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Kshitij USDINR forecasts beat market consensus

Over the years, our forecasts have been closer to the actual market movement than the market consensus. This is why our Clients who have Been There/ Done That find our forecasts to be more reliable.
OCTOBER - 2019
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
  1:30 7:00 JP PMI Index 49.3 49.3 48.9 48.9
  4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 0.75 1.00 0.75
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI Index 51.5 51.8 51.4 51.4
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI Index 45.9 46.5 47.2 44.6
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI Index - - 45.6 45.7
  14:00 19:30 CA PMI Index - - 49.1 51.0
2-Oct-19 6:30 12:00 CH CPI % 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1
14-Oct-19 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 0.8 0.90 1.08 0.33
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.3 0.3 -0.4 0.4
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI % 3.55 3.70 3.28 3.99
15-Oct-19 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY) % - 2.9 2.8 3.0
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI % - -1.2 -0.8 -1.2
  8:30 14:00 UK Unemp % 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9
12:30 18:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -12.8 -12.9 -13.5 -10.9
16-Oct-19 8:30 14:00 UK CPI Y/Y % 1.86 1.80 1.78 1.78
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 18.6 19.0 20.3
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 1.1 0.3 0.6 -0.3
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 74.3 83.8 -41.1
17-Oct-19 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K 22.7 15.3 37.9 14.7
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index Index - 7.3 12.0 5.6
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1351 1320 1386 1256
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.4 -0.1 0.7 -0.4
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.0 77.7 77.9 77.5
18-Oct-19 23:30 5:00 JP CPI % - 0.4 0.2 0.2
  2:00 7:30 CN GDP % - 6.10 6.2 6.0
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 7.8 7.5 7.8
  2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 5.0 4.4 5.8
22-Oct-19 14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K - - 5490 -
24-Oct-19 11:45 17:15 ECB Mtg % - - 0.00 -
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % - - 0.18 -
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K - - 713 -
25-Oct-19 8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate Index - - 94.6 -
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index - - 98.5 -
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index - - 90.8 -
OCTOBER - 2019
      Expectations    
GMT IST 11-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
12:00 17:30 IN IIP % - 1.8 4.6 -1.1
12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 11.2 81.1 53.7
GMT IST 14-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 0.8 0.90 1.08 0.33
9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.3 0.3 -0.4 0.4
12:00 17:30 IN CPI % 3.55 3.70 3.28 3.99
GMT IST 15-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY) % - 2.9 2.8 3.0
1:30 7:00 CN PPI % - -1.2 -0.8 -1.2
8:30 14:00 UK Unemp % 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9
12:30 18:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -12.8 -12.9 -13.5 -10.9
GMT IST 16-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
8:30 14:00 UK CPI Y/Y % 1.86 1.80 1.78 1.78
9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8
9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 18.6 19.0 20.3
12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 1.1 0.3 0.6 -0.3
12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9
20:00 1:30 US TICS $ Bln - 74.3 83.8 -41.1
GMT IST 17-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
1:30 7:00 Australia Lab Force K 22.7 15.3 37.9 14.7
12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index Index - 7.3 12.0 5.6
12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1351 1320 1386 1256
13:15 18:45 US Ind Production % 0.4 -0.1 0.7 -0.4
13:15 18:45 US Cap Utilization % 78.0 77.7 77.9 77.5
GMT IST 18-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
23:30 5:00 JP CPI % - 0.40 0.20 0.20
2:00 7:30 CN GDP % - 6.10 6.2 6.0
2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 7.8 7.5 7.8
2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 5.0 4.4 5.8
GMT IST 22-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
14:00 19:30 US Ex Home Sales K - - 5490 -
GMT IST 24-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
11:45 17:15 ECB Mtg % - - 0.00 -
12:30 12:30 US Dur Goods Orders % - - 0.18 -
14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K - - 713 -
GMT IST 25-Oct-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
8:00 13:30 GER IFO Bus Climate Index - - 94.6 -
8:00 13:30 GER IFO Bus Situations Index - - 98.5 -
8:00 13:30 GER IFO Bus Expn Index - - 90.8 -
               
               
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