Kshitij Crude Oil Forecast - Kshitij.com
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Crude Oil Forecast
Overview
The Kshitij Crude Oil Forecast takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving Global Crude Oil prices, and provides a macro view for the next 2 to 4 quarters.

Following are few of the charts we analyze in these Reports:
  • Technical Price Charts of Brent, WTI, Crude/Gold, Brent-WTI spread
  • Backwardation / Contango in Crude futures
  • Changes of Positioning in Crude Derivatives (CFTC)
  • Global Crude Demand-Supply Balance (as per OPEC, EIA & IEA)
  • Change in US Crude Inventories & Global Production Levels
We have also introduced a “Data View” section for our readers to stay updated on vital data points from the world of Crude Oil.
Crude Report

June ' 21 Crude Report

Brent crude has broken above crucial resistance at $70 and we analyse scope for further upside from here in the Jun'21 report. Taking into consideration the technical and fundamental factors, the most likely path for crude is laid out for the coming months.

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Crude Report

Apr ' 21 Crude Report

The crude spreads between near month and far month futures have started to fall over the last one month. Will Crude also follow the direction of the spreads? Do other fundamental and technical factors support the same view? The factors are discussed in details in the April'21 report.

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Crude Report

Mar ' 21 Crude Report

Crude prices have rallied well over the last few months but could the upside possibly be limited now? We analyse supporting factors both technical and fundamental in the March'21 report to get a firm directional clarity for the coming months.

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Crude Report

Jan ' 21 Crude Report

Brent tested 57.42 in Jan'21 before falling off from there. Is the upside over for now or is there some more steam for the bulls to continue?

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Crude Report

Dec ' 20 Crude Report

Crude prices rallied in the second half of November before stabilizing a bit. In the December report we analyze to see if the Bulls would continue to take prices higher or is the upmove over for now?

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Crude Report

Nov ' 20 Crude Report

Most macro economic factors point unidirectional view for crude for the near term before any change in direction is seen in the longer run. We analyze major factors in the Nov'20 report to see if the recent fall in crude is temporary or will the fall sustain for some more time.

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Crude Report

Oct ' 20 Crude Report

Brent-Nymex WTI is at lower levels near trend support and is poised to see a sharp rise from here in the next couple of months. Could crude prices too rise in accordance with the rise in the spread? We further analyze technical and fundamental factors related to crude price movement in the report.

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Crude Report

Sep ' 20 Crude Report

Crude prices have fallen after filling the gap down opening seen in March'20. Will crude prices fall again or continue to inch up slowly in the coming weeks? We analyze technical and fundamental factors affecting crude price movement in the current report with revised projections for the next 12 months.

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Crude Report

July ' 20 Crude Report

Crude has been in a sideways narrow range since the last 1-month but how long will this sustain? With Rig count at multi year low levels and a sharp fall in shale production will Crude be able to rise further from here? For more details check out the July Crude report

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Crude Report

June ' 20 Crude Report

With fears of second wave of COVID cases spreading, countries are on talks of whether another lockdown phase would be needed. With Global GDP projections reduced sharply, would Crude continue to rally in the coming months? We analyse closely, the technical and fundamental factors that help to project the future path of crude for the coming quarters.

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Crude Report

May ' 20 Crude Report

Laying focus on the storage capacity and production figures of various countries across the globe we may expect some pick up in demand growth that could keep the upside momentum going for crude prices over the coming months. Considering relaxations and partial lifting of lockdown in various countries, we project crude for the coming months in the May report with some optimistic bias.

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Crude Report

Apr ' 20 Crude Report

Lower demand, supply cut by OPEC+ countries, higher inventory stock levels, lack of storage capacity for physical deliveries, etc that arose due to Covid lockdown across the globe has kept downward pressure on Crude alive. Is there more room for Crude prices to fall? Could recovery from here take longer than what markets expect?

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Crude Report

Mar ' 20 Crude Report

Impact of Coronavirus on overall economic growth, expectations of slowing demand for oil, no production cut deal after the OPEC meet in early Mar'20 followed by slashing of oil prices by Saudi Arabia all came in too much at a time for Crude to take in, leading to a plunge over the last 2-months. Is the worst over for Crude? Or is there more to come?

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Crude Report

Jan ' 20 Crude Report

In the Jan'20 Crude report we look Crude price movement by itself on the technical charts to see the movement that looks possible for 2020. Overall our long term view remains the same with some minor changes for interim movements.

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Crude Report

Dec ' 19 Crude Report

Crude prices continued to remain below 75 through 2019. With weak global economic scenario and OPEC and non-OPEC countries focusing on production cuts, we analyse the broad view for Crude in 2020. OPEC decision on production cuts and US-China trade deal would be crucial events for Crude in the coming year.

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Crude Report

Oct ' 19 Crude Report

Demand-Supply Gap is projected to fall over this quarter and the next 2-quarters before rising back from there according to the EIA's latest monthly report. OPEC's December meet would be important to watch. While US-China trade tensions continue amidst tensions of attacks in Saudi Arabia oil facilities, we lay out projections for Crude in the October report with overall long term view remaining intact.

Crude Report

Sep ' 19 Crude Report

Crude oil has been trading volatile in a broad sideways range. Will this range continue to remain intact or are we nearing a breakout? We analyse the possibilities in this month's report.



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