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March ' 26 GOI Report

In our 05-Feb-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.65%) we had reasoned that the RBI would not cut rates (they did not) as there were chances of a rise in CPI in the coming months. We concluded that the 10Yr GOI has room to rise to 6.9-7.0%. Since then, the 1-mth TBill (5.01%) fell to a low of 4.47% but has risen back from there.

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WHAT'S NEW?

Mar '26 Monthly Forecast

Our March '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

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Mar'26 GOI Report

The Real 10Yr Yield at 0.90% plus CPI at 6.2% implies that the nominal 10Yr GOI rate can ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Mar'26 Crude Oil Report

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WHAT'S NEW?

Mar '26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (28-Jan-26, UST10Yr 4.23%) we had established the linkage between higher Crude and higher Inflation leading onto higher Yields and had said Yields were likely to move up along with .... Read More

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