Economic Calendar

Archive:

How Forex Profit/Loss feels to an Exporter

As per Prospect Theory propounded by the psychologist-statistician-economist and Noble laureate Daniel Kahneman in his book Thinking, Fast and Slow, the psychological value of profit/ loss or the feels like value is different from actual profit/ loss. Plus, it is a human trait that loss feels more painful than profit feels joyful, and that we all try to avoid losses more than we try to maximise profits.

Table View | Calendar View


AUGUST - 2019
DATE	TIME		ECONOMIC DATA	UNIT	EXPECTATIONS		PREV	ACTUAL
	GMT	IST			KSHITIJ	MARKET
1-Aug-19	22:30	4:00	AU PMI		47.6	-	49.4	51.3
	0:30	6:00	JP PMI		49.8	49.6	49.6	49.4
	1:45	7:15	CN PMI		49.3	49.6	49.4	49.9
	5:00	10:30	IN Manufacturing PMI		52.3	52.2	52.1	52.5
	8:00	13:30	EU PMI		-	46.4	46.4	46.5
	8:30	14:00	UK PMI		49.3	47.7	48.0	48.0
	11:00	16:30	BOE Mtg	%	-	0.75	0.75	0.75
	11:00	16:30	UK BOE Minutes		-	0-0-9	0-0-9	0-0-9
	14:00	19:30	US Manufacturing ISM		51.1	52.0	51.7	51.2
	14:00	19:30	CA PMI		49.2	-	49.2	50.2
2-Aug-19	1:30	7:00	AU PPI	%	-	0.2	0.4	0.4
	6:30	12:00	CH CPI		0.7	0.5	0.6	0.3
	7:30	13:00	CH PMI		46.8	47.0	47.7	44.7
	9:00	14:30	EU Retail Sales	%	0.1	0.3	-0.6	1.1
	12:30	18:00	US NFP	K	196	163	193	164
	12:30	18:00	US Unemployment Rate	%	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7
	12:30	18:00	US Avg Hrly Earnings		-	0.2	0.3	0.3
	12:30	18:00	US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees	%	-	-	0.17	0.17
	12:30	18:00	US Trade Balance	$ Bln	-55.8	-54.2	-55.3	-55.2
5-Aug-19	5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI		50.7	50.4	49.6	53.8
6-Aug-19	0:30	6:00	Australia Trade Balance	A$ Bln	8.7	6.1	6.2	8.0
	4:30	10:00	RBA Meeting	%	-	1.0	1.0	1.0
7-Aug-19	6:15	11:45	RBI Repo Rate	%	5.50	5.5	5.75	5.40
	6:15	11:45	RBI Reverse Repo Rate	%	5.25	5.25	5.50	5.15
	6:15	11:45	RBI MSF	%	-	-	6.00	5.65
	14:30	20:00	EIA Crude Stock Change (wk ending 02 Aug)	mln barrels	-	-2.845	-8.496	2.385
9-Aug-19	23:50	5:20	JP GDP	%	-	0.1%	0.6%	0.4%
	1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)	%	-	2.7	2.7	2.8
	1:30	7:00	CN PPI	%	0.25	0.0	0.0	-0.3
	8:30	14:00	UK Trade Bal	GBP (Bln)	-11.4	-11.9	-10.7	-7.0
	8:30	14:00	UK GDP	%	-	0.0	0.5	-0.2
	12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	-	1.40	4.55	1.96
	12:30	18:00	US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.3	-0.1
	12:30	18:00	US PPI	%	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2
	12:30	18:00	CA Labour Force	K	-	12.5	-2.2	-24.2
13-Aug-19	8:30	14:00	UK Unemp	%	3.7	3.8	3.8	3.9
	12:00	17:30	IN CPI		2.87	3.20	3.18	3.15
	12:30	18:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	0.28	0.3	0.1	0.3
	12:30	18:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.3
14-Aug-19	2:00	7:30	CN Retail Sales	%	-	8.6	9.8	7.6
	2:00	7:30	CN IIP (YoY)	%	-	6.0	6.3	4.8
	6:30	12:00	IN WPI	%	2.0	1.93	2.02	1.08
	8:30	14:00	UK CPI Y/Y	%	2.1	1.9	2.0	2.1
	9:00	14:30	EU GDP	%	-	0.20	0.20	0.19
	9:00	14:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	0.0	-1.4	0.8	-1.6
	12:00	17:30	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-16.3	-15.7	-15.3	-13.4
	14:30	20:00	EIA Crude Stock Change (wk ending 09 Aug)	mln barrels	-	-2.761	2.385	1.580
15-Aug-19	1:30	7:00	Australia Labour Force	K	-0.2	14.2	19.4	24.6
	12:30	18:00	US Retail Sales (MoM)	%	0.9	0.4	0.3	0.6
	12:30	18:00	US Philifed Index		-	10.1	21.8	16.8
	13:15	18:45	US Industrial Production	%	0.2	0.1	0.2	-0.2
	13:15	18:45	US Capacity Utilization	%	78.1	77.8	77.8	77.5
	20:00	1:30	US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec)	$ Bln	-	4.4	4.6	32.9
16-Aug-19	9:00	14:30	EU Trade Bal	EUR Bln	-	18.7	19.6	17.9
	12:30	18:00	US Housing Starts	K	1239	1260	1253	1191
19-Aug-19	9:00	14:30	EU CPI (YoY)	%	1.5	1.1	1.3	1.0
21-Aug-19	12:30	18:00	CA Inflation Y/Y	%	1.8	1.7	2.0	2.0
	14:00	19:30	US Existing Home Sales	K	5324	5410	5290	5420
23-Aug-19	23:30	5:00	JP CPI	%	-	0.60	0.69	0.59
	14:00	19:30	US New Home Sales	K	631	645	728	635
26-Aug-19	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Climate		95.5	95.1	95.7	-
	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Situations		97.2	98.6	99.4	-
	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Expectations		92.9	91.5	92.2	-
	12:30	18:00	US Durable Goods Orders	%	-0.9	1.4	1.9	-
27-Aug-19	13:00	18:30	US Case Schiller	%	2.5	2.5	2.4	-
	14:00	19:30	US Cons Conf		136.0	130.0	135.7	-
29-Aug-19	9:00	14:30	EU Biz Climate		-	102.6	102.7	-
	12:30	18:00	US GDP	%	-	2.00	2.04	-
30-Aug-19	23:05	4:35	UK Cons Conf		-	-11	-11	-
	23:30	5:00	JP Unemp	%	-	2.3	2.3	-
	9:00	14:30	EU Unemp	%	-	7.5	7.5	-
	12:00	17:30	IN GDP	%	-	-	5.83%	-
	12:30	18:00	US Personal Income	%	-	0.3	0.4	-
	12:30	18:00	US PCE Price Index M/M	%	-	0.3	0.2	-
	12:30	18:00	CA GDP	%	-	0.1	0.2	-

Download 2019 Economic Calendar

Kshitij is the only advisor that has taken a firm stand on the market at various times and at the same time they have always been willing to accept their mistakes gracefully.

SHRI MURLI SARAF
Shyam Group of Companies
Bengaluru

We are privileged to be associated with Kshitij as our Forex Advisor. Their valuable advice has helped Marico to redefine its forex management policies. We look forward to a long and rewarding association with them.

MR RAVIN MODY
Marico Ltd.
Mumbai

Forex reports by KSHITIJ.COM are based on dedicated and in depth analysis of various economic and financial parameters. Hence the judgement, quality, probability and reliability of these forex risk management views are quite high.

MR SURESH CHETTIAR
Lupin Ltd.
Mumbai

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'19 Monthly Forecast

Our Aug'19 Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

July'19 EURUSD Report

The US Federal Reserve opening the door for rate cuts gave the Euro a boost last month, but the currency failed to sustain higher. Will the Euro gain momentum again or can it continue to remain subdued? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'19 USDJPY Report

After tensions between US-China re-surfaced, currency markets saw volatile movement in the first 2-trading sessions of August. In the Aug'19 report we revisit our earlier view on USDJPY, Gold, yields and other influencing factors for the coming months. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'19 Calendar Wallpaper

WHAT'S NEW?

July'19 Crude Oil Report

In the July'19 report we emphasise on the broad outlook on the US Shale oil growth rate taking into the factors of EIA's projected growth in production and historical data of Rig Counts. While the broad view remains the same, we revise our monthly forecasts slightly higher. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

July'19 US Treasury Report

The US Treasury yields have bounced from their lows. How long can this bounce-back move extend? Is a reversal on the cards which will keep the broader downtrend intact? ... Read More

AUGUST - 2019
MONDAY		TUESDAY		WEDNESDAY		THURSDAY		FRIDAY
						1	CH	2	AU PPI
							AU PMI		CH PMI
							JP PMI		CH CPI
							IN Manf PMI		EU Retail Sales
							BOE Mtg		US NFP
							BOE Mins		US Unemp
							UK PMI		US Avg Hrly Earnings
							EU PMI		US Trade Bal
							US ISM
							CA PMI

5	AU. CA	6	RBA Mtg	7	RBI Mtg	8		9	JP GDP
	IN Svcs PMI		AU Trade Bal						UK Trade Bal
									UK GDP
									US PPI
									US Core PPI
									CN CPI (YoY)
									CN PPI
									CA Lab Force
									IN IIP

12	JP, IN	13	UK Unemp	14	In Trade Bal	15	IN	16	EU Trade Bal
			US CPI		IN WPI		AU Lab Force		US Hsg Starts
			US Core CPI		UK CPI		US Ind Prodn
			IN CPI		EU GDP		US Cap Util
					EU Ind Prodn		US Retail Sales
					CN Retail Sales		US Philli Fed
					CN IIP		US TIC

19	EU CPI	20		21	US Ex Home Sales	22		23	JP CPI
19		20		21	CA CPI	22		23	US New Home Sales




26	UK	27	US Cons Conf	28		29	EU Biz Climate	30	JP Unemp
26	GER IFO	27	US Case Schiller	28		29	US GDP	30	IN GDP
	US Durable Goods								UK Cons Conf
									EU Unemp
									US Pers. Inc.
									US PCE
									CA GDP


12 Bakri Id / Id Ul Zoha		15 Independence Day		17 Parsee New Year