Economic Calendar

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Indo-US CPI Differential vs USDINR

From 2004 to 2014, Dollar-Rupee rose/ fell alongwith the increase/ decrease in the Indo-US Inflation (CPI) differential, in line with economic theory. However, there has been divergence between Indo-US Inflation Spread and USD-INR since May 2014. In this period, USDINR has reacted mainly to increase in Current Account Deficit. Divergence has increased in 2018.

Table View | Calendar View | Mar-19 Calendar Story


MARCH - 2019
DATE	TIME		ECONOMIC DATA	UNIT	EXPECTATIONS		PREV	ACTUAL
	GMT	IST			KSHITIJ	MARKET
1-Mar-19	21:30	3:00	AU PMI		52.29	-	52.5	54.0
	23:30	5:00	JP Unemp	%	2.3	2.4	2.4	2.5
	0:30	6:00	JP PMI		48.42	48.5	48.5	48.9
	1:45	7:15	CN PMI		48.11	48.7	48.3	49.9
	5:00	10:30	IN Manufacturing PMI		54.02	-	53.9	54.3
	8:30	14:00	CH PMI		53.99	53.8	54.3	55.4
	9:00	14:30	EU PMI		-	49.2	50.5	49.3
	9:30	15:00	UK PMI		52.56	52.0	52.6	52.0
	10:00	15:30	EU Unemp	%	7.8	7.9	7.8	7.8
	13:30	19:00	US Personal Income	%	0.65	0.50	0.25	1.00
	13:30	19:00	US PCE Price Index M/M	%	0.15	0.20	0.18	0.19
	13:30	19:00	CA GDP	%	-	0.0	-0.1	-0.1
	15:00	20:30	US Manufacturing ISM		57.15	56.0	56.6	54.2
5-Mar-19	4:30	10:00	RBA Meeting	%	-	1.50	1.50	1.50
	5:00	10:30	IN Services PMI		51.53	-	52.20	52.50
	7:30	13:00	CH CPI		0.66	-	0.60	0.62
	10:00	15:30	EU Retail Sales	%	-0.07	0.8	-1.4	1.3
	15:00	20:30	US New Home Sales	K	658	593	628	621
6-Mar-19	1:30	7:00	AU GDP	%	-	0.40	0.26	0.18
	13:15	18:45	US ADP Emp	K	221	190	300	183
	13:30	19:00	US Trade Balance	$ Bln	-53.0	-57.0	-50.3	-59.8
	14:00	19:30	BOC Meeting	%	-	1.75	1.75	1.75
7-Mar-19	0:30	6:00	Australia Trade Balance	A$ Bln	9.56	3.00	3.77	4.55
	10:00	15:30	EU GDP	%	-	0.20	0.19	0.22
	0:45	6:15	ECB Mtg	%	-	0.00	0.00	0.00
8-Mar-19	23:50	5:20	JP GDP	%	0.68%	-	0.3%	0.5%
	13:30	19:00	US Housing Starts	K	1135	1180	1037	1230
	13:30	19:00	US NFP	K	259	185	311	20
	13:30	19:00	US Unemployment Rate	%	-	3.9	4.0	3.8
	13:30	19:00	US Avg Hrly Earnings		0.48	0.30	0.07	0.40
	13:30	19:00	US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees	%	0.22	-	0.04	0.35
9-Mar-19	1:30	7:00	CN CPI (YoY)		-	1.5	1.7	1.5
	1:30	7:00	CN PPI		-	0.2	0.1	0.1
11-Mar-19	12:30	18:00	US Retail Sales (MoM)	%	-0.15	0.00	-1.83	0.15
12-Mar-19	8:30	14:00	UK Trade Bal	GBP (Bln)	-11.88	-12.0	-12.3	-12.1
	12:00	17:30	IN IIP	%	2.80	-	2.60	1.66
	12:00	17:30	IN CPI		2.30	-	1.97	2.57
	12:30	18:00	US CPI (MoM)	%	0.01	0.2	0.0	0.2
	12:30	18:00	US Core CPI (MoM)	%	0.13	0.2	0.2	0.1
13-Mar-19	10:00	15:30	EU Ind Prodn (MoM)	%	-0.14	1.0	-0.9	1.45
	12:30	18:00	US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)	%	0.29	0.2	0.0	0.4
	12:30	18:00	US PPI	%	0.11	0.2	-0.1	0.1
	12:30	18:00	US Durable Goods Orders	%	-1.39	-0.50	1.27	0.35
14-Mar-19	2:00	7:30	CN GDP		-	-	6.4	-
14-Mar-19	2:00	7:30	CN Retail Sales		-	8.1	8.2	8.2
	2:00	7:30	CN IIP (YoY)		-	5.5	5.7	5.3
	6:30	12:00	IN WPI	%	2.30	-	2.76	2.93
	14:00	19:30	US New Home Sales	K	659	622	652	607
15-Mar-19	3:00	8:30	BOJ Meeting	%	-	-0.10	-0.10	-0.10
	10:00	15:30	EU CPI (YoY)	%	0.77	-	1.17	1.31
	12:00	17:30	IN Trade bal	$ Bln	-	-	-14.73	-9.59
	13:15	18:45	US Industrial Production	%	0.10	0.4	-0.36	0.18
	13:15	18:45	US Capacity Utilization	%	78.35	78.5	78.3	78.2
	20:00	1:30	US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec)	$ Bln	-7.55	-6.9	-48.31	-7.24
18-Mar-19	10:00	15:30	EU Trade Bal	EUR Bln	-	17.2	16.0	17.0
19-Mar-19	9:30	15:00	UK Unemp	%	4.0	4.0	4.0	3.9
20-Mar-19	9:30	15:00	UK CPI Y/Y	%	1.53	1.80	1.82	1.81
	18:00	23:30	US FOMC Meeting	%	-	<2.50	<2.50	-
21-Mar-19	0:30	6:00	Australia Labour Force	K	25.3	15.2	39.08	-
	8:30	14:00	SNB Mtg	%	-	-0.75	-0.75	-
	12:00	17:30	UK BOE Minutes		-	0-0-9	0-0-9	-
	12:00	17:30	BOE Mtg	%	0.75	0.75	0.75	-
	12:30	18:00	US Philifed Index		-5.27	6.1	-4.1	-
22-Mar-19	23:30	5:00	JP CPI	%	0.36	0.30	0.20	-
	14:00	19:30	US Existing Home Sales	K	4999	5100	4940	-
	13:30	19:00	CA Inflation Y/Y	%	1.4	1.4	1.4	-
25-Mar-19	8:00	13:30	GER IFO Business Climate		-	-	98.5	-
	9:00	14:30	GER IFO Business Situations		-	-	103.4	-

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MARCH - 2019
MONDAY		TUESDAY		WEDNESDAY		THURSDAY		FRIDAY
								1	AU PMI
									JP Unemp
									JP PMI
									IN Manf PMI
									CH PMI
									UK PMI
									EU Unemp
									EU PMI
									US ISM
									US Pers. Inc.
									US PCE
									CA GDP

4	IN	5	RBA Mtg	6	AU GDP	7	AU Trade Bal	8	JP GDP
			IN Svcs PMI		US ADP Emp		EU GDP		US NFP
			CH CPI		BOC Mtg		ECB Mtg		US Unemp
			EU Retail Sales		US Trade Bal				US Avg Hrly Earnings
			US New Home Sales						US Hsg Starts
									CA Lab Force
									CA PMI

11	US Retail Sales	12	IN IIP	13	EU Ind Prodn	14	CN Retail Sales	15	BOJ Mtg
			IN CPI		US PPI		CN IIP		In Trade Bal
			UK Trade Bal		US Core PPI		IN WPI		EU CPI
			US CPI		US Dur Goods		US New Home Sales		US Ind Prodn
			US Core CPI						US Cap Util
									US TIC

18	EU Trade Bal	19	UK Unemp	20	UK CPI	21	JP, IN	22	JP CPI
18		19		20	FOMC Mtg	21	AU Lab Force		US Ex Home Sales
							SNB Mtg		CA CPI
							BOE Mtg
							BOE Mins
							US Philli Fed

25	GER IFO	26	US Hsg Starts	27	US Trade Bal	28	EU Biz Climate	29	JP Unemp
25		26	US Cons Conf	27	US Curr Acct	28	US GDP	29	UK GDP
			US Case Schiller						UK Cons Conf
									US Pers. Inc.
									US PCE
									US New Home Sales
									CA GDP

	04 Mahashivratri	21 Holi