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June ' 26 GOI Report

In our 11-Apr-26 report (10Yr GOI 7.03%) we had retained our bullish view on Brent towards $134 by Sep-26, while allowing for a near term dip to $95 on hopes of a US-Iran resolution. Brent fell to $89.93, lower than our expected dip of $95, but has bounced back above that. The April CPI rose to 3.48%, a tad lower than our expectation of 3.66%. Our long term 10Yr GOI target of 7.45% allowed for a near term consolidation between 6.85-7.10%. The traded range for the 10Yr GOI in May was 6.90-7.14%, more or less in line with our expectations. All eyes are on ongoing negotiations between USA-Israel-Iran

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Aug '26 Monthly Forecast

Our Aug '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'26 EURUSD Report

In our July 2026 report (10-Jul-26, EURUSD 1.1442), we expected the Euro to rise from support at 1.13 to 1.16 by Aug-26 before resuming its broader downtrend towards 1.12 by Oct-26 and 1.0950 by Jun-27. In line with this, the Euro tested 1.1547 in July-26 and 1.1581 in Aug-26, the recent rise triggered by weakness in ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'26 GOI Report

Our last report on 13-Jul-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.74%) stood on a foundation of uncertainty regarding what happens in the Strait of Hormuz. We assumed that Crude would remains below $90, and hence we projected ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'26 Crude Oil Report

In our July 2026 report (6-Jul-26, Brent @ $71.94), we had expected Brent to test $64 before consolidating within the $64-90 range till Mar-27. Thereafter, the prices were expected to slowly rise back to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug '26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (29-Jun-26, UST10Y 4.39%) we had followed the fall in Crude to $73 to change our US10Yr forecast from a rise to 5.10% by Sep-26 to a slight dip to 4.30% by Sep-26; and instead of the earlier forecast of a rise to 5.4% by Jan-27, the changed forecast projected .... Read More

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