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Archive Mar-25:The Market loves the Calm Hedger

The hedger who keeps calm and goes about his work with equanimity is more likely to be rewarded by the Market.
EcoComic Calendar 2025
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MARCH - 2025
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
3-Mar-25 0:30 06:00 JP PMI   48.7 48.9 48.7 49.0
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   50.0 50.4 50.1 50.8
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   57.9 57.1 57.7 56.3
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   47.0 48.3 47.5 49.6
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 47.3 46.6 47.6
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   47.1 46.4 48.3 46.9
  10:00 15:30 EU Core CPI Flash Estimate (YoY) % 2.36 2.40 2.52 2.32
  14:30 20:00 CA PMI   - 51.9 51.6 47.8
  15:00 20:30 US Manufacturing ISM   51.0 50.6 50.9 50.3
4-Mar-25 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5
  10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2
5-Mar-25 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   - - -22.7 -8.2
  0:30 06:00 AU GDP % - 0.6 0.3 0.6
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   58.5 61.1 56.5 59.0
  7:30 13:00 CH CPI   -0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Composite PMI   - 50.2 50.2 50.2
  13:15 18:45 US ADP Emp K - 144 186 77
6-Mar-25 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln - 5.7 4.9 5.6
  10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.3
  13:15 18:45 ECB Mtg % 2.65 2.65 2.90 2.65
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -91.8 -93.1 -98.1 -131.4
  10:00 15:30 EU GDP % - 0.1 0.4 0.2
7-Mar-25 13:30 19:00 US NFP K 177 156 125 151
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % - 4.0 4.0 4.1
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3
  13:30 19:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees   - - 0.42 0.3
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - 17.8 76.0 1.1
9-Mar-25 1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - -0.4 0.5 -0.7
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -2.0 -2.3 -2.2
11-Mar-25 23:50 05:20 JP GDP % - 0.7% 0.7% 0.6%
12-Mar-25 10:30 16:00 IN IIP % 3.2 3.5 3.5 5.0
  10:30 16:00 IN CPI   4.32 4.00 4.26 3.61
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.4 0.30 0.47 0.22
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.30 0.45 0.23
  13:45 19:15 BOC Meeting % - 2.75 3.00 2.75
13-Mar-25 10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % - 0.6 -0.4 0.8
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.0
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.7 0.3 0.5 -0.1
17-Mar-25 2:00 07:30 CN IIP (YoY)   - 5.3 6.2 5.9
  2:00 07:30 CN Retail Sales   - 3.8 3.7 4.0
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 2.34 2.36 2.31 2.38
  10:00 15:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln - - -22.99 -14.05
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -0.9 0.6 -1.4 0.5
18-Mar-25 10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 14.0 14.2 14.0
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1426 1380 1350 1501
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - 2.2 1.9 2.6
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.8
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 77.8 77.8 77.7 78.2
19-Mar-25 3:00 08:30 BOJ Meeting % - 0.50 0.50 0.50
  10:00 15:30 EU Final CPI (YoY) % 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.3
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - <4.50 <4.50 <4.50
  13:00 01:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 101.1 75.0 -45.2
20-Mar-25 0:30 06:00 Australia Labour Force K - 31.4 17.7 15.2
  6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
  7:30 13:00 SNB Mtg % - 0.25 0.50 0.25
  12:00 17:30 BOE Mtg % - 4.50 4.50 4.50
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 0-2-7 0-9-0 0-1-8
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   16.8 9.4 18.1 12.5
  12:30 18:00 US Current Account Balance $ Bln - -331.0 -310.3 -303.9
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4215 3940 4090 4260
21-Mar-25 23:01 04:31 UK Cons Conf   -19 -21 -20 -19
  23:30 05:00 JP CPI   4.3 2.9 4.0 3.6
25-Mar-25 9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   85.5 86.8 85.3 86.7
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 84.9 85.5 85.0 85.7
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 86.8 87.9 85.6 87.7
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % - 4.6 4.5 4.7
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   96.3 94.2 100.1 92.9
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 660 682 664 676
26-Mar-25 6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.8
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % -0.3 -0.6 3.3 0.9
27-Mar-25 12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 2.3 2.3 2.4
28-Mar-25 7:00 12:30 UK GDP % - 0.1 0 0.1
  7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -16.4 -16.8 -19.7 -17.8
  10:00 15:30 EU Biz Climate   97.1 97.0 96.3 95.2
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8
  12:30 18:00 US PCE M/M % 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Core PCE % 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.3 0.2 0.4
                 
                 
March '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '25 Monthly Forecast
Our March '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
March'25 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'25 EURUSD Report
The sharp fall in the Dollar Index over the last couple of months especially triggered by tariff announcements by Trump has weighed on most global currencies. Euro has correspondingly rallied much faster and quicker than expected. Will the Dollar Index pause its fall now or continue to decline? ...Read More
April'25 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr'25 Crude Oil Report
Brent has been narrowing its trade range since Oct-23, keeping its bottom floored near $67/68 region. Will the Mar-25 low of $68.33 hold and help the crude prices to move up to the higher end of the range in the coming months? Or will global scenario impact crude and force it to break below the $68/67 floor? ... Read More
March '25 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '25 US Treasury Report
As per the more preferred path in our last report (03-Feb-25, UST10Yr 4.55%) we were looking for the US10Yr to rise to 5.25% by May-25. This does not seem to be working out just. Rather, the alternative less preferred path, wherein the US10Yr could fall in Feb-25 itself .... Read More
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