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July ' 25 Crude Oil Report

In our monthly Jun-25 report (24-May-25, Brent $64.92), we expected Brent to limit its near-term rise to $68 and to decline towards $55 by Aug-25 before rebounding towards $70 and higher by Mar-26. Brent rose sharply from $58.20 itself instead of extending the fall to our expected $55, meeting our long-term target of $70 much sooner than expected. The acceleration in crude prices have been triggered by escalation of war scenario between Iran and Israel and concerns over closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
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