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July ' 26 US Treasury Report

For the last few months we have been looking for Crude to rise towards $130-190 and pull up the US CPI towards 4.6% and the US10Yr Yield to 5.4% by Jan-27. This view has clearly gone wrong with Brent falling sharply below $90 as a result of the US-Iran peace deal, which is the biggest game changing event of last month. Yields have fallen as a result. Parallely, the US FED has a new Chairman in Kevin Warsh who has set out to restructure the way the Federal Reserve thinks, operates and communicates.

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Sep '26 Monthly Forecast

Our Sep '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Sep'26 EURUSD Report

Euro has a positive correlation with US ISM since 2009, except in the period mid-2023 to mid-2025. Positive correlation suggests that while the US ISM rises in the coming months to 58-59, the Euro could rise or remain elevated within ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'26 GOI Report

Our last report on 13-Jul-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.74%) stood on a foundation of uncertainty regarding what happens in the Strait of Hormuz. We assumed that Crude would remains below $90, and hence we projected ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'26 Crude Oil Report

In our July 2026 report (6-Jul-26, Brent @ $71.94), we had expected Brent to test $64 before consolidating within the $64-90 range till Mar-27. Thereafter, the prices were expected to slowly rise back to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Sep '26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (29-Jul-26, UST10Y 4.62%) we had said there were greater chances of rate hike on 16-September; we had also called for higher Yields, targeting 4.75% on the US2Yr, 4.80% on the US5Yr and 5.00% on the US10Yr. Both the prognoses seem to be .... Read More

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