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Archive Mar-23:...And Ridiculed

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MARCH - 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Mar-23 23:00 4:30 AU PMI   44.6 - 44.7 -17.1
  0:30 6:00 AU GDP % - 0.70 0.68 0.48
  0:30 6:00 JP PMI   47.8 47.4 48.9 47.7
  1:30 7:00 CN PMI   49.5 51.3 49.2 51.6
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   55.3 54.3 55.4 55.3
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   49.4 50.4 49.3 48.9
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 48.5 48.8 48.5
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   46.7 49.2 47.0 49.3
  14:30 20:00 CA PMI   50.1 50.1 51.0 52.4
  15:00 20:30 US Manufacturing ISM   47.2 47.9 47.4 47.7
2-Mar-23 10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) Flash Estimate % 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.5
  10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.7
3-Mar-23 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   55.5 56.2 57.2 59.4
6-Mar-23 7:30 13:00 CH CPI   3.0 2.9 3.2 3.3
  10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.4 0.7 -1.6 0.3
7-Mar-23 0:30 6:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 18.42 12.25 12.64 11.69
  4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 3.60 3.35 3.60
8-Mar-23 10:00 15:30 EU GDP % - 0.0 0.1 0.0
  13:15 18:45 US ADP Emp K 371 195 119 242
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -73.5 -69.0 -67.2 -68.3
  15:00 20:30 BOC Meeting % - 4.50 4.50 4.50
9-Mar-23 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
  1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 1.9 2.1 1.0
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -1.3 -0.8 -1.4
10-Mar-23 3:00 8:30 BOJ Meeting % - -0.10 -0.10 -0.10
  7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -25.8 -17.5 -19.5 -17.9
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 4.2 4.5 5.1 5.2
  13:30 19:00 US NFP K 601 206 472 311
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.6
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
  13:30 19:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.35 - 0.3 0.5
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - 6.0 150.0 21.8
13-Mar-23 12:00 17:30 IN CPI   6.29 6.35 6.52 6.44
14-Mar-23 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 4.24 4.00 4.80 3.85
  7:00 12:30 UK Unemp % 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5
15-Mar-23 2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 2.6 1.3 2.4
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 3.5 -1.8 3.5
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.6 0.5 -1.0 0.7
  10:30 16:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -20.17 -19.00 -17.75 -17.43
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.7 0.3 0.4 -0.2
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 1.3 -0.1 2.8 0.0
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln 196.8 130.7 152.8 31.9
16-Mar-23 0:30 6:00 Australia Labour Force K 11.1 49.7 3.9 64.6
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   -31.0 -14.7 -24.3 -23.2
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1324 1320 1340 1450
  13:15 18:45 ECB Mtg % - 3.50 3.00 3.50
17-Mar-23 10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.5
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.0
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.7 78.5 79.6 78.0
20-Mar-23 10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - -17.3 -13.4 -11.3
21-Mar-23 12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 5.4 5.4 5.9 5.2
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 3901 4190 4000 4580
22-Mar-23 7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 10.0 9.9 10.0 10.5
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - 5.00 4.75 5.00
23-Mar-23 8:30 14:00 SNB Meeting % - 1.50 1.00 1.50
  12:00 17:30 BOE Meeting % - 4.25 4.00 4.25
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 7-0-2 7-0-2 7-0-2
  12:30 18:00 US Current Account Balance $ Bln -223.3 -213.0 -219.0 -206.8
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 664 650 649 640
24-Mar-23 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -54 -35 -38 -36
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   5.2 4.1 4.4 3.3
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 1.9 1.5 -5.0 -1.0
27-Mar-23 8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate   90.0 90.9 91.1 93.3
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 93.3 94.1 94.0 95.4
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 84.8 88.0 88.2 91.2
28-Mar-23 13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 4.3 4.5 3.6 2.6
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   102.7 101.0 103.4 104.2
30-Mar-23 9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   97.0 99.7 99.7 99.3
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 2.7 2.7 2.6
31-Mar-23 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6
  6:00 11:30 UK GDP % - 0 -0.3 0.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.6
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI Flash Estimate (YoY) % 7.4 6.9 8.5 6.9
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.4 -0.1 0.5
                 
                 
September '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '24 Monthly Forecast
Our September '24 Monthly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
September '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
September '24 EURUSD Report
With EU Inflation within reach of its 2% target, will ECB cut rates today ahead of the FED policy meeting next week? Or will it skip and target a rate cut in Oct-24? ...Read More
September'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'24 Crude Oil Report
Brent has held above $74 and risen slightly. It may continue to move within the sideways range for some more time. Thereafter, will it break higher? Or fall lower below $74? Also will US actually see a recession? Or will data improve over the next few months and reduce recession chances? ... Read More
September '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '24 US Treasury Report
In our Aug-24 report (31-Jul-24, US10Yr @ 4.14%), we were looking for the US10Yr to consolidated between 4.1-4.4% in August, before falling to 4.0-3.8% by Sep-Oct. As it turns out, there was no consolidation in August and the 10Yr has already fallen to 3.8%. Powell has signalled a rate cut in September as .... Read More
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