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May ' 25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (04-Apr-25, UST10Yr 3.89%) we had said that the US10Yr could fall to 3.90-80% within April-May and then be ranged between 3.90-4.40% for a few months before falling further towards 3.4% by Nov-25. As expected, the US 10Yr rose from 3.86% to as high as 4.59%, surpassing the projected range high of 4.4%, as there was capital flight from the USA in the wake of the imposition of Trump’s tariffs.

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October '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct '25 Quarterly Forecast

Our October '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'25 EURUSD Report

In our September 2025 outlook (15-Sep-25, EURUSD 1.1725), we expected Euro strength to be limited to 1.19/20, to be followed by a decline to 1.12 by Mar-26 and 1.0875 by Jun-26. We had expected a rise in the Euro after an expected ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'25 USDJPY Report

In our 12-Sep-25 report (USDJPY 147.96), we expected the USDJPY to limit the downside to 144 and ascend towards 155-158 in the coming months. In line with our view, USDJPY limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'25 GOI Report

In our 10-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.48%) we expected the RBI to be on pause in its next MPC meeting on 01-Oct. This is to be seen tomorrow. We had also said there was room for the FOMC to cut rates by 25-50bp, and accordingly they ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 Crude Oil Report

With sharp decline in Gold and Gold/Brent ratio, will Brent now start moving higher? Or will other geopolitical and global issues continue to weigh and put pressure for a lower crude price? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct '25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (03-Sep-25, UST10Yr 4.22%) we expected the FED cut rates by 50bp in the rest of 2025 and the shortend of the Curve to move down with the US2Yr falling towards .... Read More

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