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Archive Mar-23:...And Ridiculed

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MARCH - 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Mar-23 23:00 4:30 AU PMI   44.6 - 44.7 -17.1
  0:30 6:00 AU GDP % - 0.70 0.68 0.48
  0:30 6:00 JP PMI   47.8 47.4 48.9 47.7
  1:30 7:00 CN PMI   49.5 51.3 49.2 51.6
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   55.3 54.3 55.4 55.3
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   49.4 50.4 49.3 48.9
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 48.5 48.8 48.5
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   46.7 49.2 47.0 49.3
  14:30 20:00 CA PMI   50.1 50.1 51.0 52.4
  15:00 20:30 US Manufacturing ISM   47.2 47.9 47.4 47.7
2-Mar-23 10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) Flash Estimate % 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.5
  10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.7
3-Mar-23 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   55.5 56.2 57.2 59.4
6-Mar-23 7:30 13:00 CH CPI   3.0 2.9 3.2 3.3
  10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.4 0.7 -1.6 0.3
7-Mar-23 0:30 6:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 18.42 12.25 12.64 11.69
  4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 3.60 3.35 3.60
8-Mar-23 10:00 15:30 EU GDP % - 0.0 0.1 0.0
  13:15 18:45 US ADP Emp K 371 195 119 242
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -73.5 -69.0 -67.2 -68.3
  15:00 20:30 BOC Meeting % - 4.50 4.50 4.50
9-Mar-23 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
  1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 1.9 2.1 1.0
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -1.3 -0.8 -1.4
10-Mar-23 3:00 8:30 BOJ Meeting % - -0.10 -0.10 -0.10
  7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -25.8 -17.5 -19.5 -17.9
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 4.2 4.5 5.1 5.2
  13:30 19:00 US NFP K 601 206 472 311
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.6
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
  13:30 19:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.35 - 0.3 0.5
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - 6.0 150.0 21.8
13-Mar-23 12:00 17:30 IN CPI   6.29 6.35 6.52 6.44
14-Mar-23 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 4.24 4.00 4.80 3.85
  7:00 12:30 UK Unemp % 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5
15-Mar-23 2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 2.6 1.3 2.4
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 3.5 -1.8 3.5
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.6 0.5 -1.0 0.7
  10:30 16:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -20.17 -19.00 -17.75 -17.43
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.7 0.3 0.4 -0.2
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 1.3 -0.1 2.8 0.0
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln 196.8 130.7 152.8 31.9
16-Mar-23 0:30 6:00 Australia Labour Force K 11.1 49.7 3.9 64.6
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   -31.0 -14.7 -24.3 -23.2
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1324 1320 1340 1450
  13:15 18:45 ECB Mtg % - 3.50 3.00 3.50
17-Mar-23 10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.5
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.0
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.7 78.5 79.6 78.0
20-Mar-23 10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - -17.3 -13.4 -11.3
21-Mar-23 12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 5.4 5.4 5.9 5.2
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3901 4190 4000 4580
22-Mar-23 7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 10.0 9.9 10.0 10.5
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - 5.00 4.75 5.00
23-Mar-23 8:30 14:00 SNB Meeting % - 1.50 1.00 1.50
  12:00 17:30 BOE Meeting % - 4.25 4.00 4.25
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 7-0-2 7-0-2 7-0-2
  12:30 18:00 US Current Account Balance $ Bln -223.3 -213.0 -219.0 -206.8
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 664 650 649 640
24-Mar-23 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -54 -35 -38 -36
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   5.2 4.1 4.4 3.3
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 1.9 1.5 -5.0 -1.0
27-Mar-23 8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate   90.0 90.9 91.1 93.3
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 93.3 94.1 94.0 95.4
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 84.8 88.0 88.2 91.2
28-Mar-23 13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 4.3 4.5 3.6 2.6
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   102.7 101.0 103.4 104.2
30-Mar-23 9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   97.0 99.7 99.7 99.3
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 2.7 2.7 2.6
31-Mar-23 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6
  6:00 11:30 UK GDP % - 0 -0.3 0.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.6
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI Flash Estimate (YoY) % 7.4 6.9 8.5 6.9
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.4 -0.1 0.5
                 
                 
Apr '24 Quarterly Forecast
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Apr '24 Quarterly Forecast
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April '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr '24 EURUSD Report
Euro could not move above 1.0981 in March and has been trading well below 1.10 post the surprise rate cut by SNB last month. Will Euro continue to trade below 1.10? Or can it remain stable for a while and show a sharp breakout above 1.10? ...Read More
Apr'24 Crude Oil Report
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Apr'24 Crude Oil Report
After breaking above the earlier range of $70-85, Brent has moved up higher. Will it sustain and break above $90? Or will it fall back to $80/70? Find detailed analysis with 12-month numerical projections for Brent in the April 24 Monthly Crude report. ... Read More
April '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr '24 US Treasury Report
In our last report (23-Feb-24, US10Yr @ 4.25%), we had laid out our near term view (that the ongoing rise in the US10Yr may/ may not extend up to 4.5%), our medium term view (that the US10Yr can still fall to 3.5%) and our long term view of a rise towards 5.0% and higher going into 2025. .... Read More
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