In our 05-Feb-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.65%) we had reasoned that the RBI would not cut rates (they did not) as there were chances of a rise in CPI in the coming months. We concluded that the 10Yr GOI has room to rise to 6.9-7.0%. Since then, the 1-mth TBill (5.01%) fell to a low of 4.47% but has risen back from there.
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WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '26 Monthly Forecast
Our Sep '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'26 EURUSD Report
Euro has a positive correlation with US ISM since 2009, except in the period mid-2023 to mid-2025. Positive correlation suggests that while the US ISM rises in the coming months to 58-59, the Euro could rise or remain elevated within ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Jan'26 USDJPY Report
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'26 GOI Report
Our last report on 13-Jul-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.74%) stood on a foundation of uncertainty regarding what happens in the Strait of Hormuz. We assumed that Crude would remains below $90, and hence we projected ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Aug'26 Crude Oil Report
In our July 2026 report (6-Jul-26, Brent @ $71.94), we had expected Brent to test $64 before consolidating within the $64-90 range till Mar-27. Thereafter, the prices were expected to slowly rise back to ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '26 US Treasury Report
In our last report (29-Jul-26, UST10Y 4.62%) we had said there were greater chances of rate hike on 16-September; we had also called for higher Yields, targeting 4.75% on the US2Yr, 4.80% on the US5Yr and 5.00% on the US10Yr. Both the prognoses seem to be .... Read More