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WHERE ARE THE GLOBAL MARKETS GOING?

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Morning Briefing trades slightly higher. The ECB kept rates unchanged as widely expected but has hinted at a Dec-26 rate hike. A sustained rise from here above 1.12 can lead to an initial rise towards 1.1250 before reversing from there. ......Read more

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WHAT'S NEW?

Oct '26 Quarterly Forecast

Our October '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'26 EURUSD Report

In our September 2026 report (4-Sep-26, EURUSD 1.1620), we revised our Euro forecast upwards due to lack of followthrough selling below 1.14. We expected the Euro to range between 1.1980-1.13 for the next 1yr. However, in line with our earlier bearish outlook, the Euro fell sharply to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'26 GOI Report

In our 10-Sep-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.98%), we had noted that the Long end of the Curve, viz. the 10Yr GOI was rising due to a number of factors. We said, “Whether the RBI will raise rates on 07-Oct will depend on whether Crude happens to be breaking higher or would have cooled off from $105 to $95”.... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'26 Crude Oil Report

In our September 2026 report (11-Sep-26, Brent @ $103.84), we had expected Brent to range within $90-115 for the next 1year. Prices were expected to remain elevated, primarily driven by the low volume of vessel transit in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent indeed traded within $109.97 and $90.70 in Sep-26, within our expected range. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov '26 US Treasury Report

Our last report (03-Oct-26, UST10Y 5.28%) warned of increased chances of Brent rising towards $135-145, US Core PCE rising towards 4.5-5.0% and the US10Yr rising towards 5.80% (Dec-26) and 6.00% (Aug-27). While Brent has risen to nearly $117 and the Core PCE (Aug-27) has inched up to 3.01%, we find that US Yields have fallen across .... Read More

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