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Oct ' 25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (03-Sep-25, UST10Yr 4.22%) we expected the FED cut rates by 50bp in the rest of 2025 and the shortend of the Curve to move down with the US2Yr falling towards 3.4-3.0%. At the same time, the US10Yr could be ranged between 4.16-4.70% till Feb-26 and then rise towards 5.15% by Aug-26. As widely expected, the FED cut rates by 25bp to 4.25% keeping room for 1 or 2 more cuts in 2025. The US2Yr did dip a bit, but only to 3.58%, while the US10Yr fell more from 4.22% to a low of 3.99%, leading to a degree of Curve flattening instead of Curve steepening. In the meanwhile, Gold has continued to rise and Japanese Yields have also soared along with the rise in Gold.

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October '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct '25 Quarterly Forecast

Our October '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'25 EURUSD Report

In our September 2025 outlook (15-Sep-25, EURUSD 1.1725), we expected Euro strength to be limited to 1.19/20, to be followed by a decline to 1.12 by Mar-26 and 1.0875 by Jun-26. We had expected a rise in the Euro after an expected ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'25 USDJPY Report

In our 12-Sep-25 report (USDJPY 147.96), we expected the USDJPY to limit the downside to 144 and ascend towards 155-158 in the coming months. In line with our view, USDJPY limited the downside to ... Read More

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Nov'25 GOI Report

In our 30-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.57%) we expected Inflation to rise strongly, but the CPI has surprised by falling to 1.54% instead, the lowest level since 2017. The US FED has cut the Fed Rate by ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 Crude Oil Report

With sharp decline in Gold and Gold/Brent ratio, will Brent now start moving higher? Or will other geopolitical and global issues continue to weigh and put pressure for a lower crude price? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov '25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (09-Oct-25, UST10Yr 4.11%) we continued to expect the FED to cut rates by 25bp-50bp in its 29-Oct and 10-Dec meetings and for the US10Yr to dip to .... Read More

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