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Mar ' 26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (28-Jan-26, UST10Yr 4.23%) we had established the linkage between higher Crude and higher Inflation leading onto higher Yields and had said Yields were likely to move up along with Crude prices. At the same time, given prospects of slowing growth there was room for at 25-50 bp Fed Rate cut in 2026. Surprisingly, despite higher Crude prices, there has been an across the Curve decline in Yields in February, attributed to “flight to safety” from declines in Silver, Gold and Stocks.

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Oct '26 Quarterly Forecast

Our October '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

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Oct'26 EURUSD Report

In our September 2026 report (4-Sep-26, EURUSD 1.1620), we revised our Euro forecast upwards due to lack of followthrough selling below 1.14. We expected the Euro to range between 1.1980-1.13 for the next 1yr. However, in line with our earlier bearish outlook, the Euro fell sharply to ... Read More

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Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

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Oct'26 GOI Report

In our 10-Sep-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.98%), we had noted that the Long end of the Curve, viz. the 10Yr GOI was rising due to a number of factors. We said, “Whether the RBI will raise rates on 07-Oct will depend on whether Crude happens to be breaking higher or would have cooled off from $105 to $95”.... Read More

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Oct'26 Crude Oil Report

In our September 2026 report (11-Sep-26, Brent @ $103.84), we had expected Brent to range within $90-115 for the next 1year. Prices were expected to remain elevated, primarily driven by the low volume of vessel transit in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent indeed traded within $109.97 and $90.70 in Sep-26, within our expected range. ... Read More

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Oct '26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (04-Sep-26, UST10Y 4.77%) we had noted chances of a slowdown ahead but since Crude could spike up, we retained our view of the US10Yr rising to 5.10% by Nov-26 and 5.40% by Mar-27. As it turns out, Brent did indeed rise to .... Read More

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