Kshitij Crude Oil Forecast - Kshitij.com
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Crude Oil Forecast
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Overview
The Kshitij Crude Oil Forecast takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving Global Crude Oil prices, and provides a macro view for the next 2 to 4 quarters.

Following are few of the charts we analyze in these Reports:
  • Technical Price Charts of Brent, WTI, Crude/Gold, Brent-WTI spread
  • Backwardation / Contango in Crude futures
  • Changes of Positioning in Crude Derivatives (CFTC)
  • Global Crude Demand-Supply Balance (as per OPEC, EIA & IEA)
  • Change in US Crude Inventories & Global Production Levels
We have also introduced a “Data View” section for our readers to stay updated on vital data points from the world of Crude Oil.
Crude Report

Aug ' 25 Crude Report

In our July 2025 monthly report (23-Jun-25, Brent @ $78.40), we anticipated a sharp rise in Brent crude towards $90 by Jul–Aug 2025, driven by escalating Iran-Israel tensions and limited prospects of a near-term ceasefire. Accordingly, we revised our projections higher. The dip to come after the rise to $90 by Jul–Aug was limited to $72 by Nov-25, to be subsequently followed by a sustained rally towards $99 by May-26.

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Crude Report

July ' 25 Crude Report

In our monthly Jun-25 report (24-May-25, Brent $64.92), we expected Brent to limit its near-term rise to $68 and to decline towards $55 by Aug-25 before rebounding towards $70 and higher by Mar-26. Brent rose sharply from $58.20 itself instead of extending the fall to our expected $55, meeting our long-term target of $70 much sooner than expected. The acceleration in crude prices have been triggered by escalation of war scenario between Iran and Israel and concerns over closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

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Crude Report

June ' 25 Crude Report

Expected increase in oil supply by OPEC, a possible shallow recession in the US and lower global growth consensus may weigh on the crude prices in the near term and keep it lower. However, we need to keep an eye on the final trade tariff deals between the US and other countries and its impact on crude prices in the longer run and if the oil demand growth would increase in the coming months against a rise in oil supply.

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Crude Report

May ' 25 Crude Report

The Brent crude prices have declined well in line with the Dollar over the last few months on global trade tariffs. Will they continue to decline some more over the next few months, or can they start to reverse higher?

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Crude Report

April ' 25 Crude Report

Brent has been narrowing its trade range since Oct-23, keeping its bottom floored near $67/68 region. Will the Mar-25 low of $68.33 hold and help the crude prices to move up to the higher end of the range in the coming months? Or will global scenario impact crude and force it to break below the $68/67 floor?

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For subscribers in India
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For subscribers elsewhere
Crude Report

March ' 25 Crude Report

Crude is headed towards the lower end of the sideways range. Will the range continue to hold and push the crude prices up with a limited downside in the near term? Or can prices break below the support levels and establish any fresh lows in the coming months?



August '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
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Aug '25 Monthly Forecast
Our August '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
August'25 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'25 EURUSD Report
Markets see the ECB on hold through 2025, with slim odds of a September cut, while the Fed is 90% likely to ease next month after the downward revision in the recent US NFP data release on 01-Aug. ...Read More
Aug'25 USDJPY Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'25 USDJPY Report
In our 09-Jul-25 report (USDJPY 146.81), an initial rise to 150-152 was expected, followed by a fall to 144.50-143.50 before eventually rallying towards 155 in the long term. As anticipated, the USDJPY observed ... Read More
August'25 GOI Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'25 GOI Report
In our 10-Jul-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.38%) we said that Crude might have bottomed and could rise towards $82 (in the long term), limiting the downside for inflation ... Read More
August'25 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'25 Crude Oil Report
Our August 2025 Crude Oil Monthly Report covers updates on OPEC+ production, inventory changes and cross-commodity correlations. Our analysis includes both technical setups and broader market indicators shaping the near-term outlook for Brent. ... Read More
Aug '25 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug '25 US Treasury Report
In our last report (28-Jun-25, UST10Yr 4.28%) we had highlighted the stagflation dilemma faced by the US FED (which still remains); had said that the Inflation Expectation could rise (it did indeed rise); that Inflation is .... Read More
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