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US Treasury Report
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April ' 25 US Treasury Report

In line with expectations in our last report (07-Mar-25, UST10Yr 4.27%), Yields have come down across the Curve. Although the Citi Surprise Index moving up during the month, the economic data has been mixed. While the IIP, Capacity Utilisation and Retail Sales have risen by varying degrees, the Consumer Confidence has fallen sharply to 92.90. Of the two most important variables that the FED watches, Unemployment has risen slightly to 4.1% but the Core PCE has also risen to 2.79% for February, from 2.66% for January. Yields have fallen sharply after Trump’s Liberation Day tariff announcements yesterday (2nd/ 3rd April, 2025).
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