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November ' 25 GOI Report

In our 30-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.57%) we expected Inflation to rise strongly, but the CPI has surprised by falling to 1.54% instead, the lowest level since 2017. The US FED has cut the Fed Rate by 25bp to 4.0%, but the US10Yr has risen after that from an Oct low of 3.94%. USA and China have entered into a trade deal within which Chinese exports of rare earth minerals is to resume. The rates at the BOE, ECB and BOJ are 4.0%, 2.15% and 0.5% respectively.
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