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CNYINR: Rupee can outperform Yuan, if RBI permits

While the Yuan is gaining against the Dollar and the Euro, the chances of Rupee strength against the Yuan has escaped attention. This is due to the continued RBI-induced Rupee weakness against the Dollar. If the RBI were to desist from systematically weakening the Rupee, the natural strength of the Rupee would help India emerge as an attractive alternative investment destination to China
Economic Calendar 2021
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NOVEMBER - 2022
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Nov-22 0:30 06:00 JP PMI   50.9 50.7 50.8 50.7
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   48.4 48.5 48.1 49.2
  3:30 09:00 RBA Meeting % - 2.85 2.60 2.85
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   55.5 55.0 55.1 55.3
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   57.7 56.0 57.1 54.9
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   49.3 45.8 48.4 46.2
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   50.7 49.9 49.8 48.8
2-Nov-22 21:30 03:00 AU PMI   48.1 - 50.2 49.6
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 178 192 239
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % < 4.00 < 4.00 < 3.25 < 4.00
3-Nov-22 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 8.11 9.00 8.66 12.44
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   57.8 54.6 54.3 55.1
  7:30 13:00 CH CPI   2.9 3.2 3.3 3.0
  10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6
  12:00 17:30 BOE Mtg % - 3.00 2.25 3.00
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 9-0-0 9-0-0 9-0-0
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -71.0 -70.3 -65.7 -73.3
4-Nov-22 12:30 18:00 US NFP K 280 200 315 261
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.7
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % - - 0.4 0.3
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 11.0 21.1 108.3
8-Nov-22 10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 0.5 1.7 -0.7 3.1
  2:00 07:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 5.4 6.3 5.0
  2:00 07:30 CN Retail Sales % - 0.7 2.5 -0.5
  10:00 15:30 EU Flash GDP % - 0.2 0.2 0.2
16-Nov-22 7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 10.2 10.7 10.1 11.1
  13:30 19:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.7 - -0.1 -1.0
  14:15 19:45 US Industrial Production % 0.6 0.1 0.1 -0.1
  14:15 19:45 US Capacity Utilization % 80.9 80.4 80.1 79.9
  21:00 02:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln 286.0 113.0 198.3 118.0
17-Nov-22 0:30 06:00 Australia Labour Force K -38.9 15.0 -3.8 32.2
  10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 9.9 10.7 9.9 10.6
  13:30 19:00 US Housing Starts K 1451 1410 1488 1425
18-Nov-22 23:30 05:00 JP CPI   4.0 - 3.0 3.8
  0:00 05:30 UK Cons Conf   -46 -46 -47 -44
  15:00 20:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4573 4370 4710 4430
23-Nov-22 13:30 19:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.0
  15:00 20:30 US New Home Sales K 696 570 588 632
24-Nov-22 9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   81.1 85.0 84.5 86.3
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 91.6 93.6 94.2 93.1
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 74.8 77.0 75.9 80.0
29-Nov-22 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.5 2.5 2.6 -
  8:00 13:30 CH GDP % - 0.3 0.3 -
  10:00 15:30 EU Biz Climate   91.4 93.5 92.5 -
  13:30 19:00 CA GDP % - 0.1 0.1 -
  14:00 19:30 US Case Schiller % 11.4 10.5 13.1 -
  15:00 20:30 US Cons Conf   101.6 100.0 102.5 -
30-Nov-22 10:00 15:30 EU CPI Flash Estimate (YoY) % 10.4 10.4 10.6 -
  12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 7.11% 15.2% 13.5% -
  13:30 19:00 US GDP % - 2.8 2.5 -
DEC                
1-Dec-22 21:30 03:00 AU PMI   48.0 - 49.6 -
  0:30 06:00 JP PMI   51.0 - 50.7 -
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   48.7 - 49.2 -
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   55.5 - 55.3 -
  7:30 13:00 CH CPI   2.6 - 3.0 -
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   53.0 - 54.9 -
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - - 46.4 -
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   48.4 - 46.2 -
  10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.6 - 6.6 -
  13:30 19:00 US Personal Income % 0.4 - 0.4 -
  13:30 19:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.3 - 0.5 -
  14:30 20:00 CA PMI   47.4 - 48.8 -
  15:00 20:30 US Manufacturing ISM   50.4 - 50.2 -
2-Dec-22 13:30 19:00 US NFP K 996 - 261 -
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.6 - 3.7 -
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.7 - 0.4 -
  13:30 19:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % - - 0.3 -
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - - 108.3 -
                 
                 
« »
NOVEMBER - 2022
GMT IST 24-Nov-22   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
9:00 14:30 GER IFO Bus Clim   81.1 85.0 84.5 86.3
9:00 14:30 GER IFO Bus Sitn Index 91.6 93.6 94.2 93.1
9:00 14:30 GER IFO Bus Expn Index 74.8 77.0 75.9 80.0
GMT IST 29-Nov-22   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.5 2.5 2.6 -
8:00 13:30 CH GDP % - 0.3 0.3 -
10:00 15:30 EU Biz Climate   91.4 93.5 92.5 -
13:30 19:00 CA GDP % - 0.1 0.1 -
14:00 19:30 US Case Schiller % 11.4 10.5 13.1 -
15:00 20:30 US Cons Conf   101.6 100.0 102.5 -
GMT IST 30-Nov-22   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
10:00 15:30 EU CPI Flash Estimate (YoY) % 10.4 10.4 10.6 -
12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 7.11% 15.2% 13.5% -
13:30 19:00 US GDP % - 2.8 2.5 -
GMT IST 1-Dec-22   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
21:30 03:00 AU PMI   48.0 - 49.6 -
0:30 06:00 JP PMI   51.0 - 50.7 -
1:45 07:15 CN PMI   48.7 - 49.2 -
5:00 10:30 IN Manf PMI   55.5 - 55.3 -
7:30 13:00 CH CPI   2.6 - 3.0 -
8:30 14:00 CH PMI   53.0 - 54.9 -
9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - - 46.4 -
9:30 15:00 UK PMI   48.4 - 46.2 -
10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.6 - 6.6 -
13:30 19:00 US Pers Income % 0.4 - 0.4 -
13:30 19:00 US PCE Price Index % 0.3 - 0.5 -
14:30 20:00 CA PMI   47.4 - 48.8 -
15:00 20:30 US Manf ISM   50.4 - 50.2 -
GMT IST 2-Dec-22   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
13:30 19:00 US NFP K 996 - 261 -
13:30 19:00 US Unemp Rate % 3.6 - 3.7 -
13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earn   0.7 - 0.4 -
13:30 19:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % - - 0.3 -
13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - - 108.3 -
               
               
Nov'22 Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'22 Monthly Forecast
Our Nov'22 Monthly Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Nov '22 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '22 EURUSD Report
With change in the currency markets brought about by the lower US CPI, has Euro bottomed out and confirmed reversal? Can Euro sustain higher despite higher inflation and more rate hikes in place from the ECB? ...Read More
Nov'22 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'22 Crude Oil Report
Brent has been ranged within $80-100 over the last 2months. We analyse the important factors in the current Nov-22 report to figure out which way the price will go from current levels. ... Read More
November'22 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'22 US Treasury Report
In our last report (US 10Yr @ 3.548% on 21-Sep-22) we had said that a 4% end-2022 Fed Rate was fully priced in by the market. However, the 2022 FFR projection by the FOMC itself was put out at 4.4%. Thus, the US yields continued to rise after the 75bp hike in the 21-Sep FOMC .... Read More
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