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How Actual and Opportunity Profit/Loss feels to Importers and Exporters

All corporates are very sensitive to opportunity loss, and seem less concerned about actual profit/loss. At Kshitij.com we try to be mindful of opportunity losses (which we try to minimize) and opportunity gains (which we try to maximize).

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SEPTEMBER - 2020
DATE	TIME		ECONOMIC DATA	UNIT	EXPECTATIONS		PREV	ACTUAL
	GMT	IST			KSHITIJ	MARKET
1-Sep-20	22:30	4:00	AU PMI		54.7	-	53.5	49.3
	23:30	5:00	JP Unemp	%	2.8	3.0	2.8	2.9
	0:30	6:00	JP PMI		45.9	46.6	45.2	47.2
	1:45	7:15	CN PMI		53.2	52.6	52.8	53.1
	4:30	10:00	RBA Meeting	%	-	0.3	0.25	0.25
	5:00	10:30	IN Manufacturing PMI		45.8	48.2	46.0	52.0
	7:30	13:00	CH PMI		48.2	51.4	49.2	51.8
	8:00	13:30	EU PMI		-	51.7	51.8	51.7
	8:30	14:00	UK PMI		51.4	55.3	53.3	55.2
	9:00	14:30	EU Unemp	%	7.8	8.0	7.7	7.9
	13:30	19:00	CA PMI		-	-	52.9	55.1
	14:00	19:30	US Manufacturing ISM		54.4	54.5	54.2	56.0
2-Sep-20	1:30	7:00	AU GDP	%	-	-6.0	-0.3	-7.0
	12:15	17:45	US ADP Emp	K	1730	1250	212	428
3-Sep-20	1:30	7:00	Australia Trade Balance	A$ Bln	-	5.00	8.15	4.61
	5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI		-	39.2	34.2	41.8
	7:30	13:00	CH CPI		-	-1.1	-0.9	-0.9
	9:00	14:30	EU Retail Sales	%	-0.2	1.3	5.3	-1.3
	12:30	18:00	US Trade Balance	$ Bln	-52.5	-52.2	-53.5	-63.6
4-Sep-20	12:30	18:00	US NFP	K	1463	1518	1734	1371
	12:30	18:00	US Unemployment Rate	%	9.5	9.8	10.2	8.4
	12:30	18:00	US Avg Hrly Earnings		0.2	0.0	0.1	0.4
	12:30	18:00	CA Labour Force	K	-	262.5	418.5	245.8
8-Sep-20	23:50	5:20	JP GDP	%	-	-8.1%	-7.8%	-7.9%
	9:00	14:30	EU GDP	%	-	-12.10	-3.75	-11.80
9-Sep-20	1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)		-	2.4	2.7	2.4
	1:30	7:00	CN PPI		-	-1.9	-2.4	-2.0
	14:00	19:30	BOC Meeting	%	-	0.25	0.25	0.25
10-Sep-20	11:45	17:15	ECB Mtg	%	-	0.00	0.00	0.00
	12:30	18:00	US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)	%	-	0.2	0.5	0.4
	12:30	18:00	US PPI	%	-	0.2	0.6	0.3
11-Sep-20	6:00	11:30	UK Trade Bal	GBP (Bln)	-	-7.4	-6.6	-8.6
	12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	-	-11.5	-15.8	-10.4
	12:30	18:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	-	0.3	0.6	0.4
	12:30	18:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.6	0.4
14-Sep-20	6:30	12:00	IN WPI	%	-	-0.27	-0.58	0.16
	9:00	14:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	0.3	2.8	9.5	4.1
	12:00	17:30	IN CPI		-	6.85	6.73	6.69
15-Sep-20	2:00	7:30	CN Retail Sales	%	-	0.0	-1.1	0.5
	2:00	7:30	CN IIP (YoY)	%	-	5.1	4.8	5.6
	6:00	11:30	UK Unemp	%	3.9	4.1	3.9	4.1
	12:00	17:30	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-8.86	-6.75	-4.83	-6.77
	13:15	18:45	US Industrial Production	%	2.1	1.2	3.6	0.4
	13:15	18:45	US Capacity Utilization	%	70.8	71.7	71.1	71.4
16-Sep-20	6:00	11:30	UK CPI Y/Y	%	1.0	0.1	1.1	0.2
	9:00	14:30	EU Trade Bal	EUR Bln	-	17.3	16.0	20.3
	12:30	18:00	US Retail Sales (MoM)	%	0.8	-	0.5	0.1
	12:30	18:00	CA Inflation Y/Y	%	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.1
	18:00	23:30	US FOMC Meeting	%	-	< 0.25	< 0.25	< 0.25
	20:00	1:30	US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec)	$ Bln	-	109.3	113.0	10.8
17-Sep-20	1:30	7:00	Australia Labour Force	K	-	-40.0	119.2	111.0
	2:52	8:22	BOJ Meeting	%	-	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1
	9:00	14:30	EU CPI (YoY)	%	0.3	0.4	0.4	-0.2
	11:00	16:30	UK BOE Minutes		-	0-0-9	0-0-9	0-0-9
	11:00	16:30	BOE Mtg	%	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
	12:30	18:00	US Philifed Index		-	15.0	17.2	15.0
	12:30	18:00	US Housing Starts	K	1608	1470	1492	1416
18-Sep-20	23:30	5:00	JP CPI		-	0.6	0.3	0.2
	12:30	18:00	US Current Account Balance	$ Bln	-103.2	-158.0	-111.5	-170.5
22-Sep-20	14:00	19:30	US Existing Home Sales	K	6003	6050	5860	-
24-Sep-20	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Climate		93.0	93.9	92.6	-
	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Situations	Index	87.0	89.5	87.9	-
	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Expectations	Index	98.8	98.0	97.5	-
	8:30	14:00	SNB Mtg	%	-	-0.75	-0.75	-
	14:00	19:30	US New Home Sales	K	967	890	901	-
25-Sep-20	12:30	18:00	US Durable Goods Orders	%	-4.0	1.1	11.4	-
29-Sep-20	9:00	14:30	EU Biz Climate		-	-	87.7	-
	13:00	18:30	US Case Schiller	%	-	-	3.5	-
	14:00	19:30	US Cons Conf		79.6	-	84.8	-
30-Sep-20	23:05	4:35	UK Cons Conf		-	-	-27.0	-
	6:00	11:30	UK GDP	%	-	-	-20.4	-
	12:15	17:45	US ADP Emp	K	-	-	428.4	-
	12:30	18:00	US GDP	%	-	-	-36.4	-
	12:30	18:00	CA GDP	%	-	-	6.5	-


SEPTEMBER - 2020
				Expectations
GMT	IST	18-Sep-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:30	5:00	JP CPI		-	0.6	0.3	0.2
12:30	18:00	US Current Acct	$ Bln	-103.2	-158.0	-111.5	-170.5
GMT	IST	22-Sep-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
14:00	19:30	US Ex Home Sales	K	6003	6050	5860	-
GMT	IST	24-Sep-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
8:00	13:30	GER IFO Bus Clim		93.0	93.9	92.6	-
8:00	13:30	GER IFO Bus Sitn	Index	87.0	89.5	87.9	-
8:00	13:30	GER IFO Bus Expn	Index	98.8	98.0	97.5	-
8:30	14:00	SNB Mtg	%	-	-0.75	-0.75	-
14:00	19:30	US New Home Sales	K	967	890	901	-
GMT	IST	25-Sep-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
12:30	18:00	US Dur Goods	%	-4.0	1.1	11.4	-
GMT	IST	29-Sep-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
9:00	14:30	EU Biz Climate		-	-	87.7	-

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SHRI MURLI SARAF
Shyam Group of Companies
Bengaluru

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MR RAVIN MODY
Marico Ltd.
Mumbai

Forex reports by KSHITIJ.COM are based on dedicated and in depth analysis of various economic and financial parameters. Hence the judgement, quality, probability and reliability of these forex risk management views are quite high.

MR SURESH CHETTIAR
Lupin Ltd.
Mumbai

SEPTEMBER- 2020
MONDAY		TUESDAY		WEDNESDAY		THURSDAY		FRIDAY
		1	AU PMI	2	AU GDP	3	IN Svcs PMI	4	US NFP
			RBA Mtg		US ADP Emp		CH CPI		US Unemp
			EU Unemp				EU Retail Sales		US Avg Hrly Earnings
			US ISM				US Trade Bal		CA Lab Force
			JP PMI				AU Trade Bal
			JP Unemp
			IN Manf PMI
			CH PMI
			UK PMI
			EU PMI
			CA PMI
			CN PMI

7	US, CA	8	EU GDP	9	BOC Mtg	10	ECB Mtg	11	IN IIP
			JP GDP		CN CPI		US PPI		US CPI
					CN PPI		US Core PPI		US Core CPI
									UK Trade Bal

14	IN WPI	15	In Trade Bal	16	UK CPI	17	AU Lab Force	18	JP CPI
	IN CPI		UK Unemp		EU Trade Bal		BOE Mtg		US Curr Acct
	EU Ind Prodn		US Ind Prodn		US Retail Sales		BOE Mins
			US Cap Util		US TIC		EU CPI
			CN IIP		FOMC Mtg		US Philli Fed
			CN Retail Sales		CA CPI		US Hsg Starts
							BOJ Mtg

21	JP	22	JP	23		24	SNB Mtg	25	US Durable Goods
			US Ex Home Sales				GER IFO
							US New Home Sales

28	CH GDP	29	EU Biz Climate	30	UK GDP
		29	US Cons Conf	30	UK Cons Conf
			US Case Schiller		US GDP
					US ADP Emp
					CA GDP