Kshitij Consultancy Services
Kshitij Consultancy Services

Buy US Treasury Report

US Treasury Report
Note: The report will be emailed between 11am - 6pm (IST) on the same/next day.

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Oct ' 26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (04-Sep-26, UST10Y 4.77%) we had noted chances of a slowdown ahead but since Crude could spike up, we retained our view of the US10Yr rising to 5.10% by Nov-26 and 5.40% by Mar-27. As it turns out, Brent did indeed rise to $109.97 (11-Sep), dipped to $95.12 and has again risen back up to $100. The Core PCE came in at 3.01% due to a revision in methodology, else it could have been higher. The FOMC expectedly raised rates by 25bp to 4.0%. With Crude rising again, the US10Yr has already risen to 5.35%, closing in on our 5.4% target for Mar-27, way earlier than expected.
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