Kshitij Consultancy Services
Economic Calendar


Chances of something happening: Actual and Perceived

If something has <25% chances of happening, people think there are greater chances of it happening. On the other hand, something with a higher probability, is perceived to be less likely than it actually is. Our forecasts have a Reliability of 72%. So clients follow the advice 54% of the times. We aim to increase our reliability to 80%. Then clients will follow the advise 60% of the time.
JULY - 2019
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
  1:30 7:00 JP PMI   49.04 49.5 49.5 49.3
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   53.0 51.7 52.7 52.1
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   47.6 48.9 48.6 47.7
3-Jul-19 0:30 6:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 5.17 5.25 4.82 5.75
  14:00 19:30 BOC Meeting % - 1.75 1.75 1.75
  18:00 23:30 FOMC Meeting Minutes          
15-Jul-19 2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales   - 8.5 8.6 9.8
  2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY)   - 5.2 5.0 6.3
  2:00 7:30 CN GDP   - 6.20 6.4 6.2
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 2.18 2.35 2.45 2.02
  12:30 18:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -16.88 -15.64 -15.36 -15.28
16-Jul-19 8:30 14:00 UK Unemp % 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 16.4 15.7 20.2
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.77 0.20 0.33 0.36
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.29 0.10 0.37 0.0
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.18 78.2 78.1 77.9
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 32.3 46.91 3.53
17-Jul-19 8:30 14:00 UK CPI Y/Y % 2.14 2.00 1.98 1.98
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 1.44 1.20 1.22 1.27
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1231 1260 1265 1253
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 2.8 2.0 2.4 2.0
  14:30 20:00 EIA Crude Stock Change (wk ending 12 July) mln barrels - -3.375 -9.499 -3.116
18-Jul-19 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K 32.6 9.1 45.28 0.47
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   - 5.0 0.3 21.8
19-Jul-19 23:30 5:00 JP CPI % - 0.60 0.79 0.69
23-Jul-19 14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K - - 5340 -
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