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Apr ' 26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (27-Feb-26, UST10Yr 4.01%), which was published just one day before the start of the US-Israel-Iran War on 28-Feb, we had continued to target 4.60% on the US10Yr based on expectations of higher Crude. At that time, we were looking for Brent to rise to a mere $78, a gross underestimate, as it turns out. Wth the war continuing through March, Brent has surged to a high of $119.50 already and the US10Yr has risen to a high of 4.47%.

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Oct '26 Quarterly Forecast

Our October '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

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Oct'26 EURUSD Report

In our September 2026 report (4-Sep-26, EURUSD 1.1620), we revised our Euro forecast upwards due to lack of followthrough selling below 1.14. We expected the Euro to range between 1.1980-1.13 for the next 1yr. However, in line with our earlier bearish outlook, the Euro fell sharply to ... Read More

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Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

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Oct'26 GOI Report

In our 10-Sep-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.98%), we had noted that the Long end of the Curve, viz. the 10Yr GOI was rising due to a number of factors. We said, “Whether the RBI will raise rates on 07-Oct will depend on whether Crude happens to be breaking higher or would have cooled off from $105 to $95”.... Read More

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Oct'26 Crude Oil Report

In our September 2026 report (11-Sep-26, Brent @ $103.84), we had expected Brent to range within $90-115 for the next 1year. Prices were expected to remain elevated, primarily driven by the low volume of vessel transit in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent indeed traded within $109.97 and $90.70 in Sep-26, within our expected range. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct '26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (04-Sep-26, UST10Y 4.77%) we had noted chances of a slowdown ahead but since Crude could spike up, we retained our view of the US10Yr rising to 5.10% by Nov-26 and 5.40% by Mar-27. As it turns out, Brent did indeed rise to .... Read More

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