y 4.18%).Both the US5Yr and US10Yr have risen well as expected. Even the US2Yr has risen, but the rise is a little .... Read More

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