Buy GOI Report

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Sep ' 26 GOI Report

In our 05-Aug-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.82%), we projected a 6.63-6.95% range for a few months before a rise towards 7.10% by Jul-27, assuming Brent stayed within $75-95 before rising to $115. Brent is already up to $105, pushing the 10Yr GOI close to 7.00%, while the US10Yr trades above 4.80%. Globally, inflation concerns are pushing yields higher and pressuring central banks to raise rates. In India, the Jul-26 CPI came in at 4.44%. Meanwhile, the FCNR(B)+ECB+OFCB swap window attracted $136.38 bln, creating excess liquidity. RBI is mopping this up through VRRRs and Sell/Buy forex swaps, pushing Forward Premia higher.

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WHAT'S NEW?

Sep '26 Monthly Forecast

Our Sep '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Sep'26 EURUSD Report

Euro has a positive correlation with US ISM since 2009, except in the period mid-2023 to mid-2025. Positive correlation suggests that while the US ISM rises in the coming months to 58-59, the Euro could rise or remain elevated within ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Sep'26 GOI Report

WHAT'S NEW?

Sep'26 Crude Oil Report

In our August 2026 report (7-Aug-26, Brent @ $83.61), we had expected Brent to range within $70-100 for the rest of the year before eventually rising above $100 going into 2027. Brent has already risen to $109.97 in Sep-26 so far as the US-Iran conflict has re-escalated, impacting the transit activity in the Strait of Hormuz. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Sep '26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (29-Jul-26, UST10Y 4.62%) we had said there were greater chances of rate hike on 16-September; we had also called for higher Yields, targeting 4.75% on the US2Yr, 4.80% on the US5Yr and 5.00% on the US10Yr. Both the prognoses seem to be .... Read More

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