In our 08-Oct-25 report (USDJPY 152.68), we expected the USDJPY to initially rise to 154-155 in the near term followed by a fall to 149.50 in Nov-25 before eventually resuming its uptrend towards 158 in the long run. In line with our view, USDJPY tested the high of 154.50 so far. BOJ kept the interest rates unchanged at 0.50% in its 30 Oct-25 meeting.
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WHAT'S NEW?
Feb '26 Monthly Forecast
Our February '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Feb'26 EURUSD Report
Euro unexpectedly reached 1.2083 in Jan-26 on Dollar sell-off but recovered quickly back to lower levels. Will it again attempt to rise targeting 1.24? Or will it remain below 1.20/21 now and see an eventual decline to 1.10/08? ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Jan'26 USDJPY Report
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'26 GOI Report
The Real 10Yr Yield at 0.90% plus CPI at 6.2% implies that the nominal 10Yr GOI rate can ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'26 Crude Oil Report
The Net Long short position for WTI has started to move up. Currently above 2, will it rise sharply towards 4-6 and higher or fall back towards 1.5 or lower? The US-Iran conflict has lead to a sharp rally in crude prices. Will it dominate prices in the coming months? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '26 US Treasury Report
In our last report (28-Jan-26, UST10Yr 4.23%) we had established the linkage between higher Crude and higher Inflation leading onto higher Yields and had said Yields were likely to move up along with .... Read More