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October ' 25 GOI Report

In our 10-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.48%) we expected the RBI to be on pause in its next MPC meeting on 01-Oct. This is to be seen tomorrow. We had also said there was room for the FOMC to cut rates by 25-50bp, and accordingly they did cut by 25bp on 17-Sep. We projected the 10Yr GOI to dip to 6.25% by December 2025 and then rise towards 6.59% by February 2026. Instead so far, the 10Yr GOI has been in a mild uptrend in September with a low of 6.44% on 09-Sep and a high of 6.63% on 01-Sep and then 6.58% on 30-Sep. The 50% tariffs by USA continue, the GST rates have been reduced and the India CPI has risen to 2.07% in August up from 1.61% in July.

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November '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov '25 Monthly Forecast

Our November '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 EURUSD Report

The German-US 2yr yield has been hovering just below crucial resistance. Will it decline sharply from here and suggest Euro weakness? Or can it break higher in the coming months? ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 USDJPY Report

In our 08-Oct-25 report (USDJPY 152.68), we expected the USDJPY to initially rise to 154-155 in the near term followed by a fall to 149.50 in Nov-25 before ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 GOI Report

In our 30-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.57%) we expected Inflation to rise strongly, but the CPI has surprised by falling to 1.54% instead, the lowest level since 2017. The US FED has cut the Fed Rate by ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 Crude Oil Report

With sharp decline in Gold and Gold/Brent ratio, will Brent now start moving higher? Or will other geopolitical and global issues continue to weigh and put pressure for a lower crude price? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov '25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (09-Oct-25, UST10Yr 4.11%) we continued to expect the FED to cut rates by 25bp-50bp in its 29-Oct and 10-Dec meetings and for the US10Yr to dip to .... Read More

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