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Archive Dec-23:Fitness and a good Forex Policy give you peace of mind

Fitness and a good Forex Policy give you peace of mind
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DECEMBER- 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Dec-23 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.5
  0:30 06:00 JP PMI   48.1 48.1 48.7 48.3
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   50.2 49.3 49.5 50.7
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   56.3 56.0 55.5 56.0
  8:00 13:30 CH GDP % - 0.1 -0.1 0.3
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   41.7 42.0 40.6 42.1
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 43.8 43.1 44.2
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   45.2 46.7 44.8 47.2
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - 14.2 17.5 24.9
  14:30 20:00 CA PMI   49.1 - 48.6 47.7
  15:00 20:30 US Manufacturing ISM   46.5 47.7 46.7 46.7
4-Dec-23 7:30 13:00 CH CPI   1.8 1.6 1.7 1.5
5-Dec-23 3:30 09:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.35 4.35 4.35
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   59.5 58.0 58.4 56.9
6-Dec-23 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   -24.2 - -20.9 -25.3
  0:30 06:00 AU GDP % - 0.40 0.44 0.21
  10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1
  13:15 18:45 US ADP Emp K - 126 106 103
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -64.1 -64.1 -61.2 -64.3
  14:00 19:30 BOC Meeting % - 5.00 5.00 5.00
7-Dec-23 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 8.04 7.75 6.18 7.13
  1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - -0.2 -0.2 -0.5
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -2.8 -2.6 -3.0
  10:00 15:30 EU GDP % - -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
8-Dec-23 23:50 05:20 JP GDP % - -0.5% -0.5% -0.7%
  4:30 10:00 RBI Repo Rate % - 6.50 6.50 6.50
  4:30 10:00 RBI Rev Repo Rate % - 3.35 3.35 3.35
  4:30 10:00 RBI MSF % - - 6.75 6.75
  13:30 19:00 US NFP K 200 184 105 199
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.7
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.3 - 0.3 0.4
12-Dec-23 7:00 12:30 UK Unemp % 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 7.5 10.0 6.2 11.7
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   5.67 5.50 4.87 5.55
  13:30 19:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
  13:30 19:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3
13-Dec-23 23:50 05:20 JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index   - 10 9 12
  7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -15.0 -14.1 -14.2 -17.0
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.3 -0.3 -0.8 -0.7
  13:30 19:00 US PPI % 0.2 0.1 -0.4 0.0
  13:30 19:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - 5.50 5.50 5.50
14-Dec-23 0:30 06:00 Australia Labour Force K - 10.0 42.7 61.5
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % -0.47 0.08 -0.26 0.26
  8:30 14:00 SNB Mtg % - 1.75 1.75 1.75
  12:00 17:30 BOE Mtg % - 5.25 5.25 5.25
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 2-0-7 3-0-6 3-0-6
  13:15 18:45 ECB Mtg % - 4.50 4.50 4.50
  13:30 19:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -0.4 -0.1 -0.3 0.1
15-Dec-23 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -44 -23 -24 -22
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -29.87 -23.60 -31.46 -20.58
  10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 10.3 8.7 10.9
  14:15 19:45 US Industrial Production % 0.2 -0.3 0.1 0.3
  14:15 19:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.8 79.1 78.7 78.8
18-Dec-23 9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   88.5 87.8 87.2 86.4
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 90.1 89.5 89.4 88.5
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 88.5 85.8 85.1 84.3
19-Dec-23 3:00 08:30 BOJ Meeting % - -0.10 -0.10 -0.10
  10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 3.2 2.4 2.9 2.4
  13:30 19:00 US Housing Starts K 1366 1360 1359 1560
  13:30 19:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 4.3 2.9 3.1 3.1
  21:00 02:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 37.8 0.9 3.3
20-Dec-23 7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 3.9 4.3 4.6 3.9
  13:30 19:00 US Current Account Balance $ Bln - -197.0 -216.8 -200.3
  15:00 20:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3525 3770 3790 3820
  15:00 20:30 US Cons Conf   104.1 104.1 101.0 110.7
21-Dec-23 13:30 19:00 US Philifed Index   - -3.2 -5.9 -10.5
  13:30 19:00 US GDP % - 5.2 5.1 4.8
22-Dec-23 23:30 05:00 JP CPI   2.9 - 3.3 2.9
  7:00 12:30 UK GDP % - 0.0 0.1 -0.1
  13:30 19:00 US Personal Income % 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4
  13:30 19:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
  13:30 19:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 1.4 2.7 -5.1 5.4
  13:30 19:00 CA GDP % - 0.0 0.1 0.0
  15:00 20:30 US New Home Sales K 675 687 679 590
26-Dec-23 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5
  14:00 19:30 US Case Schiller % 4.3 - 3.9 4.9
           
                 
November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 Monthly Forecast
Our November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
November '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
November '24 EURUSD Report
After Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections, will the Dollar Index fall in the coming months aiding Euro strength? Or will aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and political uncertainity in Germany and France continue to put downside pressure on the Euro? ...Read More
November'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'24 Crude Oil Report
In our Oct-24 report (3-Oct-24, Brent $74.98), we had expected Brent to trade within $80-60 in the coming months. We had laid out a possibility of downside extension to $55-50 in case of a US recession in the Jan-Mar’25 quarter. Else a shallow recession or slowdown could limit the downside to $60. Brent remained above the Sep-24 low of $68.68 through Oct-24 trading within the broad $81.16-69.91 region, in line with our broader mentioned range of $80-60. ... Read More
November '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 US Treasury Report
In our Oct-24 report (01-Oct-24, US10Yr @ 3.79%), we had said that in contrast with history, there were no immediate signs of a US recession and the earlier it could set in might be in Jan-Mar 2025, or maybe even later. We also favored just a slowdown, or at most a shallow recession. In accordance with this, the US data in October has been mixed to strong .... Read More
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