In our Nov-24 edition (13-Nov-24, EURUSD @ 1.0615), we expected the Euro to rise from 1.06 and head towards 1.0950-1.11 by Feb-25. However, we had also mentioned that if the political uncertainty in Germany persists along with fresh tariffs by the US along with a rate cut by the ECB in Dec-24, Euro could break below 1.06 to test 1.04. In line with our alternate view, Euro did break below 1.06 and fell to a low of 1.0333 in Nov-24. However, it could not sustain at the lows and have bounced back well to trade above 1.0450.
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WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '25 Monthly Forecast
Our March '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'25 EURUSD Report
The sharp fall in the Dollar Index over the last couple of months especially triggered by tariff announcements by Trump has weighed on most global currencies. Euro has correspondingly rallied much faster and quicker than expected. Will the Dollar Index pause its fall now or continue to decline? ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'25 Crude Oil Report
Crude is headed towards the lower end of the sideways range. Will the range continue to hold and push the crude prices up with a limited downside in the near term? Or can prices break below the support levels and establish any fresh lows in the coming months? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '25 US Treasury Report
As per the more preferred path in our last report (03-Feb-25, UST10Yr 4.55%) we were looking for the US10Yr to rise to 5.25% by May-25. This does not seem to be working out just. Rather, the alternative less preferred path, wherein the US10Yr could fall in Feb-25 itself .... Read More