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Archive July-25:Improve yourself by yourself

In forex hedging, measuring our NEER (Net Effective Exchange Rate), is the first step towards improvement
EcoComic Calendar 2025
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JULY - 2025
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Jul-25 23:50 05:20 JP Tankan Large Manufacturers Index   - 10 12 13
  0:30 06:00 JP PMI   49.5 50.4 49.4 50.1
  1:45 07:15 CN PMI   49.6 49.2 48.3 50.4
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   58.2 58.4 57.6 58.4
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   40.1 44.2 42.1 49.6
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 49.4 49.4 49.5
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   47.1 47.7 46.4 47.7
  9:00 14:30 EU Flash CPI (YoY) % 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.0
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   48.3 48.8 48.5 49.0
2-Jul-25 22:30 04:00 AU PMI   - - -23.5 -29.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 105.0 29.0 -33.0
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   - - 46.1 45.6
3-Jul-25 0:30 06:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln - 5.08 4.86 2.24
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   58.7 60.7 58.8 60.4
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Composite PMI   - 50.0 50.2 50.6
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 160 120 144 147
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % - 4.3 4.2 4.1
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees   - - 0.32 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln - -69.9 -60.3 -71.5
7-Jul-25 9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.1 -0.8 0.3 -0.7
8-Jul-25 4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 3.60 3.85 3.85
9-Jul-25 1:30 07:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - -0.1 -0.1 0.1
  1:30 07:00 CN PPI   - -3.2 -3.3 3.6
11-Jul-25 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -23.8 -21.1 -22.4 -21.7
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 1.3 8.8 83.1
14-Jul-25 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 0.63 0.52 0.39 -0.13
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   2.77 2.40 2.82 2.10
15-Jul-25 2:00 07:30 CN GDP   - 5.2 5.4 5.2
  2:00 07:30 CN Retail Sales   - 5.5 6.4 4.8
  2:00 07:30 CN IIP (YoY)   - 5.6 5.8 6.8
9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.1 0.6 -2.2 1.7
  9:00 14:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln - - -21.88 -18.78
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM)   0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.2
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % - 1.9 1.7 1.9
16-Jul-25 6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 4.2 3.4 3.4 3.6
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 12.0 14.0 16.0
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM)   0.3 0.2 0.4 0.0
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 77.6 77.4 77.5 77.6
17-Jul-25 1:30 07:00 Australia Labour Force K - 21.0 -1.1 2.0
  6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.7
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.0
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -0.7 0.2 -1.0 0.6
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   - 0.4 -4.0 15.9
  13:00 01:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln - 55.3 -8.2 259.4
18-Jul-25 23:30 05:00 JP CPI   3.7 3.3 3.4 3.2
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1312 1290 1263 1327
23-Jul-25 14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3945 4010.0 4040 3930.0
24-Jul-25 11:45 17:15 ECB Mtg % 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 671 651 623 627
25-Jul-25 23:05 04:35 UK Cons Conf   -19 -19 -18 -19
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate   86.7 89.2 88.4 88.6
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 85.9 86.7 86.2 86.5
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 87.8 91.2 90.6 90.7
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % -4.5 -10.3 16.5 -9.3
28-Jul-25 10:30 16:00 IN IIP % 2.4 2.4 1.9 1.5
29-Jul-25 13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % - 2.9 3.4 2.8
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   94.1 95.9 95.2 97.2
30-Jul-25 1:30 07:00 AU CPI % - 2.2 2.4 2.1
  9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - 0.0 0.6 0.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   94.9 94.8 94.0 95.8
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 82.0 -23.0 104.0
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 2.5 -0.5 2.9
  14:00 19:30 BOC Meeting % - 2.75 2.75 2.75
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - <4.50 <4.50 <4.50
31-Jul-25 3:00 08:30 BOJ Meeting % - 0.50 0.50 0.50
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.2
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % - 0.2 -0.4 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US PCE M/M % 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Core PCE % 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
                 
                 
August '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug '25 Monthly Forecast
Our August '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
August'25 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'25 EURUSD Report
Markets see the ECB on hold through 2025, with slim odds of a September cut, while the Fed is 90% likely to ease next month after the downward revision in the recent US NFP data release on 01-Aug. ...Read More
Aug'25 USDJPY Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'25 USDJPY Report
In our 09-Jul-25 report (USDJPY 146.81), an initial rise to 150-152 was expected, followed by a fall to 144.50-143.50 before eventually rallying towards 155 in the long term. As anticipated, the USDJPY observed ... Read More
August'25 GOI Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'25 GOI Report
In our 10-Jul-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.38%) we said that Crude might have bottomed and could rise towards $82 (in the long term), limiting the downside for inflation ... Read More
August'25 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'25 Crude Oil Report
Our August 2025 Crude Oil Monthly Report covers updates on OPEC+ production, inventory changes and cross-commodity correlations. Our analysis includes both technical setups and broader market indicators shaping the near-term outlook for Brent. ... Read More
Aug '25 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug '25 US Treasury Report
In our last report (28-Jun-25, UST10Yr 4.28%) we had highlighted the stagflation dilemma faced by the US FED (which still remains); had said that the Inflation Expectation could rise (it did indeed rise); that Inflation is .... Read More
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