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KSHITIJ.COM Dollar-Rupee Forecast Reliability Chart

We are probably the first and still the only firm to track the Reliability of our Rupee forecasts since 2006. Our Reliability stands at 74.2% currently, the highest level so for. It is like our career batting average and is a vast improvement over the 40% seen in 2008. NOTE that Reliability is measured as a combination of directional accuracy and numerical accuracy.

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DECEMBER - 2019
DATE	TIME		ECONOMIC DATA	UNIT	EXPECTATIONS		PREV	ACTUAL
					KSHITIJ	MARKET
2-Dec-19	22:30	4:00	AU PMI	Index	-	-	51.6	48.1
	1:30	7:00	JP PMI	Index	-	48.6	48.6	48.9
	3:15	8:45	CN PMI	Index	51.6	51.4	51.7	51.8
	5:00	10:30	IN Manufacturing PMI	Index	51.3	-	50.6	51.2
	8:30	14:00	CH PMI	Index	-	-	49.4	48.8
	9:00	14:30	EU PMI	Index	-	-	45.9	46.9
	9:30	15:00	UK PMI	Index	-	-	49.6	48.9
	14:00	19:30	US Manufacturing ISM	Index	47.5	49.2	48.3	48.1
	14:00	19:30	CA PMI	Index	-	-	51.2	51.4
3-Dec-19	4:30	10:00	RBA Meeting	%	-	0.75	0.75	0.75
	7:30	13:00	CH CPI	%	-	-0.1	-0.3	-0.1
4-Dec-19	1:30	7:00	AU GDP	%	-	0.5	0.6	0.4
	5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI	Index	-	49.8	49.2	52.7
	13:15	18:45	US ADP Emp	K	156	137	121	67
	15:00	20:30	BOC Meeting	%	-	1.75	1.75	1.75
5-Dec-19	0:30	6:00	Australia Trade Balance	A$ Bln	-	6.50	6.85	4.50
	6:15	11:45	RBI Repo Rate	%	-	4.90	5.15	5.15
	6:15	11:45	RBI Reverse Repo Rate	%	-	4.65	4.90	4.90
	6:15	11:45	RBI MSF	%	-	-	5.40	5.40
	10:00	15:30	EU GDP	%	-	0.20	0.22	0.23
	10:00	15:30	EU Retail Sales	%	-	-0.4	-0.2	-0.6
	13:30	19:00	US Trade Balance	$ Bln	-54.2	-48.7	-51.1	-47.2
6-Dec-19	13:30	19:00	US NFP	K	142	186	156	266
	13:30	19:00	US Unemployment Rate	%	-	3.6	3.6	3.5
	13:30	19:00	US Avg Hrly Earnings	%	-	0.3	0.4	0.3
	13:30	19:00	US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees	%	-	-	0.4	0.3
	13:30	19:00	CA Labour Force	K	-	10.0	-1.8	-71.2
9-Dec-19	23:50	5:20	JP GDP	%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.5%
10-Dec-19	1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)	%	-	4.5	3.8	4.5
	1:30	7:00	CN PPI	%	-	-1.5	-1.6	-1.4
	9:30	15:00	UK Trade Bal	GBP (Bln)	-13.7	-11.5	-11.5	-14.5
11-Dec-19	13:30	19:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	0.1	0.2	0.4	-
	13:30	19:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.2	-
	18:00	23:30	US FOMC Meeting	%	-	<1.75	<1.75	-
12-Dec-19	8:30	14:00	SNB Mtg	%	-	-0.8	-0.75	-
	10:00	15:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	0.1	-0.2	0.1	-
	11:45	17:15	ECB Mtg	%	-	0.00	0.00	-
	12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	-5.48	-2.00	-4.27	-
	12:00	17:30	IN CPI	%	4.98	5.20	4.62	-
12-Dec-19	13:30	19:00	US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.3	-
	13:30	19:00	US PPI	%	0.1	0.2	0.4	-
13-Dec-19	23:50	5:20	JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index	Index	-	3	5	-
	5:30	11:00	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-12.87	-	-11.01	-
	13:30	19:00	US Retail Sales (MoM)	%	0.4	0.4	0.3	-
16-Dec-19	5:30	11:00	CN Retail Sales	%
16-Dec-19	5:30	11:00	CN IIP (YoY)	%


DECEMBER - 2019
				Expectations
GMT	IST	2-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
22:30	4:00	AU PMI	Index	-	-	51.6	48.1
1:30	7:00	JP PMI	Index	-	48.6	48.6	48.9
3:15	8:45	CN PMI	Index	51.6	51.4	51.7	51.8
5:00	10:30	IN Manf PMI	Index	51.3	-	50.6	51.2
8:30	14:00	CH PMI	Index	-	-	49.4	48.8
9:00	14:30	EU PMI	Index	-	-	45.9	46.9
9:30	15:00	UK PMI	Index	-	-	49.6	48.9
14:00	19:30	US Manf ISM	Index	47.5	49.2	48.3	48.1
14:00	19:30	CA PMI	Index	-	-	51.2	51.4
GMT	IST	3-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
4:30	10:00	RBA Meeting	%	-	0.75	0.75	0.75
7:30	13:00	CH CPI	%	-	-0.1	-0.3	-0.1
GMT	IST	4-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
1:30	7:00	AU GDP	%	-	0.5	0.6	0.4
5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI	Index	-	49.8	49.2	52.7
13:15	18:45	US ADP Emp	K	155.6	137	121	67
15:00	20:30	BOC Meeting	%	-	1.75	1.75	1.8
GMT	IST	5-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
0:30	6:00	AU Trade Bal	A$ Bln	-	6.50	6.85	4.50
6:15	11:45	RBI Repo Rate	%	-	4.9	5.15	5.15
6:15	11:45	RBI Reve Repo Rate	%	-	4.65	4.90	4.90
6:15	11:45	RBI MSF	%	-	-	5.40	5.40
10:00	15:30	EU GDP	%	-	0.20	0.22	0.23
10:00	15:30	EU Retail Sales	%	-	-0.4	-0.2	-0.6
13:30	19:00	US Trade Bal	$ Bln	-54.2	-48.7	-51.1	-47.2
GMT	IST	6-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
13:30	19:00	US NFP	K	142	186	156	266
13:30	19:00	US Unemployment Rate	%	-	3.6	3.6	3.5
13:30	19:00	US Avg Hrly Earnings	%	-	0.3	0.4	0.3
13:30	13:30	US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees	%	-	-	0.4	0.3
13:30	19:00	CA Labour Force	K	-	-10.0	-1.8	-71.2
GMT	IST	9-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:50	5:20	JP GDP	%	-	0.20%	0.1%	0.45%
GMT	IST	10-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)	%	-	4.5	3.8	4.5
1:30	7:00	CN PPI	%	-	-1.5	-1.6	-1.4
9:30	15:00	UK Trade Bal	GBP(Bln)	-13.7	-11.5	-11.5	-14.5
GMT	IST	11-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
13:30	19:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	0.1	0.2	0.4	-
13:30	19:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.2	-
18:00	23:30	US FOMC Meeting	%	-	<1.75	<1.75	-
GMT	IST	12-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
8:30	14:00	SNB Mtg	%	-	-0.8	-0.75	-
10:00	15:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	0.1	-0.2	0.1	-
11:45	17:15	ECB Mtg	%	-	0.00	0.00	-
12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	-5.5	-2.0	-4.3	-
12:00	17:30	IN CPI	%	5.0	5.2	4.6	-
13:30	19:00	US Core PPI	%	0.2	0.2	0.3	-
13:30	19:00	US PPI	%	0.1	0.2	0.4	-
GMT	IST	13-Dec-19		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:50	5:20	JP Tankan	Index	-	3	5	-
5:30	11:00	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-12.9	-	-11.0	-
13:30	19:00	US Retail Sales	%	0.4	0	0.3	-

Download 2019 Economic Calendar

Kshitij is the only advisor that has taken a firm stand on the market at various times and at the same time they have always been willing to accept their mistakes gracefully.

SHRI MURLI SARAF
Shyam Group of Companies
Bengaluru

We are privileged to be associated with Kshitij as our Forex Advisor. Their valuable advice has helped Marico to redefine its forex management policies. We look forward to a long and rewarding association with them.

MR RAVIN MODY
Marico Ltd.
Mumbai

Forex reports by KSHITIJ.COM are based on dedicated and in depth analysis of various economic and financial parameters. Hence the judgement, quality, probability and reliability of these forex risk management views are quite high.

MR SURESH CHETTIAR
Lupin Ltd.
Mumbai

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'19 Monthly Forecast

Our Dec'19 Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'19 EURUSD Report

The Euro has come-off sharply in November and is currently hovering above the key support level of 1.10. Will the fall extending breaking below 1.10? How far the Euro can fall? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'19 USDJPY Report

Resistance near 109.50-110 is very crucial just now. Although there have been hopes of US-China agreement to take place soon, any negative comments or delay in signing a deal with any unpleasant news would pull back the rise in Dollar Yen seen over the last 2-months. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'19 Calendar Wallpaper

We are probably the first and still the only firm to track the Reliability of our Rupee forecasts since 2006. ....... Download Dec'19 Wallpaper

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'19 Crude Oil Report

Crude prices continued to remain below 75 through 2019. With weak global economic scenario and OPEC and non-OPEC countries focusing on production cuts, we analyse the broad view for Crude in 2020. OPEC decision on production cuts and US-China trade deal would be crucial events for Crude in the coming year. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'19 US Treasury Report

The US Treasury yields have been moving higher over the last few weeks. The easing concerns of the US-China trade-war has increased the risk appetite in the market and taken the yields higher. Will the yields sustain its momentum? ... Read More

DECEMBER - 2019
MONDAY		TUESDAY		WEDNESDAY		THURSDAY		FRIDAY
2	AU PMI	3	RBA Mtg	4	AU GDP	5	AU Trade Bal	6	US NFP
	JP PMI		CH CPI		IN Svcs PMI		JP GDP		US Unemp
	IN Manf PMI				US ADP Emp		EU GDP		US Avg Hrly Earnings
	CH PMI				BOC Mtg		EU Retail Sales		CA Lab Force
	UK PMI						US Trade Bal
	EU PMI						RBI Mtg
	US ISM
	CA PMI

9	JP GDP	10	UK Trade Bal	11	US CPI	12	IN IIP	13	JP Tankan
			CN CPI (YoY)		US Core CPI		IN CPI		In Trade Bal
			CN PPI		FOMC Mtg		SNB Mtg		US Retail Sales
							ECB Mtg
							EU Ind Prodn
							US PPI
							US Core PPI


16	IN WPI	17	UK Unemp	18	UK CPI	19	AU Lab Force	20	JP CPI
	US TIC		EU Trade Bal		GER IFO		BOJ Mtg		JP Unemp
	CN Retail Sales		US Ind Prodn		EU CPI		BOE Mtg		UK GDP
	CN IIP		US Cap Util		CA CPI		BOE Mins		US Pers. Inc.
			US Hsg Starts				US Philli Fed		US PCE
							US Curr Acct		US GDP
							US Ex Home Sales

23	US New Home Sales	24	US Dur Goods	25	AU, IN, CH, UK, EU, US, CA	26	AU, CH, UK, EU, CA	27
	CA GDP


30		31	JP
		31	UK Cons Conf
			US Cons Conf
			US Case Schiller



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