As per the more preferred path in our last report (03-Feb-25, UST10Yr 4.55%) we were looking for the US10Yr to rise to 5.25% by May-25. This does not seem to be working out just. Rather, the alternative less preferred path, wherein the US10Yr could fall in Feb-25 itself, seems to be working out better. The US10-2Yr Spread (0.30%) has also fallen, contrary to our expectation of a rise. Economic data such as Personal Income, US Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence have fallen as expected.
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WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '25 Monthly Forecast
Our March '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'25 EURUSD Report
The sharp fall in the Dollar Index over the last couple of months especially triggered by tariff announcements by Trump has weighed on most global currencies. Euro has correspondingly rallied much faster and quicker than expected. Will the Dollar Index pause its fall now or continue to decline? ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'25 Crude Oil Report
Crude is headed towards the lower end of the sideways range. Will the range continue to hold and push the crude prices up with a limited downside in the near term? Or can prices break below the support levels and establish any fresh lows in the coming months? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '25 US Treasury Report
As per the more preferred path in our last report (03-Feb-25, UST10Yr 4.55%) we were looking for the US10Yr to rise to 5.25% by May-25. This does not seem to be working out just. Rather, the alternative less preferred path, wherein the US10Yr could fall in Feb-25 itself .... Read More