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KSHITIJ.COM Dollar-Rupee Forecast Reliability Chart

We are probably the first and still the only firm to track the Reliability of our Rupee forecasts since 2006. Our Reliability stands at 74.2% currently, the highest level so for. It is like our career batting average and is a vast improvement over the 40% seen in 2008. NOTE that Reliability is measured as a combination of directional accuracy and numerical accuracy.
DECEMBER - 2019
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
          KSHITIJ MARKET    
  1:30 7:00 JP PMI Index - 48.6 48.6 48.9
  3:15 8:45 CN PMI Index 51.6 51.4 51.7 51.8
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI Index - - 45.9 46.9
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI Index - - 49.6 48.9
  7:30 13:00 CH CPI % - -0.1 -0.3 -0.1
4-Dec-19 1:30 7:00 AU GDP % - 0.5 0.6 0.4
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI Index - 49.8 49.2 52.7
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -54.2 -48.7 -51.1 -47.2
6-Dec-19 13:30 19:00 US NFP K 142 186 156 266
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % - 3.6 3.6 3.5
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings % - 0.3 0.4 0.3
  13:30 19:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % - - 0.4 0.3
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - 10.0 -1.8 -71.2
9-Dec-19 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - 0.2% 0.1% 0.5%
10-Dec-19 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY) % - 4.5 3.8 4.5
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI % - -1.5 -1.6 -1.4
  9:30 15:00 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -13.7 -11.5 -11.5 -14.5
11-Dec-19 13:30 19:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.1 0.2 0.4 -
  13:30 19:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.2 0.2 0.2 -
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - <1.75 <1.75 -
12-Dec-19 8:30 14:00 SNB Mtg % - -0.8 -0.75 -
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.1 -0.2 0.1 -
  11:45 17:15 ECB Mtg % - 0.00 0.00 -
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % -5.48 -2.00 -4.27 -
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI % 4.98 5.20 4.62 -
12-Dec-19 13:30 19:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.2 0.2 0.3 -
  13:30 19:00 US PPI % 0.1 0.2 0.4 -
13-Dec-19 23:50 5:20 JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index Index - 3 5 -
  5:30 11:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -12.87 - -11.01 -
  13:30 19:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.4 0.4 0.3 -
16-Dec-19 5:30 11:00 CN IIP (YoY) %        
DECEMBER - 2019
      Expectations    
GMT IST 6-Dec-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
13:30 19:00 US NFP K 142 186 156 266
13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % - 3.6 3.6 3.5
13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings % - 0.3 0.4 0.3
13:30 13:30 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % - - 0.4 0.3
13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - -10.0 -1.8 -71.2
GMT IST 9-Dec-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - 0.20% 0.1% 0.45%
GMT IST 10-Dec-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY) % - 4.5 3.8 4.5
1:30 7:00 CN PPI % - -1.5 -1.6 -1.4
9:30 15:00 UK Trade Bal GBP(Bln) -13.7 -11.5 -11.5 -14.5
GMT IST 11-Dec-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
13:30 19:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.1 0.2 0.4 -
13:30 19:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.2 0.2 0.2 -
18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - <1.75 <1.75 -
GMT IST 12-Dec-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
8:30 14:00 SNB Mtg % - -0.8 -0.75 -
10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.1 -0.2 0.1 -
11:45 17:15 ECB Mtg % - 0.00 0.00 -
12:00 17:30 IN IIP % -5.5 -2.0 -4.3 -
12:00 17:30 IN CPI % 5.0 5.2 4.6 -
13:30 19:00 US Core PPI % 0.2 0.2 0.3 -
13:30 19:00 US PPI % 0.1 0.2 0.4 -
GMT IST 13-Dec-19   Kshitij Market Prev Actual
23:50 5:20 JP Tankan Index - 3 5 -
5:30 11:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -12.9 - -11.0 -
13:30 19:00 US Retail Sales % 0.4 0 0.3 -
Shyam Group of Companies

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SHRI MURLI SARAF
Shyam Group of Companies
Bengaluru
Marico Ltd.

We are privileged to be associated with Kshitij as our Forex Advisor. Their valuable advice has helped Marico to redefine its forex management policies. We look forward to a long and rewarding association with them.
MR RAVIN MODY
Marico Ltd.
Mumbai
Lupin Ltd.

Forex reports by KSHITIJ.COM are based on dedicated and in depth analysis of various economic and financial parameters. Hence the judgement, quality, probability and reliability of these forex risk management views are quite high.
MR SURESH CHETTIAR
Lupin Ltd.
Mumbai
Dec'19 Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Dec'19 Monthly Forecast
Our Dec'19 Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Dec'19 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Dec'19 EURUSD Report
The Euro has come-off sharply in November and is currently hovering above the key support level of 1.10. Will the fall extending breaking below 1.10? How far the Euro can fall? ... Read More
Nov'19 USDJPY Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'19 USDJPY Report
Resistance near 109.50-110 is very crucial just now. Although there have been hopes of US-China agreement to take place soon, any negative comments or delay in signing a deal with any unpleasant news would pull back the rise in Dollar Yen seen over the last 2-months. ... Read More
Dec'19 Calendar Wallpaper
WHAT'S NEW?

Dec'19 Calendar Wallpaper
We are probably the first and still the only firm to track the Reliability of our Rupee forecasts since 2006. ....... Download Dec'19 Wallpaper
Dec'19 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Dec'19 Crude Oil Report
Crude prices continued to remain below 75 through 2019. With weak global economic scenario and OPEC and non-OPEC countries focusing on production cuts, we analyse the broad view for Crude in 2020. OPEC decision on production cuts and US-China trade deal would be crucial events for Crude in the coming year. ... Read More
Nov'19 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'19 US Treasury Report
The US Treasury yields have been moving higher over the last few weeks. The easing concerns of the US-China trade-war has increased the risk appetite in the market and taken the yields higher. Will the yields sustain its momentum? ... Read More
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