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Archive Oct-25:Everything I do, I do it for Hedging

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EcoComic Calendar 2025
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OCTOBER - 2025
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. Data releases are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation.
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Oct-25 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   -19.7 - -20.9 -13.2
  23:50 05:20 JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index   - 14.0 13.0 14.0
  0:30 06:00 JP PMI   50.1 48.4 48.4 48.5
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   51.0 50.3 50.5 51.2
  4:30 10:00 RBI Repo Rate % - 5.50 5.50 5.50
  4:30 10:00 RBI Rev Repo Rate % 3.35 3 3.35 3.35
  4:30 10:00 RBI MSF % 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.75
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   58.7 58.5 59.3 57.7
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   50.7 47.7 49.0 46.3
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   51.2 49.5 50.7 49.8
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   46.4 46.2 47.0 46.2
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K 147.2 53.0 -3.0 -32.0
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   49.6 - 48.3 47.7
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   49.5 49.1 48.7 49.1
2-Oct-25 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln - 6.1 6.6 1.8
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   0.3 -0.2 0.2 0.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.3
3-Oct-25 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.6
6-Oct-25 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   61.6 61.6 62.9 60.9
  9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % 0.1 0.1 -0.4 0.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Composite PMI   50.1 51.2 51.0 51.2
10-Oct-25 12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 2.8 -65.5 60.4
13-Oct-25 10:30 16:00 IN CPI   1.48 1.70 2.07 1.54
14-Oct-25 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.8
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 0.77 0.50 0.52 0.13
15-Oct-25 1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - -0.2 -0.4 -0.3
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -2.3 -2.9 -2.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.9 -1.8 0.5 -1.2
  9:30 15:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -32.2 - -26.5 -32.2
16-Oct-25 1:30 07:00 Australia Labour Force K - 14.9 -11.9 14.9
  6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -20.6 -22.0 -20.6 -21.2
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 6.9 5.3 1.0
17-Oct-25 9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 2.5 2.2 2.0 2.2
20-Oct-25 2:00 07:30 CN GDP   - 4.7 5.2 4.8
  2:00 07:30 CN Retail Sales   - - 3.4 3.0
  2:00 07:30 CN IIP (YoY)   - 5.0 5.2 6.5
21-Oct-25 12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - 2.3 1.9 2.2
22-Oct-25 6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 3.7 4.0 3.7 3.8
23-Oct-25 14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3994 4060 4000 4060
24-Oct-25 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -22 -20 -19 -17
  23:30 05:00 JP CPI   2.6 2.9 2.7 2.8
27-Oct-25 9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   86.6 87.8 87.7 88.4
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 84.8 85.5 85.7 85.3
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 89.4 - 89.8 91.6
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 1.7 - 2.9 -
28-Oct-25 12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 3.8 5.0 4.1 4.0
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.6
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   96.7 93.9 95.6 94.6
29-Oct-25 0:30 06:00 AU CPI % 1.7 3.0 2.1 3.2
  13:45 19:15 BOC Meeting % - 2.25 2.50 2.25
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - <4.00 <4.25 <4.00
30-Oct-25 3:00 08:30 BOJ Meeting % - 0.50 0.50 0.50
  9:00 14:30 EU Flash GDP % - 0.1 0.1 0.2
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   94.5 95.7 95.6 96.8
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - - 3.8 -
  13:15 18:45 ECB Mtg % - 2.15 2.15 2.15
31-Oct-25 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6
  0:30 06:00 AU PPI % - 0.8 0.7 1.0
  10:00 15:30 EU Flash CPI (YoY) % 2.5 2.1 2.2 2.1
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.5 0.4 0.4 -
  12:30 18:00 US PCE M/M % 0.4 0.4 0.2 -
  12:30 18:00 US Core PCE % 0.4 0.4 0.2 -
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.0 0.3 -0.3
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 789 - 800 -
                 
October '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct '25 Quarterly Forecast
Our October '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
October'25 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct'25 EURUSD Report
In our September 2025 outlook (15-Sep-25, EURUSD 1.1725), we expected Euro strength to be limited to 1.19/20, to be followed by a decline to 1.12 by Mar-26 and 1.0875 by Jun-26. We had expected a rise in the Euro after an expected ...Read More
Oct'25 USDJPY Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct'25 USDJPY Report
In our 12-Sep-25 report (USDJPY 147.96), we expected the USDJPY to limit the downside to 144 and ascend towards 155-158 in the coming months. In line with our view, USDJPY limited the downside to ... Read More
October'25 GOI Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Oct'25 GOI Report
In our 10-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.48%) we expected the RBI to be on pause in its next MPC meeting on 01-Oct. This is to be seen tomorrow. We had also said there was room for the FOMC to cut rates by 25-50bp, and accordingly they ... Read More
November'25 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'25 Crude Oil Report
With sharp decline in Gold and Gold/Brent ratio, will Brent now start moving higher? Or will other geopolitical and global issues continue to weigh and put pressure for a lower crude price? ... Read More
Nov '25 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '25 US Treasury Report
In our last report (09-Oct-25, UST10Yr 4.11%) we continued to expect the FED to cut rates by 25bp-50bp in its 29-Oct and 10-Dec meetings and for the US10Yr to dip to .... Read More
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