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Archive Aug-23:Hedge in steps

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AUGUST - 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Aug-23 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5
  0:30 6:00 JP PMI   49.6 49.4 49.8 49.6
  1:45 7:15 CN PMI   50.7 50.0 50.5 49.2
  4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.35 4.10 4.10
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   58.4 58.3 57.8 57.7
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 42.7 43.4 42.7
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   45.1 45.0 46.5 45.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.4
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   48.3 - 48.8 49.6
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   45.6 46.9 46.0 46.4
2-Aug-23 22:30 4:00 AU PMI   -20.8 - -19.8 -25.6
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   45.5 44.2 44.9 38.5
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 195 455 324
3-Aug-23 1:30 7:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 12.0 10.50 10.48 11.32
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   56.5 59.9 58.5 62.3
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   2.2 1.5 1.7 1.6
  11:00 16:30 BOE Mtg % - 5.25 5.00 5.25
  11:00 16:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 7-0-2 7-0-2 8-0-1
4-Aug-23 9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % -1.1 0.3 0.6 -0.3
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 531 205 105 187
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.5 - 0.3 0.5
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 24.6 59.9 -6.4
8-Aug-23 12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -66.1 -65.1 -66.7 -65.5
9-Aug-23 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - -0.5 0.0 -0.3
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -4.0 -5.4 -4.4
10-Aug-23 4:30 10:00 RBI Repo Rate % - 6.50 6.50 6.50
  4:30 10:00 RBI Rev Repo Rate % - - 3.35 3.35
  4:30 10:00 RBI MSF % - - 6.75 6.75
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
11-Aug-23 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -18.8 -16.2 -18.4 -15.5
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 5.4 5.0 5.3 3.7
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % -0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.3 0.2 -0.1 0.3
14-Aug-23 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % -2.9 -2.7 -4.2 -1.4
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   4.95 6.40 4.87 7.44
15-Aug-23 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - 0.7% 0.9% 1.5%
  2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 4.3 4.4 3.7
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 4.2 3.1 2.5
  6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.2
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -19.39 -21.00 -20.13 -20.67
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 3.4 3.0 2.8 3.3
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 50.0 19.2 195.9
16-Aug-23 20:34 2:04 UK CPI Y/Y % 8.5 6.8 8.0 6.9
  9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - 0.3 0.3 0.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1674 1450 1418 1452
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.1 0.3 -0.4 1.0
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.7 79.1 79.0 79.3
  18:00 23:30 FOMC Meeting Minutes   - - - -
17-Aug-23 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K -14.4 15.2 27.5 -14.6
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 3.8 0.2 12.5
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   -7.2 -9.8 -13.5 12.0
18-Aug-23 23:30 5:00 JP CPI   4.3 3.1 3.3 3.3
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 5.7 5.3 5.5 5.3
22-Aug-23 14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4016 4150 4160 4070
23-Aug-23 14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 675 708 684 714
24-Aug-23 4:30 4:30 RBI Meeting Minutes   - - - -
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 1.5 -4.1 4.4 -5.2
25-Aug-23 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -23 -29 -30 -25
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate Index 85.9 86.8 87.4 85.7
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 91.0 90.0 91.4 89.0
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 81.2 83.8 83.6 82.6
29-Aug-23 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.7
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % -1.2 -1.5 -1.7 -1.2
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   119.8 116.2 114.0 106.1
30-Aug-23 9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   92.2 93.9 94.5 93.3
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 201 312 177
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 2.4 2.4 2.1
31-Aug-23 9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) Flash Estimate % 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.2
  12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 7.5% 7.7% 6.1% 7.8%
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
                 
                 
August '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
August '24 Monthly Forecast
Our August '24 Monthly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
August '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
August '24 EURUSD Report
The recent fall in the USDJPY from 162 has been a major trigger for Dollar weakness over the past few weeks which has taken Euro higher as well. Will Dollar Yen continue to decline in the coming months and remain a major influencer on the FX markets for other currencies as well? In that case, will it continue to support Euro strength and Dollar weakness going ahead? ...Read More
September'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'24 Crude Oil Report
Brent has held above $74 and risen slightly. It may continue to move within the sideways range for some more time. Thereafter, will it break higher? Or fall lower below $74? Also will US actually see a recession? Or will data improve over the next few months and reduce recession chances? ... Read More
September '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '24 US Treasury Report
In our Aug-24 report (31-Jul-24, US10Yr @ 4.14%), we were looking for the US10Yr to consolidated between 4.1-4.4% in August, before falling to 4.0-3.8% by Sep-Oct. As it turns out, there was no consolidation in August and the 10Yr has already fallen to 3.8%. Powell has signalled a rate cut in September as .... Read More
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