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Archive Feb-25:Do not get angry with the Market

Trying to recoup losses from the Market in anger can be fatal
EcoComic Calendar 2025
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FEBRUARY - 2025
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
3-Feb-25 0:30 06:00 JP PMI   48.9 48.8 49.6 48.7
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   49.7 50.6 50.5 50.1
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   56.9 58.0 56.4 57.7
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   47.9 49.0 48.4 47.5
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 46.1 45.1 46.6
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   48.7 48.2 47.0 48.3
  10:00 15:30 EU Core CPI Flash Estimate (YoY) % 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   - - 52.2 51.6
  15:00 20:30 US Manufacturing ISM   49.2 49.3 49.3 50.9
5-Feb-25 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   60.7 56.8 59.3 56.5
  9:00 14:30 EU Composite PMI   - 51.4 49.6 50.2
  13:15 18:45 US ADP Emp K - 149 176 183
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln - -97.1 -78.9 -98.4
6-Feb-25 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   - - -17.9 -22.7
6-Feb-25 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln - 6.52 6.79 5.09
  10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % 0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.2
  12:00 17:30 BOE Mtg % - 4.50 4.75 4.50
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 0-8-1 0-3-6 0-9-0
7-Feb-25 4:30 10:00 RBI Repo Rate % - - 6.50 6.25
  4:30 10:00 RBI Rev Repo Rate % - - 3.35 3.35
  4:30 10:00 RBI MSF % - - 6.75 6.5
  13:30 19:00 US NFP K 169 154 307 143
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % - 4.1 4.1 4.0
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5
  13:30 19:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees   - - 0.33 0.5
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - 26.5 90.9 76.0
9-Feb-25 1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 0.4 0.1 0.5
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -2.2 -2.3 -2.3
12-Feb-25 12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 2.4 3.9 5.0 3.2
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   4.94 4.60 5.22 4.31
  13:30 19:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5
  13:30 19:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4
13-Feb-25 7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -16.6 -18.3 -18.9 -17.4
  7:30 13:00 CH CPI   0.1 -0.1 0.7 0.4
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.3 -0.6 0.4 -1.1
  13:30 19:00 US PPI % 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4
  13:30 19:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3
14-Feb-25 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 2.66 2.50 2.37 2.38
  13:30 19:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.2 0.0 0.8 -1.2
  14:15 19:45 US Industrial Production % -0.5 0.3 1.0 0.5
  14:15 19:45 US Capacity Utilization % 76.9 77.7 77.5 77.8
17-Feb-25 23:50 05:20 JP GDP % - 0.3% 0.3% 0.7%
  10:00 15:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln - - -21.94 -22.99
  10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 14.4 13.3 16.6
18-Feb-25 3:30 09:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.10 4.35 4.10
  7:00 12:30 UK Unemp % 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4
  13:30 19:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - 2.0 1.8 1.9
  13:00 01:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 149.1 53.2 72.0
19-Feb-25 7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 3.3 2.8 2.6 3.0
  13:30 19:00 US Housing Starts K 1345 1390 1515 1366
20-Feb-25 0:30 06:00 Australia Labour Force K - 19.4 60.0 44.0
  13:30 19:00 US Philifed Index   7.6 19.4 44.3 18.1
21-Feb-25 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -19 -22 -22 -20
  23:30 05:00 JP CPI   3.9 3.1 3.7 4.0
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4349 4130 4290 4080
24-Feb-25 9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   85.1 85.9 85.2 85.2
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 85.4 86.5 86.0 85.0
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 84.5 85.2 84.3 85.4
  10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5
25-Feb-25 14:00 19:30 US Case Schiller % - 4.30 4.35 4.48
  15:00 20:30 US Cons Conf   102.2 103.3 104.1 98.3
26-Feb-25 15:00 20:30 US New Home Sales K 700 677 734 657
27-Feb-25 8:00 13:30 CH GDP % - 0.2 0.4 0.2
  10:00 15:30 EU Biz Climate   96.4 96.0 95.3 96.3
  13:30 19:00 US Durable Goods Orders % - 2.0 -1.8 3.1
  13:30 19:00 US GDP % - 2.3 2.2 2.3
28-Feb-25 12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 6.6% 6.3% 5.6% 6.2%
  13:30 19:00 US Personal Income % 1.7 0.3 0.4 0.9
  13:30 19:00 US PCE M/M % - 0.3 0.3 0.3
  13:30 19:00 US Core PCE % 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3
  13:30 19:00 CA GDP % - 0.3 -0.2 0.2
                 
                 
February '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Feb '25 Monthly Forecast
Our February '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
February'25 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Feb'25 EURUSD Report
In our Jan-25 edition (18-Jan-25, EURUSD @ 1.0287), we expected the Euro to come down towards Parity by Mar-25 while below 1.0450 and then rise to 1.06 by Dec-25. In actuality, the EURUSD stayed above 1.025 and rose to 1.0534. ...Read More
March'25 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'25 Crude Oil Report
Crude is headed towards the lower end of the sideways range. Will the range continue to hold and push the crude prices up with a limited downside in the near term? Or can prices break below the support levels and establish any fresh lows in the coming months? ... Read More
February '25 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Feb '25 US Treasury Report
Assuming greater chances of a slowdown rather than a recession, we project the US10Yr to rise towards 5.25% (May-25), followed by a dip towards 4.55% (Jul-25) and then another rise back towards .... Read More
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