Kshitij Consultancy Services
Economic Calendar


% Reliability of Kshitij Forecasts

In keeping with our practice of publishing our forecast track record, here is a snapshot of how our Dollar-Rupee, Brent Crude and Euro forecasts have fared. In Dollar-Rupee, our reliabitly has improved from around 35% in 2008 to 73% now. For Brent the reliability stands at 81% and for Euro it is at 76% . Tracking our own performance gives us an incentive to improve over time. Indeed, for Dollar-Rupee, we are probably the first and still the only firm to track our performance since 2006. The next time you ask anybody for a forecast, ask for their track record also.
AUGUST - 2020
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
3-Aug-20 22:30 4:00 AU PMI   49.7 - 51.5 53.5
  3:15 8:45 CN PMI   50.8 51.1 51.2 52.8
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 51.1 47.4 51.8
  4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 0.25 0.25 0.25
5-Aug-20 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   - 38.8 33.7 34.2
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -57.8 -50.3 -54.8 -50.7
7-Aug-20 12:30 18:00 US NFP K 282 1510 4791 1763
10-Aug-20 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 2.6 2.5 2.7
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -2.5 -3.0 -2.4
11-Aug-20 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.9
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % - -20.0 -33.9 -16.6
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.1 0.1 -0.3 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.6
12-Aug-20 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -3.2 -4.5 -1.8 -5.1
  6:00 11:30 UK GDP % - -20.5 -2.2 -20.4
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 3.1 10.1 12.3 9.1
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6
13-Aug-20 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K - 30.0 228.4 114.7
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   - 6.15 6.23 6.93
14-Aug-20 2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 0.1 -1.8 -1.1
  2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 5.1 4.8 4.8
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % - -1.07 -1.81 -0.58
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 18.0 8.6 17.1
  12:00 17:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln - -2.00 0.80 -4.83
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.6 - 6.8 0.9
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 2.0 3.1 5.7 3.1
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 67.6 70.3 68.5 70.6
17-Aug-20 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - -7.5% -0.6% -
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - - 127.0 -
18-Aug-20 12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1168.0 1230.0 1186.0 -
19-Aug-20 8:30 14:00 UK CPI Y/Y % - 0.5 0.6 -
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % - 0.4 0.3 -
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - - 0.7 -
20-Aug-20 12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   - 21.0 24.1 -
21-Aug-20 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   - -25 -27 -
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   - - 0.1 -
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4831.5 5400.0 4720.0 -
AUGUST - 2020
      Expectations    
GMT IST 10-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 2.6 2.5 2.7
1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -2.5 -3.0 -2.4
GMT IST 11-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.9
12:00 17:30 IN IIP % - -20.0 -33.9 -16.6
12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.1 0.1 -0.3 0.5
12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.6
GMT IST 12-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -3.2 -4.5 -1.8 -5.1
6:00 11:30 UK GDP % - -20.5 -2.2 -20.4
9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 3.1 10.1 12.3 9.1
12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6
12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6
GMT IST 13-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
1:30 7:00 AU Lab Force K - 30.0 228.4 114.7
12:00 17:30 IN CPI   - 6.15 6.23 6.93
GMT IST 14-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 0.1 -1.8 -1.1
2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 5.1 4.8 4.8
6:30 12:00 IN WPI % - -1.07 -1.81 -0.58
9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - - -3.75 -
9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 18.0 8.6 17.1
12:00 12:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln - -2.00 0.80 -4.83
12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.6 - 6.8 0.9
13:15 18:45 US Ind Prodn % 2.0 3.1 5.7 3.1
13:15 18:45 US Cap Util % 67.6 70.3 68.5 70.6
GMT IST 17-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - -7.5% -0.6% -
20:00 1:30 US TICS $ Bln - - 127.0 -
               
               
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