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Archive Oct-23:Gross Hedging

Do Gross Hedging, manage imports and exports seperately
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OCTOBER - 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Oct-23 1:45 7:15 CN PMI   50.1 51.1 51.0 50.6
2-Oct-23 23:50 5:20 JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index   - 6 5 9
  0:30 6:00 JP PMI   49.7 48.6 49.6 48.5
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   41.0 40.6 39.9 44.9
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 43.4 43.5 43.4
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   43.7 44.2 43.0 44.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.4
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   47.3 - 48.0 47.5
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   47.3 47.8 47.6 49.0
3-Oct-23 3:30 9:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.10 4.10 4.10
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   59.5 58.1 58.6 57.5
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   - 1.8 1.5 1.6
4-Oct-23 22:30 4:00 AU PMI   -22.2 - -19.8 -12.8
  9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.7 -0.5 -0.1 -1.2
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 155 180 89
5-Oct-23 0:30 6:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln - 8.61 7.32 9.64
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   59.5 59.5 60.1 61.0
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -62.8 -65.1 -64.7 -58.3
6-Oct-23 4:30 10:00 RBI Repo Rate % - 6.50 6.50 6.50
  4:30 10:00 RBI Rev Repo Rate % - - 3.35 3.35
  4:30 10:00 RBI MSF % - - 6.75 6.75
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 190 168 227 336
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.8
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.4 - 0.2 0.2
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 28.0 39.9 63.8
11-Oct-23 12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3
12-Oct-23 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -15.5 -15.2 -13.9 -16.0
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 6.4 9.3 6.0 10.3
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   5.31 5.45 6.83 5.02
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.5 0.3 0.6 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
13-Oct-23 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 0.2 0.1 0.0
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -2.4 -3.0 -2.5
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 1.0 0.1 -1.3 0.6
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -21.39 -23.25 -24.16 -19.37
16-Oct-23 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % -0.36 -0.50 -0.52 -0.26
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 5.4 3.5 11.9
17-Oct-23 2:00 7:30 CN GDP % - - 6.3 -
17-Oct-23 2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 4.3 4.5 4.5
17-Oct-23 2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 5.0 4.6 5.5
17-Oct-23 12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.7
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 4.2 4.0 4.0 3.8
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 79.8 79.6 79.5 79.7
18-Oct-23 2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 4.3 4.5 4.5
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 5.0 4.6 5.5
  2:00 7:30 CN GDP % - 4.5 6.3 4.9
  6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 6.4 6.6 6.7 6.6
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 4.3 4.3 5.2 4.3
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1289 1380 1269 1358
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 76.8 9.5 63.5
19-Oct-23 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K 37.8 20.9 63.3 6.7
  9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - - 0.1 -
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   -2.8 -6.7 -13.5 -9.0
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3912 3890 4040 3960
20-Oct-23 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -16 -20 -21 -30
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   3.2 3.0 3.1 3.0
24-Oct-23 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.2
25-Oct-23 1:30 7:00 AU CPI % 5.6 5.3 6.0 5.4
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate   85.0 85.9 85.8 86.9
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 87.6 88.5 88.7 89.2
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 83.5 83.3 83.1 84.7
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 659 678 676 759
  14:00 19:30 BOC Meeting % - 5.00 5.00 5.00
26-Oct-23 12:15 17:45 ECB Mtg % - 4.50 4.50 4.50
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 0.3 1.9 -0.1 4.7
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 4.5 2.1 4.8
27-Oct-23 1:30 7:00 AU PPI % - 0.7 0.5 1.8
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3
30-Oct-23 10:00 15:30 EU Biz Climate   94.3 93.3 93.4 93.3
31-Oct-23 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % - 2.6 2.7 2.6
  3:00 8:30 BOJ Meeting % - -0.10 -0.10 -0.10
  10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) Flash Estimate % 4.0 3.1 4.3 2.9
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.0 0.1 0.0
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 1.3 1.8 0.2 2.2
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   101.0 100.1 104.3 102.6
                 
                 
November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 Monthly Forecast
Our November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
November '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
November '24 EURUSD Report
After Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections, will the Dollar Index fall in the coming months aiding Euro strength? Or will aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and political uncertainity in Germany and France continue to put downside pressure on the Euro? ...Read More
November'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'24 Crude Oil Report
In our Oct-24 report (3-Oct-24, Brent $74.98), we had expected Brent to trade within $80-60 in the coming months. We had laid out a possibility of downside extension to $55-50 in case of a US recession in the Jan-Mar’25 quarter. Else a shallow recession or slowdown could limit the downside to $60. Brent remained above the Sep-24 low of $68.68 through Oct-24 trading within the broad $81.16-69.91 region, in line with our broader mentioned range of $80-60. ... Read More
November '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 US Treasury Report
In our Oct-24 report (01-Oct-24, US10Yr @ 3.79%), we had said that in contrast with history, there were no immediate signs of a US recession and the earlier it could set in might be in Jan-Mar 2025, or maybe even later. We also favored just a slowdown, or at most a shallow recession. In accordance with this, the US data in October has been mixed to strong .... Read More
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