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Archive Jul-23:Hedge in steps

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JULY - 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
3-Jul-23 23:50 5:20 JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index   - 3 1 5
  0:30 6:00 JP PMI   50.7 49.8 50.6 49.8
  1:45 7:15 CN PMI   50.5 50.0 50.9 50.5
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   58.6 58.0 58.7 57.8
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   2.4 1.8 2.2 1.7
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   42.9 42.8 43.2 44.9
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   43.6 43.6 44.8 43.4
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   45.5 46.2 47.1 46.5
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   45.5 47.2 46.9 46.0
4-Jul-23 4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.10 4.10 4.10
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   49.3 49.6 49.0 48.8
5-Jul-23 23:00 4:30 AU PMI   - - -5.1 -19.8
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   61.4 60.2 61.2 58.5
  18:00 23:30 FOMC Meeting Minutes   - - - -
6-Jul-23 1:30 7:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln - 10.70 10.45 11.79
  9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 236 267 497
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -53.4 -68.9 -74.4 -69.0
7-Jul-23 12:30 18:00 US NFP K 487 222 306 209
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.6
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.4 - 0.4 0.4
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 22.0 -17.3 59.9
10-Jul-23 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 0.2 0.2 0.0
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -5.0 -4.6 -5.4
11-Jul-23 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 4.0 3.8 3.8 4.0
12-Jul-23 12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 4.2 4.8 4.5 5.2
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   4.30 4.58 4.31 4.81
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2
  14:00 19:30 BOC Meeting % - 5.00 4.75 5.00
13-Jul-23 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -14.6 -14.6 -14.6 -18.7
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 1.2 0.3 1.0 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.3 0.2 -0.4 0.1
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
  2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 2.5 3.5 4.4
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 3.4 12.7 3.1
14-Jul-23 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % -2.59 -3.60 -3.48 -4.12
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - -10.3 -8.0 -0.9
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln - -21.22 -22.12 -20.13
17-Jul-23 2:00 7:30 CN GDP % - 7.3 4.5 6.3
  2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 2.5 3.5 4.4
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 3.4 12.7 3.1
18-Jul-23 12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.2
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - 3.0 3.4 2.8
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.6
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 79.4 79.5 79.4 78.9
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln 302.8 110.7 127.8 25.8
19-Jul-23 6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 8.9 8.2 8.7 8.0
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 5.8 5.5 6.1 5.5
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1681 1480 1559 1434
20-Jul-23 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K - 16.5 16.5 76.5
  9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - - -0.1 -
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   10.3 -10.2 -13.7 -13.5
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4162 4220 4300 4160
21-Jul-23 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -23 -26 -24 -30
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   4.6 3.5 3.2 3.3
25-Jul-23 8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate Index 87.4 88.0 88.6 87.3
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 92.3 93.0 93.7 91.3
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 80.9 83.0 83.8 83.5
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % -1.0 -1.6 -0.9 -1.7
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   107.6 112.1 110.1 117.0
26-Jul-23 1:30 7:00 AU CPI % 6.6 6.2 7.0 6.0
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 717 722 715 697
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - 5.50 5.25 5.50
27-Jul-23 12:15 17:45 ECB Mtg % - 4.25 4.00 4.25
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 1.2 0.9 2.0 4.7
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 1.7 2.0 2.4
28-Jul-23 1:30 7:00 AU PPI % - 0.9 1.0 0.5
  3:00 8:30 BOJ Meeting % - -0.10 -0.10 -0.10
  9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   - 95.0 95.3 94.5
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.3 0.1 0.3
31-Jul-23 9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - 0.2 -0.1 0.3
                 
                 
July '24 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
July '24 Quarterly Forecast
Our July '24 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
July '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
July '24 EURUSD Report
The Euro has risen well in July, especially after a lower US CPI data as the Dollar Index declined sharply. Will the Euro continue its current rise beyond 1.09? EURJPY has fallen sharply from 175.42 last week. Will it continue to decline from here? Or could there be some more upside to 180/182 before reversing? ...Read More
July'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
July'24 Crude Oil Report
Brent fell to test $76.76 in the beginning of June-24 after the OPEC extended its production cuts for Q3-2024 but the price has managed to rise from there by the end of the month. How long will the $70-90 sideways range hold? Thereafter which side is the breakout likely? ... Read More
July '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
July '24 US Treasury Report
In our Jun-24 report (29-May-24, US10Yr @ 4.57%), we were looking for the US10Yr to dip to 4.1% in June and bounce back to 4.6% by October. In line with the short-term view, Yields have come down across the Curve and the US10Yr saw a low of 4.20% on 17-Jun. We had also said that .... Read More
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