Kshitij Euro-Dollar Forecast

Euro-Dollar Forecast

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Overview
The Kshitij Euro Report takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving the EURUSD currency pair, and provides a macro view for the next 6 to 12 months. We combine 26 years of currency forecasting experience with 4 forecasting techniques and a consistent research process to arrive at forecasts every month.

Each report contains hard number forecasts for the next 6-12 months, which is very useful for costing and hedging purposes.

We also track these specific numeric forecasts against the actual to understand our performance. Our Forecasts of Dollar-Rupee have achieved 75% reliability (directional + numerical accuracy) in the past 17+ years.

Kshitij.com’s EURUSD forecast has been ranked no. 4 worldwide by Bloomberg for quarter ended March 2018.

May ' 23 Euro Report

EURINR has been holding below resistance near 90.60 and finding it difficult to break above 90.60. Will the pair hold and decline eventually giving more weightage to the resistance near 90.60? Or can the sideways movement be considered as a temporary pause post which we may see a sharp break out on the upside? For detailed report refer to the May23 edition of our monthly report.

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April ' 23 Euro Report

Euro has managed to rise over the last 1-month from levels near 1.05. Net Long/Short position in the market is still high and the long positions are likely to move up. With inflation data coming out lower for Mar-23, it would be important to see the forward guidance from the ECB in its next policy meeting on 4th May 2023. For detailed analysis on Euro, check out our latest April-23 report

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March ' 23 Euro Report

After falling from 1.1033 in Feb-23, Euro has tested 1.0516 so far in Mar-23. Could Euro be ranged below 1.10 for some more time? Can it break below 1.05? Find detailed analysis on the next course of movement for Euro projected in the Mar-23 report

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February ' 23 Euro Report

Euro faced rejection from 1.1033 and has fallen sharply this month. We keep our last month projections intact for the coming months but near-term volatility could be intact. The ECB have raised rates by 50bps in Feb-23 and expect to raise by another 50bps in its Mar-23 policy meeting. Important factors impacting the Euro are analysed in detail in the Feb-23 report with numerical forecasts for the next 12-months.

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January ' 23 Euro Report

The Chinese Yuan has appreciated strongly against the US Dollar over the last couple of months and if it continues, can aid strength in Euro. Important would be to see how long the US Dollar remains weak. Other important things to look at would be action from the central banks especially the ECB and the FED and the falling pace of inflation in the coming months. View our detailed analysis in the Jan-23 report.

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December ' 22 Euro Report

Euro has been rising sharply over the last 2-months and has broken above interim resistance at 1.06. View remains bullish for the coming months. Amplitude over the last 12-months indicate Euro strength which could be aided by Dollar weakness.

WHAT'S NEW?

May'23 Monthly Forecast

Our May'23 Monthly Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

May '23 EURUSD Report

WHAT'S NEW?

June'23 Crude Oil Report

Brent has been ranged since Dec-22 within $90-70 region. OPEC production cut has been implemented this month and the impact can be assessed in the next OPEC meeting scheduled on 4th June 2023.Possibility of economic slowdown could weigh ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

June'23 US Treasury Report

In our Apr-23 report (27-Mar-23, US10Yr @ 3.44%) we had said that (A) the FED’s 2% inflation target is an arbitrary number which was possibly based on the benign post-1980 world of economic co-operation and declining inflation. It is good to see our view being .... Read More

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