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Archive May-24:Hedging without forecasts is blind

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EcoComic Calendar 2024
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MAY - 2024
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-May-24 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   - - -7.0 -13.9
  0:30 06:00 JP PMI   49.4 49.9 48.2 49.6
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   48.8 48.7 50.3 49.1
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 179 208 192
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   - 50.2 49.8 49.4
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   50.1 50.1 50.3 49.2
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50
2-May-24 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln - 7.4 6.6 5.0
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   59.9 59.5 59.1 58.8
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   1.5 - 1.0 1.3
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   41.6 45.5 45.2 41.4
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 45.6 46.1 45.7
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln - -69.3 -69.5 -69.4
3-May-24 9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.5
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 276 243 315 175
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees   0.2 - 0.2 0.2
6-May-24 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   63.6 61.7 61.2 60.8
7-May-24 4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 4.35 4.35 4.35
  9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.2 0.6 -0.3 0.8
9-May-24 11:00 16:30 BOE Mtg % - 5.25 5.25 5.25
  11:00 16:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 0-0-9 0-1-8 0-2-7
10-May-24 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -13.6 -14.5 -14.1 -14.0
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 2.4 - 5.6 4.9
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 20.9 -2.2 90.4
11-May-24 1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 0.2 0.1 0.3
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -2.3 -2.8 -2.5
13-May-24 12:00 17:30 IN CPI   4.93 4.80 4.85 4.83
14-May-24 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.3
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 0.36 1.00 0.53 1.26
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   -0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.5
15-May-24 9:00 14:30 EU Flash GDP % - 0.3 0.3 0.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % -1.0 -0.3 1.0 0.6
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -17.45 - -15.60 -19.10
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.0
  20:00 01:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 89.3 62.9 100.5
16-May-24 23:50 05:20 JP GDP % - -0.4% 0.1% -0.5%
  1:30 07:00 Australia Labour Force K - 25.3 -5.9 38.5
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   - 7.7 15.5 4.5
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1351 1430 1287 1360
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % -0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.4 78.4 78.5 78.4
17-May-24 1:30 07:00 CN IIP   - 4.6 4.5 4.2
  1:30 07:00 CN Retail Sales   - 3.7 3.1 2.3
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 2.30 2.40 2.43 2.38
21-May-24 9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 19.9 16.7 17.3
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - 2.8 2.9 2.7
22-May-24 6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 2.9 2.1 3.2 2.4
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4140 4210 4220 4140
23-May-24 14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 724 674 665 634
24-May-24 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -17 -18 -19 -17
  23:30 05:00 JP CPI   2.9 2.2 2.7 2.5
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 0.9 -0.5 0.8 0.7
27-May-24 8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate   89.3 90.4 89.3 89.3
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 88.0 89.9 88.9 88.3
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 89.3 90.5 89.7 90.4
28-May-24 13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 6.5 7.3 7.3 7.4
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   95.0 96.1 97.5 102.0
30-May-24 7:00 12:30 CH GDP % - 0.3 0.3 0.5
  9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   94.5 96.0 95.6 96.0
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % 3.4 1.3 1.6 1.2
31-May-24 23:30 05:00 JP Unemp % 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
  9:00 14:30 EU Flash CPI (YoY) % 2.57 2.50 2.37 2.57
  12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 7.8% 6.7% 8.6% 7.8%
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US PCE   0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Core PCE Price Index M/M % 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.0 0.2 0.0
                 
                 
November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 Monthly Forecast
Our November '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
November '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
November '24 EURUSD Report
After Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections, will the Dollar Index fall in the coming months aiding Euro strength? Or will aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and political uncertainity in Germany and France continue to put downside pressure on the Euro? ...Read More
November'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'24 Crude Oil Report
In our Oct-24 report (3-Oct-24, Brent $74.98), we had expected Brent to trade within $80-60 in the coming months. We had laid out a possibility of downside extension to $55-50 in case of a US recession in the Jan-Mar’25 quarter. Else a shallow recession or slowdown could limit the downside to $60. Brent remained above the Sep-24 low of $68.68 through Oct-24 trading within the broad $81.16-69.91 region, in line with our broader mentioned range of $80-60. ... Read More
November '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov '24 US Treasury Report
In our Oct-24 report (01-Oct-24, US10Yr @ 3.79%), we had said that in contrast with history, there were no immediate signs of a US recession and the earlier it could set in might be in Jan-Mar 2025, or maybe even later. We also favored just a slowdown, or at most a shallow recession. In accordance with this, the US data in October has been mixed to strong .... Read More
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