Economic Calendar

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Crude Oil Quarterly - Still on a slippery slope?

Although Brent has managed to remain above $50 in 2019, it has not been able to recover the sharp fall witnessed in the last quarter of 2018. Its inability to break above $75 decisively in 2019 suggests that the long-term weakness in Crude still persists, as is evident from the Wave counts. This can be good news for the Indian Rupee.

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JANUARY - 2020
DATE	TIME		ECONOMIC DATA	UNIT	EXPECTATIONS		PREV	ACTUAL
					KSHITIJ	MARKET
2-Jan-20	3:15	8:45	CN PMI		-	51.7	51.8	51.5
	5:00	10:30	IN Manufacturing PMI		51.4	51.0	51.2	52.7
	9:00	14:30	EU PMI		-	45.9	45.9	46.3
	9:30	15:00	UK PMI		48.9	47.6	47.4	47.5
	14:00	19:30	CA PMI		-	51.9	51.4	50.4
3-Jan-20	8:30	14:00	CH PMI		48.6	48.7	48.8	50.2
	14:00	19:30	US Manufacturing ISM		46.3	49.0	48.1	47.2
6-Jan-20	22:30	4:00	AU PMI		-	-	48.1	48.3
	1:30	7:00	JP PMI		48.0	-	48.8	48.4
	5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI		51.6	51.4	52.7	53.3
7-Jan-20	7:30	13:00	CH CPI		0.1	-0.1	-0.1	0.2
	10:00	15:30	EU Retail Sales	%	0.4	0.6	-0.3	1.0
	13:30	19:00	US Trade Balance	$ Bln	-46.7	-44.5	-46.9	-43.1
8-Jan-20	13:15	18:45	US ADP Emp	K	188.6	160	124	202
9-Jan-20	0:30	6:00	Australia Trade Balance	A$ Bln	-	4.1	4.1	5.8
	1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)		-	4.7	4.5	4.5
	1:30	7:00	CN PPI		-	-0.4	-1.4	-0.5
	10:00	15:30	EU Unemp	%	-	7.5	7.5	7.5
10-Jan-20	12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	1.30	-0.60	-3.99	1.82
	13:30	19:00	US NFP	K	247	150	256	145
	13:30	19:00	US Unemployment Rate	%	-	3.5	3.5	3.5
	13:30	19:00	US Avg Hrly Earnings		-	0.3	0.3	0.1
	13:30	19:00	US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees	%	-	-	0.2	0.1
	13:30	19:00	CA Labour Force	K	-	24.9	-71.2	35.2
13-Jan-20	9:30	15:00	UK Trade Bal	GBP (Bln)	-13.8	-11.8	-10.9	-5.3
	12:00	17:30	IN CPI		6.14	6.20	5.54	7.35
14-Jan-20	6:30	12:00	IN WPI	%	1.88	2.15	0.58	2.59
	13:30	19:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2
	13:30	19:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1
15-Jan-20	9:30	15:00	UK CPI Y/Y	%	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.3
	10:00	15:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	-0.5	0.3	-0.9	0.2
	10:00	15:30	EU Trade Bal	EUR Bln	-	22.3	24.0	19.2
	12:30	18:00	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-10.24	-11.80	-12.13	-11.25
	13:30	19:00	US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	-0.2	0.1
	13:30	19:00	US PPI	%	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.1
16-Jan-20	13:30	19:00	US Retail Sales (MoM)	%	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.4
	13:30	19:00	US Philifed Index		-	4.5	0.3	17.0
17-Jan-20	21:00	2:30	US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec)	$ Bln	-	34.5	31.5	22.9
	2:00	7:30	CN Retail Sales	%	-	7.9	8.0	8.0
	2:00	7:30	CN IIP (YoY)	%	-	5.9	6.2	6.9
	2:00	7:30	CN GDP	%	-	6.0	6.0	6.0
	10:00	15:30	EU CPI (YoY)	%	0.9	-	1.0	1.3
	13:30	19:00	US Housing Starts	K	1315	1380	1375	1608
	14:15	19:45	US Industrial Production	%	0.3	-	0.8	-0.4
	14:15	19:45	US Capacity Utilization	%	77.1	77.2	77.4	77.0
21-Jan-20	3:00	8:30	BOJ Meeting	%	-	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1
	9:30	15:00	UK Unemp	%	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8
22-Jan-20	13:30	19:00	CA Inflation Y/Y	%	2.22	-	2.2	-
	14:00	19:30	US Existing Home Sales	K	5213	5430	5350	-
	14:00	19:30	BOC Meeting	%	-	1.75	1.75	-
23-Jan-20	1:30	7:00	Australia Labour Force	K	31.29	11.2	39.9	-
	11:45	17:15	ECB Mtg	%	-	0.00	0.00	-
24-Jan-20	23:30	5:00	JP CPI		-	0.7	0.5	-
27-Jan-20	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Climate
27-Jan-20	14:00	19:30	US New Home Sales	K


JANUARY - 2020
				Expectations
GMT	IST	2-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
22:30	4:00	AU PMI	Index	-	-	51.6	48.1
1:30	7:00	JP PMI	Index	48.6	48.6	48.6	48.8
3:15	8:45	CN PMI	Index	51.6	51.4	51.7	51.8
5:00	10:30	IN Manf PMI	Index	51.3	-	50.6	51.2
8:30	14:00	CH PMI	Index	48.5	-	49.4	48.8
9:00	14:30	EU PMI	Index	-	-	45.9	45.9
9:30	15:00	UK PMI	Index	49.1	-	49.6	47.4
14:00	19:30	US Manf ISM	Index	47.5	49.2	48.3	48.1
14:00	19:30	CA PMI	Index	-	-	51.2	51.4
GMT	IST	3-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
4:30	10:00	RBA Meeting	%	-	0.75	0.75	0.75
7:30	13:00	CH CPI	%	-0.1	-0.1	-0.3	-0.1
GMT	IST	4-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
1:30	7:00	AU GDP	%	-	0.5	0.6	0.4
5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI	Index	50.0	49.8	49.2	52.7
13:15	18:45	US ADP Emp	K	155.6	137	151	67
15:00	20:30	BOC Meeting	%	-	1.75	1.75	1.8
GMT	IST	5-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
0:30	6:00	AU Trade Bal	A$ Bln	-	6.50	6.12	4.50
6:15	11:45	RBI Repo Rate	%	-	4.9	5.15	5.15
6:15	11:45	RBI Reve Repo Rate	%	-	4.65	4.90	4.90
6:15	11:45	RBI MSF	%	-	-	5.40	5.40
10:00	15:30	EU GDP	%	-	0.20	0.22	0.23
10:00	15:30	EU Retail Sales	%	-0.2	-0.4	-0.3	-0.6
13:30	19:00	US Trade Bal	$ Bln	-54.2	-48.7	-51.1	-47.2
GMT	IST	6-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
13:30	19:00	US NFP	K	146	186	152	266
13:30	19:00	US Unemployment Rate	%	-	3.6	3.6	3.5
13:30	19:00	US Avg Hrly Earnings	%	-	0.3	0.3	0.3
13:30	13:30	US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees	%	-	-	0.3	0.3
13:30	19:00	CA Labour Force	K	-	-10.0	-1.8	-71.2
GMT	IST	9-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:50	5:20	JP GDP	%	-	0.20%	0.1%	0.45%
GMT	IST	10-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)	%	-	4.5	3.8	4.5
1:30	7:00	CN PPI	%	-	-1.5	-1.6	-1.4
9:30	15:00	UK Trade Bal	GBP(Bln)	-13.7	-11.5	-11.5	-14.5
GMT	IST	11-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
13:30	19:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3
13:30	19:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2
18:00	23:30	US FOMC Meeting	%	-	<1.75	<1.75	<1.75
GMT	IST	12-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
8:30	14:00	SNB Mtg	%	-	-0.8	-0.75	-0.75
10:00	15:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	0.1	-0.2	0.0	-0.5
12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	-5.5	-2.0	-4.3	-3.8
12:00	17:30	IN CPI	%	4.98	5.20	4.62	5.54
12:45	18:15	ECB Mtg	%	-	0.00	0.00	0.00
13:30	19:00	US Core PPI	%	0.2	0.2	0.3	-0.2
13:30	19:00	US PPI	%	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.0
GMT	IST	13-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:50	5:20	JP Tankan	Index	-	3	5	0
12:30	18:00	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-12.9	-12.3	-11.0	-12.13
13:30	19:00	US Retail Sales	%	0.39	0.40	0.40	0.26
GMT	IST	16-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
2:00	7:30	CN Retail Sales	%	-	7.6	7.2	8.0
2:00	7:30	CN IIP (YoY)	%	-	5.1	4.7	6.2
6:30	12:00	IN WPI	%	0.7	0.74	0.16	0.58
21:00	2:30	US TICS�	$ Bln	-	52.2	44.2	32.5
GMT	IST	17-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
9:30	15:00	UK Unemp	%	3.9	3.9	3.8	3.8
10:00	15:30	EU Trade Bal	EUR Bln	-	-	18.7	24.5
13:30	19:00	US Housing Starts	K	1312	1340	1340	1365
14:15	19:45	US Ind Prodn	%	0.6	0.8	-0.5	1.1
14:15	19:45	US Cap Util	%	76.9	77.4	76.9	77.3
GMT	IST	18-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
9:00	14:30	GER IFO Bus Clm		95.3	95.5	95.1	96.3
9:00	14:30	GER IFO Bus Situations	Index	98.2	98.1	98.0	98.8
9:00	14:30	GER IFO Bus Expns	Index	93.2	93.1	92.3	93.8
9:30	15:00	UK CPI Y/Y	%	1.6	1.5	1.5	1.5
10:00	15:30	EU CPI (YoY)	%	1.1	1.0	0.7	1.0
13:30	19:00	CA Inflation Y/Y	%	2.2	1.9	1.9	2.2
GMT	IST	19-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
1:30	7:00	AU Lab Force	K	51.6	15.2	-24.8	39.9
3:00	8:30	BOJ Meeting	%	-	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1
12:00	17:30	UK BOE Minutes		-	0-2-7	0-2-7	0-2-7
12:00	17:30	BOE Mtg	%	-	0.75	0.75	0.75
13:30	19:00	US Philifed Index	Index	-	8.1	10.4	0.3
13:30	19:00	US Current Acct	$ Bln	-140	-122	-125	-124
15:00	20:30	US Ex Home Sales	K	5504	5440	5440	5350
GMT	IST	20-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:30	5:00	JP CPI	%	-	0.2	0.2	0.5
0:01	5:31	UK Cons Conf	Index	-15	-14	-14	-11
9:30	15:00	UK GDP	%	-	0.3	0.3	0.4
13:30	19:00	US GDP	%	-	2.1	2.1	2.1
15:00	20:30	US Persn Inc	%	0.0	0.3	0.1	0.5
15:00	20:30	US PCE Price Index	%	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
GMT	IST	23-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
13:30	19:00	CA GDP	%	-	0.1	0.1	-0.1
13:30	19:00	US Dur Goods	%	-0.2	0.2	0.2	-2.0
15:00	20:30	US New Home Sales	K	727	730	710	719
GMT	IST	27-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:30	5:00	JP Unemp	%	2.5	2.4	2.4	2.2
GMT	IST	3-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
8:30	14:00	CH PMI		48.6	48.7	48.8	50.2
14:00	19:30	US Manf ISM		46.3	49.0	48.1	47.2
GMT	IST	6-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
22:30	4:00	AU PMI		-	-	48.1	48.3
1:30	7:00	JP PMI		48.0	-	48.8	48.4
5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI		51.6	51.4	52.7	53.3
GMT	IST	7-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
7:30	13:00	CH CPI		0.1	-0.1	-0.1	0.2
10:00	15:30	EU Retail Sales	%	0.4	0.6	-0.3	1.0
13:30	19:00	US Trade Balance	$ Bln	-46.7	-44.5	-46.9	-43.1
GMT	IST	8-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
13:15	18:45	US ADP Emp	K	188.6	160	124	202
GMT	IST	9-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
0:30	6:00	AU Trade Bal	A$ Bln	-	4.1	4.1	5.8
1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)		-	4.7	4.5	4.5
1:30	7:00	CN PPI		-	-0.4	-1.4	-0.5
10:00	15:30	EU Unemp	%	-	7.5	7.5	7.5
GMT	IST	10-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	1.30	-0.60	-3.99	1.82
13:30	19:00	US NFP	K	247	150	256	145
13:30	19:00	US Unemp	%	-	3.5	3.5	3.5
13:30	19:00	US Avg Hrly Earn		-	0.3	0.3	0.1
13:30	13:30	US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees	%	-	-	0.2	0.1
13:30	19:00	CA Labour Force	K	-	24.9	-71.2	35.2
GMT	IST	13-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
9:30	15:00	UK Trade Bal	GBP (Bln)	-13.8	-11.8	-10.9	-5.3
12:00	17:30	IN CPI		6.14	6.20	5.54	7.35
GMT	IST	13-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
6:30	12:00	IN WPI	%	1.88	2.15	0.58	2.59
13:30	19:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2
13:30	19:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1
GMT	IST	15-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
9:30	15:00	UK CPI Y/Y	%	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.3
10:00	15:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	-0.5	0.3	-0.9	0.2
10:00	15:30	EU Trade Bal	EUR Bln	-	-	24.0	19.2
12:30	18:00	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-10.24	-11.80	-12.13	-11.25
13:30	19:00	US Core PPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	-0.2	0.1
13:30	19:00	US PPI	%	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.1
GMT	IST	16-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
13:30	19:00	US Retail Sales	%	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.4
13:30	19:00	US Philifed Index		-	4.5	0.3	17.0
GMT	IST	17-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
21:00	2:30	US TICS	$ Bln	-	34.5	31.5	22.9
2:00	7:30	CN Retail Sales	%	-	7.9	8.0	8.0
2:00	7:30	CN IIP (YoY)	%	-	5.9	6.2	6.9
2:00	7:30	CN GDP	%	-	6.0	6.0	6.0
10:00	15:30	EU CPI (YoY)	%	0.9	-	1.0	1.3
13:30	19:00	US Housing Starts	K	1315	1380	1375	1608
14:15	19:45	US Ind Prodn	%	0.3	-	0.8	-0.4
14:15	19:45	US Cap Util	%	77.1	77.2	77.4	77.0
GMT	IST	21-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
3:00	8:30	BOJ Meeting	%	-	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1
9:30	15:00	UK Unemp	%	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8
GMT	IST	22-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
13:30	19:00	CA Inflation Y/Y	%	2.22	-	2.2	-
14:00	19:30	US Ex Home Sales	K	5213	5430	5350	-
14:00	19:30	BOC Meeting	%	-	1.75	1.75	-
GMT	IST	23-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
1:30	7:00	Australia Lab Force	K	31.29	11.2	39.9	-
11:45	17:15	ECB Mtg	%	-	0.00	0.00	-
GMT	IST	24-Jan-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:30	5:00	JP CPI		-	0.7	0.5	-

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WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'20 Quarterly Forecast

Our Jan'20 Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'20 EURUSD Report

The Euro has been stuck in a narrow range for more than two months now. Will it continue to remain sideways or will it break this range on either side? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'19 USDJPY Report

Rising Gold and Nikkei, weaker Dollar Index and mixed signals from other important factors have been keeping Dollar-Yen ranged for the last one month. Keeping possibilities of the sideways range to continue, we examine chances of a sharper move that could come in the 1st quarter of 2020 in our Dec'19 report. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'20 Calendar Wallpaper

Although Brent has managed to remain above $50 in 2019, it has not been able to recover the sharp fall witnessed in the last quarter of 2018. ....... Download Jan'20 Wallpaper

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'19 Crude Oil Report

Crude prices continued to remain below 75 through 2019. With weak global economic scenario and OPEC and non-OPEC countries focusing on production cuts, we analyse the broad view for Crude in 2020. OPEC decision on production cuts and US-China trade deal would be crucial events for Crude in the coming year. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'19 US Treasury Report

After falling in November, the US Treasury yields have recovered well since the beginning of December. Easing concerns on the US-China trade war front after both the countries struck the phase one deal has triggered this bounce-back move. Can the yields continue to move higher? ... Read More

JANUARY - 2020
MONDAY		TUESDAY		WEDNESDAY		THURSDAY		FRIDAY
				1	AU, JP, CN, CH,	2	JP,CH	3	JP
					UK, EU, US, CA		IN Manf PMI		CH PMI
							UK PMI		US ISM
							EU PMI
							CA PMI

6	AU PMI	7	CH CPI	8	US ADP Emp	9	AU Trade Bal	10	IN IIP
	JP PMI		EU Retail Sales				EU Unemp		US NFP
	IN Svcs PMI		US Trade Bal						US Unemp
									US Avg Hrly Earn
									CA Lab Force

13	JP	14	IN WPI	15	In Trade Bal	16	US Retail Sales	17	EU CPI
	IN CPI		US CPI		UK CPI		US Philli Fed		US Ind Prodn
	UK Trade Bal		US Core CPI		EU Ind Prodn		US TIC		US Cap Util
					EU Trade Bal				US Hsg Starts
					US PPI
					US Core PPI

20	US	21	BOJ Mtg	22	US Ex Home Sales	23	AU Lab Force	24	CN
			UK Unemp		CA CPI		ECB Mtg		JP CPI
					BOC Mtg



27	AU,CN	28	CN	29	CN	30	CN	31	AU PPI
	GER IFO	28	US Durable Goods	29	AU CPI	30	BOE Mtg	31	JP Unemp
	US New Home Sales		US Cons Conf		FOMC Mtg		BOE Mins		UK Cons Conf
			US Case Schiller				EU Unemp		US Pers. Inc.
							EU Biz Climate		US PCE
							US GDP		EU GDP
									CA GDP

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