The Kshitij Euro Report takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving the EURUSD currency pair, and provides a macro view for the next 6 to 12 months. We combine 26 years of currency forecasting experience with 4 forecasting techniques and a consistent research process to arrive at forecasts every month.
Each report contains hard number forecasts for the next 6-12 months, which is very useful for costing and hedging purposes.
We also track these specific numeric forecasts against the actual to understand our performance. Our Forecasts of Dollar-Rupee have achieved 72% reliability (directional + numerical accuracy) in the past 11 years.
Kshitij.com’s EURUSD forecast has been ranked no. 4 worldwide by Bloomberg for quarter ended March 2018.
September ' 18 Euro Report
Since our last report in July '18, Euro has stayed below 1.176 while the Chinese Yuan, Turkish Lira and Argentinian Peso have seen dramatic falls. Dollar's safe haven status is rising, while far-end bond yields continue to stay sluggish. We analyze German-US yield spreads and positioning by Euro traders to forecast the next move on Euro-Dollar. Crucial indicators on long term Euro-Dollar charts lead to a revision of our earlier view for the coming 12 months.
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July ' 18 Euro Report
The European QE will be ending by Dec '18. The US-China trade wars have commenced. Moreover, Crude's rise hasn't stopped. And, the DAX and DOW continue to range. In this backdrop, how will the Euro react? We analyze this in our July '18 report. Monthly Projections till June '18 included.
May ' 18 Euro Report
Euro has already fallen to 1.175 from its 2018 high of 1.2556. How much further could it dip? Is Euro weakness (and hence, Dollar strength) here to stay in the long term? We answer these questions and give projections till 2019. Supporting factors like the German-US yield spread are also analyzed.
April ' 18 Euro Report
After rising 4% in Jan ’18, EURUSD has ranged between 1.256-1.215 for the last 2.5 months. Is the long term resistance near 1.26 finally going to break? Or will the range break on the downside? We extricate an intriguing divergence in the price movement of Gold/USD and Gold/EURO (since Apr ’17) to forecast the next course of movement for EURUSD. Quarterly forecasts till Mar ’19 included.
February ' 18 Euro Report
As Euro approaches a crucial long term resistance level, we examine factors which could help the Euro stay below this resistance and turn bearish. Our preference, however, is in line with the fractal study given in our Jan ’18 report. We analyze the Gold / Crude ratio and derivatives positioning on CFTC for any indications on Euro’s future course.
January ' 18 Euro Report
EURUSD has risen almost 17.5% since Jan ’17 and 2.8% since the beginning of 2018. We examine an interesting similarity in historical fractals to predict the path for EURUSD in 2018. Also included is an analysis of how the German-US 10 year yield spread could behave and thereby affect the EURUSD pair. Our 2018 forecast for WTI provides further support to our EURUSD view. Quarterly projections till Dec ’18 included.
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SHRI MURLI SARAF
Shyam Group of Companies
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MR RAVIN MODY
Forex reports by KSHITIJ.COM are based on dedicated and in depth analysis of various economic and financial parameters. Hence the judgement, quality, probability and reliability of these forex risk management views are quite high.
MR SURESH CHETTIAR
Sep Monthly Forecast
Our Sep-18 Monthly forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Sep Calendar Wallpaper
Actual global inflation for 2017 came out at 3.8%, much higher than the consensus forecast of 3.27%.However, relative to 2017, inflation is expected to decrease through 2018 to 2020. Could this fall in inflation be a consequence of tightening by major Central Banks globally? ....
Download Sep'18 Wallpaper
Since our last report in July '18, Euro has stayed below 1.176 while the Chinese Yuan, Turkish Lira and Argentinian Peso have seen dramatic falls. We analyze German-US yield spreads and positioning by Euro traders to forecast the next move on Euro-Dollar. ... Read More