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March ' 25 US Treasury Report

As per the more preferred path in our last report (03-Feb-25, UST10Yr 4.55%) we were looking for the US10Yr to rise to 5.25% by May-25. This does not seem to be working out just. Rather, the alternative less preferred path, wherein the US10Yr could fall in Feb-25 itself, seems to be working out better. The US10-2Yr Spread (0.30%) has also fallen, contrary to our expectation of a rise. Economic data such as Personal Income, US Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence have fallen as expected.

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April '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Apr '25 Quarterly Forecast

Our April '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Apr'25 EURUSD Report

Admist Global trade tariff announcements, market volatility ECB rate cut expectations and economic growth concerns will the Euro manage to hold below the immediate resistance near 1.12? Or will the global scenario force the Euro to surge beyond 1.12? ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Apr'25 Crude Oil Report

Brent has been narrowing its trade range since Oct-23, keeping its bottom floored near $67/68 region. Will the Mar-25 low of $68.33 hold and help the crude prices to move up to the higher end of the range in the coming months? Or will global scenario impact crude and force it to break below the $68/67 floor? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Apr '25 US Treasury Report

In line with expectations in our last report (07-Mar-25, UST10Yr 4.27%), Yields have come down across the Curve. Although the Citi Surprise Index moving up during the month, the economic data has been mixed. While the IIP, Capacity Utilisation and Retail Sales have risen by varying .... Read More

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