Kshitij Euro-Dollar Forecast - Kshitij.com
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Euro-Dollar Forecast
EURUSD Forecast ranked #5 by Bloomberg
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Overview
The Kshitij Euro Report takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving the EURUSD currency pair, and provides a macro view for the next 6 to 12 months. We combine 26 years of currency forecasting experience with 4 forecasting techniques and a consistent research process to arrive at forecasts every month.

Each report contains hard number forecasts for the next 6-12 months, which is very useful for costing and hedging purposes.

We also track these specific numeric forecasts against the actual to understand our performance. Our Forecasts of Dollar-Rupee have achieved 75% reliability (directional + numerical accuracy) in the past 17+ years.

Kshitij.com’s EURUSD forecast has been ranked no. 5 worldwide by Bloomberg for quarter ended June 2023.
November '24 Euro Report

November ' 24 Euro Report

After Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections, will the Dollar Index fall in the coming months aiding Euro strength? Or will aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and political uncertainty in Germany and France continue to put downside pressure on the Euro?

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October '24 Euro Report

October ' 24 Euro Report

With the EU and US Inflation rates almost reaching the 2% target, will inflation continue to fall? Will the ECB cut rates it its upcoming policy rates next week? Does Euro have more room to fall? Or will it rise back from 1.09 itself?

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September '24 Euro Report

September ' 24 Euro Report

With EU Inflation within reach of its 2% target, will ECB cut rates today ahead of the FED policy meeting next week? Or will it skip and target a rate cut in Oct-24? Read the Sep-24 monthly edition to know what we think on the rate cuts by ECB and the FOMC and how Euro can be impacted in the coming months.

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August '24 Euro Report

August ' 24 Euro Report

The recent fall in the USDJPY from 162 has been a major trigger for Dollar weakness over the past few weeks which has taken Euro higher as well. Will Dollar Yen continue to decline in the coming months and remain a major influencer on the FX markets for other currencies as well? In that case, will it continue to support Euro strength and Dollar weakness going ahead?

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July '24 Euro Report

July ' 24 Euro Report

The Euro has risen well in July, especially after a lower US CPI data as the Dollar Index declined sharply. Will the Euro continue its current rise beyond 1.09? EURJPY has fallen sharply from 175.42 last week. Will it continue to decline from here? Or could there be some more upside to 180/182 before reversing? Read our detailed analysis in the July-24 edition of the Euro Report.

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June '24 Euro Report

June ' 24 Euro Report

In our May-24 report (13-May-24, EURUSD @ 1.0773), we had expected Euro to remain ranged within 1.08-1.06 for a couple of months before seeing a slow rise to 1.10-1.12 by the end of the year with Euro maintaining above 1.06. Mostly in line with expectation, the Euro moved up, but beyond 1.08 to test 1.0916 before coming off sharply to 1.0720 after the US NFP data on 07-June

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May '24 Euro Report

May ' 24 Euro Report

Euro remained volatile between 1.09 and 1.06 over the last 1 month and has again moved up to test immediate resistance at 1.08. Will Euro break higher to again head towards 1.10? Or will it fall back to 1.06?

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April '24 Euro Report

April ' 24 Euro Report

Euro could not move above 1.0981 in March and has been trading well below 1.10 post the surprise rate cut by SNB last month. Will Euro continue to trade below 1.10? Or can it remain stable for a while and show a sharp breakout above 1.10?

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March '24 Euro Report

March ' 24 Euro Report

Euro has moved up from 1.0695 to 1.10 during the current Jan-Mar'24 quarter. With crucial resistance at 1.10, will Euro manage to rise past 1.10 and move higher? Or will it fall back into the 1.0695-1.10 range? We have laid out a few important factors and given our preferences with detailed analysis in the Mar-24 report.

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February '24 Euro Report

February ' 24 Euro Report

Dovish comments from FED in its Dec-23 meeting has triggered a rise in the Euro and fall in US Dollar as the FED has hinted at 3-rate cuts in 2024. It would be important to see if the Euro continues to rise from current levels or falls back to trade within the earlier range.

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For subscribers in India
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For subscribers elsewhere
December '23 Euro Report

December ' 23 Euro Report

Dovish comments from FED in its Dec-23 meeting has triggered a rise in the Euro and fall in US Dollar as the FED has hinted at 3-rate cuts in 2024. It would be important to see if the Euro continues to rise from current levels or falls back to trade within the earlier range.



November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 Monthly Forecast
Our November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
November '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
November '24 EURUSD Report
After Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections, will the Dollar Index fall in the coming months aiding Euro strength? Or will aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and political uncertainity in Germany and France continue to put downside pressure on the Euro? ...Read More
November'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'24 Crude Oil Report
In our Oct-24 report (3-Oct-24, Brent $74.98), we had expected Brent to trade within $80-60 in the coming months. We had laid out a possibility of downside extension to $55-50 in case of a US recession in the Jan-Mar’25 quarter. Else a shallow recession or slowdown could limit the downside to $60. Brent remained above the Sep-24 low of $68.68 through Oct-24 trading within the broad $81.16-69.91 region, in line with our broader mentioned range of $80-60. ... Read More
November '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 US Treasury Report
In our Oct-24 report (01-Oct-24, US10Yr @ 3.79%), we had said that in contrast with history, there were no immediate signs of a US recession and the earlier it could set in might be in Jan-Mar 2025, or maybe even later. We also favored just a slowdown, or at most a shallow recession. In accordance with this, the US data in October has been mixed to strong .... Read More
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