Kshitij Consultancy Services
Economic Calendar


% Reliability of Kshitij Forecasts

In keeping with our practice of publishing our forecast track record, here is a snapshot of how our Dollar-Rupee, Brent Crude and Euro forecasts have fared. In Dollar-Rupee, our reliabitly has improved from around 35% in 2008 to 73% now. For Brent the reliability stands at 81% and for Euro it is at 76% . Tracking our own performance gives us an incentive to improve over time. Indeed, for Dollar-Rupee, we are probably the first and still the only firm to track our performance since 2006. The next time you ask anybody for a forecast, ask for their track record also.
AUGUST - 2020
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
3-Aug-20 22:30 4:00 AU PMI   49.7 - 51.5 53.5
  3:15 8:45 CN PMI   50.8 51.1 51.2 52.8
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 51.1 47.4 51.8
  4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 0.25 0.25 0.25
5-Aug-20 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   - 38.8 33.7 34.2
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -57.8 -50.3 -54.8 -50.7
7-Aug-20 12:30 18:00 US NFP K 282 1510 4791 1763
10-Aug-20 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 2.6 2.5 2.7
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -2.5 -3.0 -2.4
11-Aug-20 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.9
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % - -20.0 -33.9 -16.6
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.1 0.1 -0.3 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.6
12-Aug-20 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -3.2 -4.5 -1.8 -5.1
  6:00 11:30 UK GDP % - -20.5 -2.2 -20.4
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 3.1 10.1 12.3 9.1
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6
13-Aug-20 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K - 30.0 228.4 114.7
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   - 6.15 6.23 6.93
14-Aug-20 2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 0.1 -1.8 -1.1
  2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 5.1 4.8 4.8
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % - -1.07 -1.81 -0.58
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 18.0 8.6 17.1
  12:00 17:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln - -2.00 0.80 -4.83
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.6 - 6.8 0.9
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 2.0 3.1 5.7 3.1
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 67.6 70.3 68.5 70.6
17-Aug-20 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - -7.5% -0.6% -
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - - 127.0 -
18-Aug-20 12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1168.0 1230.0 1186.0 -
19-Aug-20 8:30 14:00 UK CPI Y/Y % - 0.5 0.6 -
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % - 0.4 0.3 -
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - - 0.7 -
20-Aug-20 12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   - 21.0 24.1 -
21-Aug-20 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   - -25 -27 -
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   - - 0.1 -
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4831.5 5400.0 4720.0 -
AUGUST - 2020
      Expectations    
GMT IST 10-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 2.6 2.5 2.7
1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -2.5 -3.0 -2.4
GMT IST 11-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.9
12:00 17:30 IN IIP % - -20.0 -33.9 -16.6
12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.1 0.1 -0.3 0.5
12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.6
GMT IST 12-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -3.2 -4.5 -1.8 -5.1
6:00 11:30 UK GDP % - -20.5 -2.2 -20.4
9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 3.1 10.1 12.3 9.1
12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6
12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6
GMT IST 13-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
1:30 7:00 AU Lab Force K - 30.0 228.4 114.7
12:00 17:30 IN CPI   - 6.15 6.23 6.93
GMT IST 14-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 0.1 -1.8 -1.1
2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 5.1 4.8 4.8
6:30 12:00 IN WPI % - -1.07 -1.81 -0.58
9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - - -3.75 -
9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 18.0 8.6 17.1
12:00 12:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln - -2.00 0.80 -4.83
12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.6 - 6.8 0.9
13:15 18:45 US Ind Prodn % 2.0 3.1 5.7 3.1
13:15 18:45 US Cap Util % 67.6 70.3 68.5 70.6
GMT IST 17-Aug-20   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - -7.5% -0.6% -
20:00 1:30 US TICS $ Bln - - 127.0 -
               
               
Shyam Group of Companies

Kshitij is the only advisor that has taken a firm stand on the market at various times and at the same time they have always been willing to accept their mistakes gracefully.
SHRI MURLI SARAF
Shyam Group of Companies
Bengaluru
Marico Ltd.

We are privileged to be associated with Kshitij as our Forex Advisor. Their valuable advice has helped Marico to redefine its forex management policies. We look forward to a long and rewarding association with them.
MR RAVIN MODY
Marico Ltd.
Mumbai
Lupin Ltd.

Forex reports by KSHITIJ.COM are based on dedicated and in depth analysis of various economic and financial parameters. Hence the judgement, quality, probability and reliability of these forex risk management views are quite high.
MR SURESH CHETTIAR
Lupin Ltd.
Mumbai
Aug'20 Monthly Forecast
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Aug'20 Monthly Forecast
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July'20 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
July'20 EURUSD Report
The Euro has surged above 1.15 much faster than we had expected. The EU leader agreeing to raise a relief fund to aid the economic recovery has boosted the sentiment. How far the Euro can go up further from here? Is the currency coming closer to top and getting ripe for a correction? ...Read More
Aug'20 USDJPY Report
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Aug'20 USDJPY Report
Dollar-Yen has risen sharply after testing the lower end of its 104-112 broad range. Will it now go up further towards upper end of the range or will the rally lose steam and the pair will fall-back again. ... Read More
JAug'20 Calendar Wallpaper
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Aug'20 Calendar Wallpaper
Tracking our own performance gives us an incentive to improve over time. Indeed, for Dollar-Rupee, we are probably the first and still the only firm to track our performance since 2006. ....... Download Aug'20 Wallpaper
July'20 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
July'20 Crude Oil Report
Crude has been in a sideways narrow range since the last 1-month but how long will this sustain? With Rig count at multi year low levels and a sharp fall in shale production will Crude be able to rise further from here? ... Read More
Aug'20 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'20 US Treasury Report
The US Treasury yields have come down breaking below the key supports that we had expected to hold. Will they continue to fall further or can they bounce-back again from the intermediate supports that are coming up? ... Read More
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