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Archive Nov-23:Forex Risk Management

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NOVEMBER - 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Nov-23 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   -18.9 - -12.8 -20.9
  0:30 06:00 JP PMI   48.2 49.0 48.5 48.7
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   50.5 50.8 50.6 49.5
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   57.6 57.7 57.5 55.5
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   42.2 45.0 44.9 40.6
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   41.8 45.2 44.3 44.8
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 149 89 113
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   46.7 - 47.5 48.6
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   48.9 49.0 49.0 46.7
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - 5.50 5.50 5.50
2-Nov-23 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 6.9 9.55 10.16 6.79
  7:30 13:00 CH CPI   1.8 1.7 1.6 1.7
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 43.0 43.4 43.1
  12:00 17:30 BOE Mtg % - 5.25 5.25 5.25
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 2-0-7 4-0-5 3-0-6
3-Nov-23 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   59.9 60.5 61.0 58.4
  10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.5
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 286 178 297 150
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.1 - 0.3 0.3
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 20.2 63.8 17.5
7-Nov-23 3:30 09:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.35 4.10 4.35
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -61.9 -60.2 -58.7 -61.5
8-Nov-23 10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.2 -0.2 -0.7 -0.3
9-Nov-23 1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - -0.2 0.0 -0.2
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -2.7 -2.5 -2.6
10-Nov-23 7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -17.1 -15.3 -15.5 -14.3
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 7.4 7.0 10.3 5.8
13-Nov-23 12:00 17:30 IN CPI   4.55 4.80 5.02 4.87
14-Nov-23 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % -0.67 -0.20 -0.26 -0.52
7:00 12:30 UK Unemp % 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2
  10:00 15:30 EU GDP % - -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
  13:30 19:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.4 0.1 0.4 0.0
  13:30 19:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
15-Nov-23 23:50 05:20 JP GDP % - -0.1% 1.2% -0.5%
  2:00 07:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 4.5 4.5 4.6
  2:00 07:30 CN Retail Sales % - 7.1 5.5 7.6
  7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 6.1 4.7 6.6 4.6
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -22.18 -20.50 -19.37 -31.46
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.4 -0.9 0.6 -1.1
  10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 12.3 11.1 9.2
  13:30 19:00 US PPI % 0.3 0.1 0.4 -0.5
  13:30 19:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0
  13:30 19:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 1.0 -0.3 0.8 -0.2
16-Nov-23 0:30 06:00 Australia Labour Force K 105.3 22.8 7.8 55.0
  13:30 19:00 US Philifed Index   -9.3 -10.4 -9.0 -5.9
  14:15 19:45 US Industrial Production % 0.2 -0.3 0.1 -0.7
  14:15 19:45 US Capacity Utilization % 79.9 79.4 79.5 78.9
  21:00 02:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 89.4 62.2 -1.7
17-Nov-23 10:00 15:30 EU CPI % 3.2 2.9 4.3 2.9
21-Nov-23 13:30 19:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.1
  15:00 20:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3838 3900 3950 3790
22-Nov-23 13:30 19:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 0.2 -3.2 4.0 -5.4
24-Nov-23 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -37 -28 -30 -24
  23:30 05:00 JP CPI   3.3 - 3.0 3.3
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   87.2 87.5 86.9 87.3
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 89.5 89.4 89.2 89.4
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 86.3 85.7 84.8 85.2
27-Nov-23 15:00 20:30 US New Home Sales K 742 724 719 679
28-Nov-23 14:00 19:30 US Case Schiller % 3.2 4.2 2.1 3.9
  15:00 20:30 US Cons Conf   102.4 101.0 99.1 102.0
29-Nov-23 10:00 15:30 EU Biz Climate   93.8 93.7 93.5 93.8
  13:30 19:00 US GDP % - 5.00 4.79 5.06
30-Nov-23 10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5
  10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) Flash Estimate % 3.2 2.7 2.9 2.4
  12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.6%
  13:30 19:00 US Personal Income % 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.2
  13:30 19:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2
  13:30 19:00 CA GDP % - 0.0 0.0 0.1
                 
                 
October '24 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast
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October '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
October '24 EURUSD Report
With the EU and US Inflation rates almost reaching the 2% target, will inflation continue to fall? Will the ECB cut rates it its upcoming policy rates next week? Does Euro have more room to fall? Or will it rise back from 1.09 itself? ...Read More
October'24 Crude Oil Report
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Oct'24 Crude Oil Report
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October '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct '24 US Treasury Report
Since our Sep-24 report (29-Aug-24, US10Yr @ 3.84%), Crude (WTI $68.22) has remained below earlier support now resistance; Inflation is mixed (PCE down a bit from 2.65% to 2.37% but Core PCE up a bit to 2.82% to 2.86%); surprisingly Unemployment has inched lower .... Read More
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