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How Forex Profit/Loss feels to Importers and Exporters

As per the :Prospect Theory by Noble laureate Daniel Kahneman, the feeling pf profit/loss is different from the actual value of the profit/loss. All our clients say that while they do not need forex profits, they strictly want to avoid forex losses. So the first purpose of the KSHITIJ Hedging Method is to reduce losses. And then, make some profits too.

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OCTOBER - 2020
DATE	TIME		ECONOMIC DATA	UNIT	EXPECTATIONS		PREV	ACTUAL
	GMT	IST			KSHITIJ	MARKET
1-Oct-20	22:30	4:00	AU PMI		51.2	-	49.3	46.7
	23:50	5:20	JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index		-	-23	-34	-27
	0:30	6:00	JP PMI		47.8	47.3	47.2	47.7
	5:00	10:30	IN Manufacturing PMI		52.9	48.2	52.0	56.8
	6:30	12:00	CH CPI		-	-0.8	-0.9	-0.8
	7:30	13:00	CH PMI		-	53.4	51.8	53.1
	8:00	13:30	EU PMI		-	53.7	51.7	53.7
	8:30	14:00	UK PMI		56.0	54.3	55.2	54.1
	9:00	14:30	EU Unemp	%	7.9	8.1	8.0	8.1
	12:30	18:00	US Personal Income	%	0.8	-2.0	0.5	-2.7
	12:30	18:00	US PCE Price Index M/M	%	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3
	13:30	19:00	CA PMI		-	-	55.1	56.0
	14:00	19:30	US Manufacturing ISM		56.8	56.0	56.0	55.4
2-Oct-20	23:30	5:00	JP Unemp	%	2.9	3.0	2.9	3.0
	12:30	18:00	US NFP	K	1445	900	1489	661
	12:30	18:00	US Unemployment Rate	%	10.4	8.2	8.4	7.9
	12:30	18:00	US Avg Hrly Earnings		0.0	0.5	0.3	0.1
5-Oct-20	9:00	14:30	EU Retail Sales	%	-	2.4	-1.8	4.4
6-Oct-20	0:30	6:00	Australia Trade Balance	A$ Bln	-	5.1	4.7	2.6
	4:30	10:00	RBA Meeting	%	-	0.25	0.25	0.25
	5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI		-	44.7	41.8	49.8
	12:30	18:00	US Trade Balance	$ Bln	-	-66.2	-63.4	-67.1
9-Oct-20	4:30	10:00	RBI Repo Rate	%	-	4.00	4.00	4.00
	4:30	10:00	RBI Rev Repo Rate	%	-	3.35	3.35	3.35
	4:30	10:00	RBI MSF	%	-	-	4.25	4.25
	6:00	11:30	UK Trade Bal	GBP (Bln)	-	-9.1	-7.9	-9.0
	12:30	18:00	CA Labour Force	K	-	150.0	245.8	378.2
12-Oct-20	12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	-8.2	-7.5	-10.8	-8.0
	12:00	17:30	IN CPI		6.56	6.88	6.69	7.34
13-Oct-20	6:00	11:30	UK Unemp	%	4.2	4.3	4.1	4.5
	12:30	18:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.2
	12:30	18:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.2
14-Oct-20	6:30	12:00	IN WPI	%	0.76	0.78	0.16	1.32
	9:00	14:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	2.4	0.8	5.0	0.7
	12:30	18:00	US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)	%	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4
	12:30	18:00	US PPI	%	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4
15-Oct-20	1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)		-	1.9	2.4	1.7
	1:30	7:00	CN PPI		-	-1.9	-2.0	-2.1
	1:30	7:00	Australia Labour Force	K	-	-35.0	129.1	-29.5
	12:30	18:00	US Philifed Index		-	14.4	15.0	32.3
	13:00	18:30	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-2.26	-3.30	-6.77	-2.73
16-Oct-20	9:00	14:30	EU CPI (YoY)	%	-	-0.3	-0.2	-0.3
	9:00	14:30	EU Trade Bal	EUR Bln	-	18.1	19.3	21.9
	12:30	18:00	US Retail Sales (MoM)	%	-2.0	-	0.2	1.9
	13:15	18:45	US Industrial Production	%	1.1	0.6	0.5	-0.7
	13:15	18:45	US Capacity Utilization	%	-	72.1	72.0	71.5
	20:00	1:30	US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec)	$ Bln	-	20.0	11.3	27.8
19-Oct-20	2:00	7:30	CN GDP	%	-	5.5	3.2	4.9
	2:00	7:30	CN IIP (YoY)	%	-	5.8	5.6	5.4
20-Oct-20	12:30	18:00	US Housing Starts	K	-	1450	1388	1415
21-Oct-20	6:00	11:30	UK CPI Y/Y	%	-	0.40	0.18	0.55
	12:30	18:00	CA Inflation Y/Y	%	-	0.4	0.1	0.5
22-Oct-20	14:00	19:30	US Existing Home Sales	K	-	6200	6000	-
23-Oct-20	23:05	4:35	UK Cons Conf		-	-28	-25	-
	23:30	5:00	JP CPI		-	-	0.2	-
26-Oct-20	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Climate		-	-	93.4	-
	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Situations	Index	-	-	89.2	-
	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Expectations	Index	-	-	97.7	-
	14:00	19:30	US New Home Sales	K	-	-	1011.0	-
27-Oct-20	12:30	18:00	US Durable Goods Orders	%	-	-	0.4	-
	13:00	18:30	US Case Schiller	%	-	-	4.0	-
	14:00	19:30	US Cons Conf		-	-	101.8	-
28-Oct-20	1:30	7:00	AU CPI	%	-	-	-0.3	-
	14:00	19:30	BOC Meeting	%	-	-	0.25	-
29-Oct-20	3:00	8:30	BOJ Meeting	%	-	-	-0.10	-
	9:00	14:30	EU Biz Climate		-	-	91.1	-
	11:45	17:15	ECB Mtg	%	-	-	0.00	-
	12:30	18:00	US GDP	%	-	-	-35.9	-
30-Oct-20	23:30	5:00	JP Unemp	%	-	-	3.0	-
	9:00	14:30	EU Unemp	%	-	-	8.1	-
	12:30	18:00	CA GDP	%	-	-	3.0	-
30-Oct-20	23:05	4:35	UK Cons Conf


OCTOBER - 2020
				Expectations
GMT	IST	16-Oct-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
9:00	14:30	EU CPI (YoY)	%	-	-0.3	-0.2	-0.3
9:00	14:30	EU Trade Bal	EUR Bln	-	18.1	19.3	21.9
12:30	18:00	US Retail Sales	%	-2.0	-	0.2	1.9
13:15	18:45	US Ind Prodn	%	1.1	0.6	0.5	-0.7
13:15	18:45	US Cap Util	%	-	72.1	72.0	71.5
20:00	1:30	US TICS	$ Bln	-	20.0	11.3	27.8
GMT	IST	19-Oct-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
2:00	7:30	CN GDP	%	-	5.5	3.2	4.9
2:00	7:30	CN IIP (YoY)	%	-	5.8	5.6	5.4
GMT	IST	20-Oct-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
12:30	18:00	US Housing Starts	K	-	1450.0	1388	1415
GMT	IST	21-Oct-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
6:00	11:30	UK CPI Y/Y	%	-	0.40	0.18	0.55
12:30	18:00	CA Inflation Y/Y	%	-	0.4	0.1	0.5
GMT	IST	22-Oct-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
14:00	19:30	US Existing Home Sales	K	-	6200.0	6000	-
GMT	IST	23-Oct-20		Kshitij	Market	Prev	Actual
23:05	4:35	UK Cons Conf		-	-28	-25	-
23:30	5:00	JP CPI		-	-	0.2	-

Download 2020 Economic Calendar

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'20 Quarterly Forecast

Our Oct'20 Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'20 EURUSD Report

The Euro broke below 1.17 as expected but has bounce-back again from the low of 1.1612. Will it now sustain above 1.17 and move up to 1.19-1.20 again? ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'20 USDJPY Report

The support at 104 has held well and the Dollar-Yen has bounced-back in line with our expectation. Will the pair break this resistance and move up to the upper end of its range or will it see a fresh fall again? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'20 Calendar Wallpaper

No one likes to lose. Losses always feel more weighty than gains. So the first purpose of the KSHITIJ Hedging Method is to reduce losses. And then ....... Download Oct'20 Wallpaper

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'20 Crude Oil Report

Brent-Nymex WTI is at lower levels near trend support and is poised to see a sharp rise from here in the next couple of months. Could crude prices too rise in accordance with the rise in the spread? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Sep'20 US Treasury Report

The US Treasury yields have bounced in line with our expectation from their near-term supports. Can the yields sustain this bounce and move up further? ... Read More

Kshitij is the only advisor that has taken a firm stand on the market at various times and at the same time they have always been willing to accept their mistakes gracefully.

SHRI MURLI SARAF
Shyam Group of Companies
Bengaluru

We are privileged to be associated with Kshitij as our Forex Advisor. Their valuable advice has helped Marico to redefine its forex management policies. We look forward to a long and rewarding association with them.

MR RAVIN MODY
Marico Ltd.
Mumbai

Forex reports by KSHITIJ.COM are based on dedicated and in depth analysis of various economic and financial parameters. Hence the judgement, quality, probability and reliability of these forex risk management views are quite high.

MR SURESH CHETTIAR
Lupin Ltd.
Mumbai

OCTOBER- 2020
MONDAY		TUESDAY		WEDNESDAY		THURSDAY		FRIDAY
						1	CN	2	CN, IN
							AU PMI		JP Unemp
							JP Tankan		US NFP
							JP PMI		US Unemp
							IN Manf PMI		US Avg Hrly Earnings
							CH PMI
							CH CPI
							UK PMI
							EU PMI
							CA PMI
							US ISM

5	AU. CN	6	CN	7	CN	8	CN	9	UK Trade Bal
	EU Retail Sales		AU Trade Bal						CA Lab Force
			RBA Mtg						RBI Mtg
			IN Svcs PMI
			US Trade Bal

12	US, CA	13	UK Unemp	14	IN WPI	15	AU Lab Force	16	EU CPI
	IN IIP		US CPI		IN CPI		In Trade Bal		EU Trade Bal
			US Core CPI		EU Ind Prodn		US Philli Fed		US Ind Prodn
					US PPI		CN CPI		US Cap Util
					US Core PPI		CN PPI		US Retail Sales
									US TIC

19	CN IIP	20	US Hsg Starts	21	UK CPI	22	US Ex Home Sales	23	JP CPI
	CN GDP	20		21	CA CPI	22		23

26	GER IFO	27	US Durable Goods	28	AU CPI	29	BOJ Mtg	30	IN
	US New Home Sales	27	US Cons Conf	28	BOC Mtg	29	ECB Mtg	30	JP Unemp
			US Case Schiller				EU Biz Climate		UK Cons Conf
							US GDP		EU Unemp
									US Pers. Inc.
									US PCE
									CA GDP

02 Gandhi Jayanti		25 Dussehra		30 Eid-e-Milad