Expected increase in oil supply by OPEC, a possible shallow recession in the US and lower global growth consensus may weigh on the crude prices in the near term and keep it lower. However, we need to keep an eye on the final trade tariff deals between the US and other countries and its impact on crude prices in the longer run and if the oil demand growth would increase in the coming months against a rise in oil supply.
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WHAT'S NEW?
July '25 Quarterly Forecast
Our July '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
July'25 EURUSD Report
The Dollar Index has high chances of rebounding from support at 96, in which case, it could limit the immediate upside for Euro and lead to a decline in the coming months ...Read More
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July'25 USDJPY Report
In our 07-Jun-25 report (USDJPY 144.90), we expected the pair to extend the fall to 138-136 initially before ascending towards 150 in the longer run. Contrary to expectation, the pair ... Read More
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July'25 GOI Report
In our 05-Jun-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.25%) we said that the 10Yr GOI downside is limited to 6.0% from where it can rise towards 6.5%. In line with that, although the 10Yr GOI dipped ... Read More
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July'25 Crude Oil Report
Brent rose sharply from $58.20 itself instead of extending the fall to our expected $55, meeting our long-term target of $70 much sooner than expected. The acceleration in crude prices have been triggered by ... Read More
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Aug '25 US Treasury Report
In our last report (28-Jun-25, UST10Yr 4.28%) we had highlighted the stagflation dilemma faced by the US FED (which still remains); had said that the Inflation Expectation could rise (it did indeed rise); that Inflation is .... Read More