| IN Exports and Imports ($Bln) | |||||||
| Exports | Imports | ||||||
| Release Dt | For Month | Kshitij Expectation | Previous | Released | Kshitij Expectation | Previous | Released |
| 15-May-19 | Apr-19 | 20.49 | 32.55 | 26.07 | 42.95 | 43.44 | 41.40 |
| 14-Jun-19 | May-19 | 29.23 | 26.07 | 29.99 | 43.62 | 41.40 | 45.35 |
| 15-Jul-19 | Jun-19 | 27.96 | 29.99 | 25.01 | 44.84 | 45.35 | 40.29 |
| 14-Aug-19 | Jul-19 | - | 25.01 | - | - | 40.29 | - |
| IN Trade Balance ($Bln) | ||||||
| Release Dt | For Month | Mkt Expn | Kshitij Expn | Previous | Released | Revised |
| 15-May-19 | Apr-19 | -14.90 | -12.71 | -10.89 | -15.33 | - |
| 14-Jun-19 | May-19 | -13.40 | -14.38 | -15.33 | -15.36 | - |
| 15-Jul-19 | Jun-19 | -15.64 | -16.88 | -15.36 | -15.28 | - |
| 14-Aug-19 | Jul-19 | - | - | -15.28 | - | - |
Expert Speak
JUL 16, 2019 AT 11:36 AM
Seen from 2010, both imports and exports have remained below 45bln and 33bln respectively. While imports below 45bln could be largely due to lower Crude prices, exports not rising above 33bln could be a concern. If imports and exports continue to remain subdued going forward, it could be a sign of economic slowdown for 6-9-12 months. That said, a rise past 45bln and 33bln after the next 12-18 mnths could be indicative of a stronger economy.
~ C S Vijayalakshmi