Euro-Dollar Forecast
Overview
The Kshitij Euro Report takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving the EURUSD currency pair, and provides a macro view for the next 6 to 12 months. We combine 26 years of currency forecasting experience with 4 forecasting techniques and a consistent research process to arrive at forecasts every month.
Each report contains hard number forecasts for the next 6-12 months, which is very useful for costing and hedging purposes.
We also track these specific numeric forecasts against the actual to understand our performance. Our Forecasts of Dollar-Rupee have achieved 75% reliability (directional + numerical accuracy) in the past 17+ years.
Kshitij.com’s EURUSD forecast has been ranked no. 5 worldwide by Bloomberg for quarter ended June 2023.
March ' 25 Euro Report
The sharp fall in the Dollar Index over the last couple of months especially triggered by tariff announcements by Trump has weighed on most global currencies. Euro has correspondingly rallied much faster and quicker than expected. Will the Dollar Index pause its fall now or continue to decline?
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February ' 25 Euro Report
In our Jan-25 edition (18-Jan-25, EURUSD @ 1.0287), we expected the Euro to come down towards Parity by Mar-25 while below 1.0450 and then rise to 1.06 by Dec-25. In actuality, the EURUSD stayed above 1.025 and rose to 1.0534.
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January ' 25 Euro Report
In our Dec-24 edition (12-Dec-24, EURUSD @ 1.0505), we expected the Euro to limit its downside to 1.0333 and bounce back towards 1.0650-1.08 by Feb-25 followed by an eventual rise to 1.09-1.11 by mid of 2025. But contrary to our expectations, Euro broke below 1.0333 and sustained lower towards 1.01.
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December ' 24 Euro Report
In our Nov-24 edition (13-Nov-24, EURUSD @ 1.0615), we expected the Euro to rise from 1.06 and head towards 1.0950-1.11 by Feb-25. However, we had also mentioned that if the political uncertainty in Germany persists along with fresh tariffs by the US along with a rate cut by the ECB in Dec-24, Euro could break below 1.06 to test 1.04.
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November ' 24 Euro Report
After Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections, will the Dollar Index fall in the coming months aiding Euro strength? Or will aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and political uncertainty in Germany and France continue to put downside pressure on the Euro?
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October ' 24 Euro Report
With the EU and US Inflation rates almost reaching the 2% target, will inflation continue to fall? Will the ECB cut rates it its upcoming policy rates next week? Does Euro have more room to fall? Or will it rise back from 1.09 itself?
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September ' 24 Euro Report
With EU Inflation within reach of its 2% target, will ECB cut rates today ahead of the FED policy meeting next week? Or will it skip and target a rate cut in Oct-24? Read the Sep-24 monthly edition to know what we think on the rate cuts by ECB and the FOMC and how Euro can be impacted in the coming months.
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August ' 24 Euro Report
The recent fall in the USDJPY from 162 has been a major trigger for Dollar weakness over the past few weeks which has taken Euro higher as well. Will Dollar Yen continue to decline in the coming months and remain a major influencer on the FX markets for other currencies as well? In that case, will it continue to support Euro strength and Dollar weakness going ahead?
