Kshitij Euro-Dollar Forecast

Euro-Dollar Forecast

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Overview
The Kshitij Euro Report takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving the EURUSD currency pair, and provides a macro view for the next 6 to 12 months. We combine 26 years of currency forecasting experience with 4 forecasting techniques and a consistent research process to arrive at forecasts every month.

Each report contains hard number forecasts for the next 6-12 months, which is very useful for costing and hedging purposes.

We also track these specific numeric forecasts against the actual to understand our performance. Our Forecasts of Dollar-Rupee have achieved 74% reliability (directional + numerical accuracy) in the past 19+ years.

Kshitij.com’s EURUSD forecast has been ranked no. 5 worldwide by Bloomberg for quarter ended June 2023.

Jan ' 26 Euro Report

Brent and EU Inflation has been low in the last few months. If both the EU Inflation and Brent see a gradual rise in 2026, the upside could be limited for the Euro. At the same time, we need to keep a close watch on the Dollar Index whether it bounces higher and eventually moves up or continues to stabilize and decline through 2026.

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Dec ' 25 Euro Report

EURUSD has risen on Dollar weakness following the Fed’s 25 bp rate cut. With the Fed signaling one more cut in 2026 before a pause, the pair may remain stable at elevated levels in the near term. Our long-term view, along with detailed supporting factors, is outlined in the Dec-25 edition of the report.

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Nov ' 25 Euro Report

The German-US 2yr yield has been hovering just below crucial resistance. Will it decline sharply from here and suggest Euro weakness? Or can it break higher in the coming months?

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Oct ' 25 Euro Report

In our September 2025 outlook (15-Sep-25, EURUSD 1.1725), we expected Euro strength to be limited to 1.19/20, to be followed by a decline to 1.12 by Mar-26 and 1.0875 by Jun-26. We had expected a rise in the Euro after an expected rate cut by the FED, to be followed by a decline in the Euro. As it turns out, the FED did cut key rate by 25bps on 17-Sep leading to an intra-day rally in the Euro to 1.1919

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Sep ' 25 Euro Report

In our August 2025 outlook (dated 11-Aug-2025, EURUSD at 1.1623), we projected the Euro to strengthen towards 1.19–1.20 over the following months, before retreating to 1.14 by December 2025 and further easing to 1.10 by May 2026. EURUSD began August at a low of 1.1392 and has since climbed to current levels around 1.18.

January '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan '26 Quarterly Forecast

Our January '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 EURUSD Report

Brent and EU Inflation has been low in the last few months. If both the EU Inflation and Brent see a gradual rise in 2026, the upside could be ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 GOI Report

In our 04-Dec-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.54%) we conceded that RBI may cut the Repo due to the unexpectedly sharp fall in the Oct-25 CPI to 0.25%. The RBI then indeed ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 Crude Oil Report

Crude prices have been steady and tilted to the downside over the last few months. Hovering near $60, can it gradually move up towards $70? Or could there be room for more fall towards $55/50? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan '26 US Treasury Report

As expected in our last report (09-Dec-25, UST10Yr 4.16%) the US Fed indeed reduced the Fed Rate further by 25bp to 3.75%. We had also said that we expect another .... Read More

TESTIMONIALS