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US Treasury Report
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June ' 26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (29-Apr-26, UST10Yr 4.35%), we had said that the FED was likely to leave rates unchanged, which it did. We had also said that “once Kevin Warsh comes in, the FED is more likely to cut, responding to lower growth, pushing the Near-end lower, while the Far-end rises along with Crude induced inflation”. As per the market, the expectation for FED action has moved from one rate cut to one rate hike in 2026, so our call for a rate cut could be wrong.
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