In our 30-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.57%) we expected Inflation to rise strongly, but the CPI has surprised by falling to 1.54% instead, the lowest level since 2017. The US FED has cut the Fed Rate by 25bp to 4.0%, but the US10Yr has risen after that from an Oct low of 3.94%. USA and China have entered into a trade deal within which Chinese exports of rare earth minerals is to resume. The rates at the BOE, ECB and BOJ are 4.0%, 2.15% and 0.5% respectively.
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WHAT'S NEW?
Dec '25 Monthly Forecast
Our December '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Nov'25 EURUSD Report
The German-US 2yr yield has been hovering just below crucial resistance. Will it decline sharply from here and suggest Euro weakness? Or can it break higher in the coming months? ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Dec'25 USDJPY Report
In our 11-Nov-25 report (USDJPY 154.10), we expected the USDJPY to initially decline towards 150 before eventually rising towards 158-160 in the long run. However, the pair limited ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Dec'25 GOI Report
In our 09-Nov-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.51%) we again expected Inflation to rise sharply, but instead the CPI has again surprised by falling to 0.25% in Oct-25. The Q2 GDP has come in strong at ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Dec'25 Crude Oil Report
Earlier in 2020, the Silver/Brent ratio rallied on sharp decline in Brent whereas it has rallied much higher in 2025 due to surge in precious metals. Will the ratio continue to rise in 2026? Or will it decline back sharply? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Dec '25 US Treasury Report
Since our last report (29-Oct-25, UST10Yr 3.985%) the US Fed has indeed reduced the Fed Rate by 25bp to 4.0%. Some economic data has started to .... Read More