Kshitij Crude Oil Forecast - Kshitij.com
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Crude Oil Forecast
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Overview
The Kshitij Crude Oil Forecast takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving Global Crude Oil prices, and provides a macro view for the next 2 to 4 quarters.

Following are few of the charts we analyze in these Reports:
  • Technical Price Charts of Brent, WTI, Crude/Gold, Brent-WTI spread
  • Backwardation / Contango in Crude futures
  • Changes of Positioning in Crude Derivatives (CFTC)
  • Global Crude Demand-Supply Balance (as per OPEC, EIA & IEA)
  • Change in US Crude Inventories & Global Production Levels
We have also introduced a “Data View” section for our readers to stay updated on vital data points from the world of Crude Oil.
Crude Report

September ' 23 Crude Report

Brent has been in a broad sideways range of $70-90 for quite some months now and has recently moved up towards the upper end of the range. Will it hold below $90 or can it break on the upside?

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Crude Report

August ' 23 Crude Report

Crude prices have moved up over the last couple of months from support at $70. Will it continue to move up? Market positioning and sentiment looks bullish just now but could it take crude prices significanty higher than current levels?

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Crude Report

July ' 23 Crude Report

Crude prices have been ranged within the broad $70-90 zone since Dec-22 and has recently narrowed down to $80-70 over the last few weeks. Can the range continue through the rest of the year? Or could volatility seep in and bring in sharp movement from current consolidative range?

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Crude Report

June ' 23 Crude Report

Brent has been ranged since Dec-22 within $90-70 region. OPEC production cut has been implemented this month and the impact can be assessed in the next OPEC meeting scheduled on 4th June 2023.Possibility of economic slowdown could weigh on the crude prices. Other factors closely correlated to crude prices are discussed in the June23 report in detail

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Crude Report

May ' 23 Crude Report

The Net long short position ratio has risen strongly but has not reflected in a rise in crude prices so far. Will crude prices continue to remain lower while the net position is up? Or will sustained sideways consolidation bring down the long position in the market?

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Crude Report

Apr ' 23 Crude Report

The markets have been strongly short positioned with continued sharp fall in crude prices seen in March-23. It would be crucial to see if the positioning turn towards the long in the coming months or continues to remain at low levels. The April-23 monthly crude report discusses the future path ahead in detail.

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Crude Report

Mar ' 23 Crude Report

Crude has been in a sideways consolidation but it would be important to know how long it would continue to remain ranged. Volatility is likely to remain low in Mar-23. Detailed analysis of the energy complex and other important factors are laid out in the Mar-23 report.

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Crude Report

Feb ' 23 Crude Report

Crude looks stuck within a specific range and needs to give directional clarity on a break on either side of the range. Till then we might have to take cues for near term movement from other commodity-metals, energy-commodities and from fundamental economic scenario. OPEC+ meeting today is crucial to watch for any cues on policy review. The proposed price cap by the EU on Russian Petroleum products and its impact would be crucial to watch this week. Overall if all factors together can keep Brent ranged or push it towards a specific direction will drive the next course of movement for the oil.

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Crude Report

Jan ' 23 Crude Report

Brent tested $75 as expected and has risen from there. Important factors to watch would be Russia's response to G7 price cap on crude in Jan'23 and impact of the planned ban on Russian petroleum products by Europe to be implemented from Feb-23. In addition, the proposed plan of repurchase of oil for filling up of US Strategic Petroleum Reserves in the next couple of quarters if plays out well could eventually help crude prices to rise in the longer run.

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Crude Report

Dec ' 22 Crude Report

December is a crucial month for Crude oil and energy sector. With G7 price cap and EU embargo on Russian oil to kick off from 5th December and OPEC meeting on 4th December, crude could remain volatile in the first half of December. Supply constraints, rising covid cases in China, overall global economic slowdown could have major impact on crude.



September'23 Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'23 Monthly Forecast
Our September'23 Monthly Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
September '23 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '23 EURUSD Report
News from the ECB on hinting at possible pause in rate hikes earlier in July and then in September along with a higher US NFP data in early Sep-23 has aided Euro to fall and remain below 1.08 ...Read More
Sep'23 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'23 Crude Oil Report
Brent has been in a broad sideways range of $70-90 for quite some months now and has recently moved up towards the upper end of the range. Will it hold below $90 or can it break on the upside? ... Read More
September'23 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'23 US Treasury Report
We have been examining the market’s Inflation Expectation in our reports since May-23 and have said that the Breakeven Inflation Expectation can possibly remain above 2% and slowly rise towards 2.50-3.0% in the coming months. It is up from 2.18% in Apr-23. Can it rise further? .... Read More
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