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Archive Aug-24:Options are not worth their cost

Options cost more than the risk they cover
EcoComic Calendar 2024
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AUGUST- 2024
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Aug-24 0:30 06:00 JP PMI   49.4 49.2 50.0 49.1
  1:30 07:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln - 5.0 5.0 5.6
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   50.0 51.6 51.8 49.8
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   59.0 59.0 58.3 58.1
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 45.6 45.6 45.8
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   51.5 51.8 50.9 52.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.5
  11:00 16:30 BOE Mtg % - 5.00 5.25 5.00
  11:00 16:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 0-6-3 0.2-7 0-5-4
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   - 53.0 49.3 47.8
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   49.3 48.8 48.5 46.8
2-Aug-24 1:30 07:00 AU PPI % - 1.0 0.9 1.0
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   1.5 -0.2 1.3 1.2
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   44.7 42.6 43.9 43.5
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 207 177 118 114
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.3
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees   0.2 - 0.4 0.3
5-Aug-24 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   62.3 61.6 60.5 60.3
6-Aug-24 4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.35 4.35 4.35
  9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % 0.3 0.0 0.1 -0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -75.0 -72.5 -75.3 -73.1
7-Aug-24 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   - 47.4 -26.5 -19.5
8-Aug-24 4:30 10:00 RBI Repo Rate % - 6.50 6.50 6.50
  4:30 10:00 RBI Rev Repo Rate % - - 3.35 3.5
  4:30 10:00 RBI MSF % - - 6.75 6.75
9-Aug-24 1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 0.3 0.2 0.5
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -0.9 -0.8 -0.8
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 26.9 -1.4 -2.8
12-Aug-24 12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 8.1 5.5 6.2 4.2
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   3.93 3.65 5.08 3.54
13-Aug-24 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.2
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.5 0.2 0.3 0.0
14-Aug-24 6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 1.8 2.3 2.0 2.2
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 1.35 2.39 3.36 2.04
  8:45 14:15 IN Trade bal $ Bln -19.5 - -21.0 -23.5
  9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - 0.3 0.3 0.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.2 0.4 -0.9 -0.1
  10:00 15:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -19.5 - -21.0 -23.5
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
15-Aug-24 23:50 05:20 JP GDP % - 0.6% -0.5% 0.8%
  1:30 07:00 Australia Labour Force K - 20.4 52.3 58.2
  6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -17.2 -16.0 -18.6 -18.9
6:00 11:30 UK GDP % - -0.3 -0.1 -0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -0.4 0.4 -0.3 1.1
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   0.9 5.6 13.9 -7.0
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.1 -0.2 0.2 -0.6
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 79.0 78.5 78.4 77.8
  13:00 01:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 56.3 -54.6 96.1
16-Aug-24 9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 13.3 12.4 17.5
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1325 1340 1329 1238
20-Aug-24 9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - 2.8 2.7 2.5
21-Aug-24 14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 648 624 668 739
22-Aug-24 14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3913 3920 3890 3950
23-Aug-24 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -12 -12 -13 -13
  23:30 05:00 JP CPI   2.7 2.7 2.9 2.7
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 648 624 668 739
26-Aug-24 8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate   86.0 86.5 87.0 86.6
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 86.2 86.5 87.1 86.5
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 87.6 86.5 87.0 86.8
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % -1.0 4.0 -6.9 9.9
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 648 624 668 739
27-Aug-24 13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.5
  14:00 19:30 US Consumer Confidence   103.4 100.2 101.9 103.3
29-Aug-24 9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   95.3 95.8 96.0 96.6
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 2.8 2.8 2.9
30-Aug-24 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.7
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.4
  9:00 14:30 EU Flash CPI (YoY) % 2.1 2.2 2.6 2.2
  12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 8.2% 6.9% 7.8% 6.7%
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Core PCE Price Index M/M % 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US PCE   0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.1 0.1 0.0
                 
                 
September '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '24 Monthly Forecast
Our September '24 Monthly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
September '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
September '24 EURUSD Report
With EU Inflation within reach of its 2% target, will ECB cut rates today ahead of the FED policy meeting next week? Or will it skip and target a rate cut in Oct-24? ...Read More
September'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'24 Crude Oil Report
Brent has held above $74 and risen slightly. It may continue to move within the sideways range for some more time. Thereafter, will it break higher? Or fall lower below $74? Also will US actually see a recession? Or will data improve over the next few months and reduce recession chances? ... Read More
September '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '24 US Treasury Report
In our Aug-24 report (31-Jul-24, US10Yr @ 4.14%), we were looking for the US10Yr to consolidated between 4.1-4.4% in August, before falling to 4.0-3.8% by Sep-Oct. As it turns out, there was no consolidation in August and the 10Yr has already fallen to 3.8%. Powell has signalled a rate cut in September as .... Read More
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