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Archive Nov-23:Forex Risk Management

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NOVEMBER - 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Nov-23 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   -18.9 - -12.8 -20.9
  0:30 06:00 JP PMI   48.2 49.0 48.5 48.7
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   50.5 50.8 50.6 49.5
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   57.6 57.7 57.5 55.5
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   42.2 45.0 44.9 40.6
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   41.8 45.2 44.3 44.8
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 149 89 113
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   46.7 - 47.5 48.6
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   48.9 49.0 49.0 46.7
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - 5.50 5.50 5.50
2-Nov-23 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 6.9 9.55 10.16 6.79
  7:30 13:00 CH CPI   1.8 1.7 1.6 1.7
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 43.0 43.4 43.1
  12:00 17:30 BOE Mtg % - 5.25 5.25 5.25
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 2-0-7 4-0-5 3-0-6
3-Nov-23 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   59.9 60.5 61.0 58.4
  10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.5
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 286 178 297 150
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.1 - 0.3 0.3
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 20.2 63.8 17.5
7-Nov-23 3:30 09:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.35 4.10 4.35
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -61.9 -60.2 -58.7 -61.5
8-Nov-23 10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.2 -0.2 -0.7 -0.3
9-Nov-23 1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - -0.2 0.0 -0.2
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -2.7 -2.5 -2.6
10-Nov-23 7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -17.1 -15.3 -15.5 -14.3
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 7.4 7.0 10.3 5.8
13-Nov-23 12:00 17:30 IN CPI   4.55 4.80 5.02 4.87
14-Nov-23 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % -0.67 -0.20 -0.26 -0.52
7:00 12:30 UK Unemp % 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2
  10:00 15:30 EU GDP % - -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
  13:30 19:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.4 0.1 0.4 0.0
  13:30 19:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
15-Nov-23 23:50 05:20 JP GDP % - -0.1% 1.2% -0.5%
  2:00 07:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 4.5 4.5 4.6
  2:00 07:30 CN Retail Sales % - 7.1 5.5 7.6
  7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 6.1 4.7 6.6 4.6
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -22.18 -20.50 -19.37 -31.46
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.4 -0.9 0.6 -1.1
  10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 12.3 11.1 9.2
  13:30 19:00 US PPI % 0.3 0.1 0.4 -0.5
  13:30 19:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0
  13:30 19:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 1.0 -0.3 0.8 -0.2
16-Nov-23 0:30 06:00 Australia Labour Force K 105.3 22.8 7.8 55.0
  13:30 19:00 US Philifed Index   -9.3 -10.4 -9.0 -5.9
  14:15 19:45 US Industrial Production % 0.2 -0.3 0.1 -0.7
  14:15 19:45 US Capacity Utilization % 79.9 79.4 79.5 78.9
  21:00 02:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 89.4 62.2 -1.7
17-Nov-23 10:00 15:30 EU CPI % 3.2 2.9 4.3 2.9
21-Nov-23 13:30 19:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.1
  15:00 20:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3838 3900 3950 3790
22-Nov-23 13:30 19:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 0.2 -3.2 4.0 -5.4
24-Nov-23 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -37 -28 -30 -24
  23:30 05:00 JP CPI   3.3 - 3.0 3.3
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   87.2 87.5 86.9 87.3
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 89.5 89.4 89.2 89.4
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 86.3 85.7 84.8 85.2
27-Nov-23 15:00 20:30 US New Home Sales K 742 724 719 679
28-Nov-23 14:00 19:30 US Case Schiller % 3.2 4.2 2.1 3.9
  15:00 20:30 US Cons Conf   102.4 101.0 99.1 102.0
29-Nov-23 10:00 15:30 EU Biz Climate   93.8 93.7 93.5 93.8
  13:30 19:00 US GDP % - 5.00 4.79 5.06
30-Nov-23 10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5
  10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) Flash Estimate % 3.2 2.7 2.9 2.4
  12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.6%
  13:30 19:00 US Personal Income % 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.2
  13:30 19:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2
  13:30 19:00 CA GDP % - 0.0 0.0 0.1
                 
                 
November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 Monthly Forecast
Our November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
November '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
November '24 EURUSD Report
After Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections, will the Dollar Index fall in the coming months aiding Euro strength? Or will aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and political uncertainity in Germany and France continue to put downside pressure on the Euro? ...Read More
November'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'24 Crude Oil Report
In our Oct-24 report (3-Oct-24, Brent $74.98), we had expected Brent to trade within $80-60 in the coming months. We had laid out a possibility of downside extension to $55-50 in case of a US recession in the Jan-Mar’25 quarter. Else a shallow recession or slowdown could limit the downside to $60. Brent remained above the Sep-24 low of $68.68 through Oct-24 trading within the broad $81.16-69.91 region, in line with our broader mentioned range of $80-60. ... Read More
November '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 US Treasury Report
In our Oct-24 report (01-Oct-24, US10Yr @ 3.79%), we had said that in contrast with history, there were no immediate signs of a US recession and the earlier it could set in might be in Jan-Mar 2025, or maybe even later. We also favored just a slowdown, or at most a shallow recession. In accordance with this, the US data in October has been mixed to strong .... Read More
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