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Archive Dec-23:Fitness and a good Forex Policy give you peace of mind

Fitness and a good Forex Policy give you peace of mind
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DECEMBER- 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Dec-23 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.5
  0:30 06:00 JP PMI   48.1 48.1 48.7 48.3
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   50.2 49.3 49.5 50.7
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   56.3 56.0 55.5 56.0
  8:00 13:30 CH GDP % - 0.1 -0.1 0.3
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   41.7 42.0 40.6 42.1
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 43.8 43.1 44.2
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   45.2 46.7 44.8 47.2
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - 14.2 17.5 24.9
  14:30 20:00 CA PMI   49.1 - 48.6 47.7
  15:00 20:30 US Manufacturing ISM   46.5 47.7 46.7 46.7
4-Dec-23 7:30 13:00 CH CPI   1.8 1.6 1.7 1.5
5-Dec-23 3:30 09:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.35 4.35 4.35
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   59.5 58.0 58.4 56.9
6-Dec-23 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   -24.2 - -20.9 -25.3
  0:30 06:00 AU GDP % - 0.40 0.44 0.21
  10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1
  13:15 18:45 US ADP Emp K - 126 106 103
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -64.1 -64.1 -61.2 -64.3
  14:00 19:30 BOC Meeting % - 5.00 5.00 5.00
7-Dec-23 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 8.04 7.75 6.18 7.13
  1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - -0.2 -0.2 -0.5
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -2.8 -2.6 -3.0
  10:00 15:30 EU GDP % - -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
8-Dec-23 23:50 05:20 JP GDP % - -0.5% -0.5% -0.7%
  4:30 10:00 RBI Repo Rate % - 6.50 6.50 6.50
  4:30 10:00 RBI Rev Repo Rate % - 3.35 3.35 3.35
  4:30 10:00 RBI MSF % - - 6.75 6.75
  13:30 19:00 US NFP K 200 184 105 199
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.7
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.3 - 0.3 0.4
12-Dec-23 7:00 12:30 UK Unemp % 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 7.5 10.0 6.2 11.7
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   5.67 5.50 4.87 5.55
  13:30 19:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
  13:30 19:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3
13-Dec-23 23:50 05:20 JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index   - 10 9 12
  7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -15.0 -14.1 -14.2 -17.0
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.3 -0.3 -0.8 -0.7
  13:30 19:00 US PPI % 0.2 0.1 -0.4 0.0
  13:30 19:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - 5.50 5.50 5.50
14-Dec-23 0:30 06:00 Australia Labour Force K - 10.0 42.7 61.5
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % -0.47 0.08 -0.26 0.26
  8:30 14:00 SNB Mtg % - 1.75 1.75 1.75
  12:00 17:30 BOE Mtg % - 5.25 5.25 5.25
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 2-0-7 3-0-6 3-0-6
  13:15 18:45 ECB Mtg % - 4.50 4.50 4.50
  13:30 19:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -0.4 -0.1 -0.3 0.1
15-Dec-23 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -44 -23 -24 -22
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -29.87 -23.60 -31.46 -20.58
  10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 10.3 8.7 10.9
  14:15 19:45 US Industrial Production % 0.2 -0.3 0.1 0.3
  14:15 19:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.8 79.1 78.7 78.8
18-Dec-23 9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   88.5 87.8 87.2 86.4
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 90.1 89.5 89.4 88.5
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 88.5 85.8 85.1 84.3
19-Dec-23 3:00 08:30 BOJ Meeting % - -0.10 -0.10 -0.10
  10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 3.2 2.4 2.9 2.4
  13:30 19:00 US Housing Starts K 1366 1360 1359 1560
  13:30 19:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 4.3 2.9 3.1 3.1
  21:00 02:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 37.8 0.9 3.3
20-Dec-23 7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 3.9 4.3 4.6 3.9
  13:30 19:00 US Current Account Balance $ Bln - -197.0 -216.8 -200.3
  15:00 20:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3525 3770 3790 3820
  15:00 20:30 US Cons Conf   104.1 104.1 101.0 110.7
21-Dec-23 13:30 19:00 US Philifed Index   - -3.2 -5.9 -10.5
  13:30 19:00 US GDP % - 5.2 5.1 4.8
22-Dec-23 23:30 05:00 JP CPI   2.9 - 3.3 2.9
  7:00 12:30 UK GDP % - 0.0 0.1 -0.1
  13:30 19:00 US Personal Income % 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4
  13:30 19:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
  13:30 19:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 1.4 2.7 -5.1 5.4
  13:30 19:00 CA GDP % - 0.0 0.1 0.0
  15:00 20:30 US New Home Sales K 675 687 679 590
26-Dec-23 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5
  14:00 19:30 US Case Schiller % 4.3 - 3.9 4.9
           
                 
October '24 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast
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Oct '24 Quarterly Forecast
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October '24 EURUSD Report
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October '24 EURUSD Report
With the EU and US Inflation rates almost reaching the 2% target, will inflation continue to fall? Will the ECB cut rates it its upcoming policy rates next week? Does Euro have more room to fall? Or will it rise back from 1.09 itself? ...Read More
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October '24 US Treasury Report
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Oct '24 US Treasury Report
Since our Sep-24 report (29-Aug-24, US10Yr @ 3.84%), Crude (WTI $68.22) has remained below earlier support now resistance; Inflation is mixed (PCE down a bit from 2.65% to 2.37% but Core PCE up a bit to 2.82% to 2.86%); surprisingly Unemployment has inched lower .... Read More
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