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July ' 25 GOI Report

In our 05-Jun-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.25%) we said that the 10Yr GOI downside is limited to 6.0% from where it can rise towards 6.5%. In line with that, although the 10Yr GOI dipped to a low of 6.1334% as an immediate reaction to the 50bp Repo Rate cut on 06-June, it has bounced back well. The US Fed retained the FFR at 4.5% at the FOMC meeting on 18-Jun, citing inflation concerns. Brent rose to a high of $79.40 on 23-June at the height of the Israel-Iran conflict and then fell back to $65.92 as the ceasefire came into effect, from where it has risen back to $70.00.

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July '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

July '25 Quarterly Forecast

Our July '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

July'25 EURUSD Report

The Dollar Index has high chances of rebounding from support at 96, in which case, it could limit the immediate upside for Euro and lead to a decline in the coming months ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'25 USDJPY Report

In our 09-Jul-25 report (USDJPY 146.81), an initial rise to 150-152 was expected, followed by a fall to 144.50-143.50 before eventually rallying towards 155 in the long term. As anticipated, the USDJPY observed ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'25 GOI Report

In our 10-Jul-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.38%) we said that Crude might have bottomed and could rise towards $82 (in the long term), limiting the downside for inflation ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'25 Crude Oil Report

Our August 2025 Crude Oil Monthly Report covers updates on OPEC+ production, inventory changes and cross-commodity correlations. Our analysis includes both technical setups and broader market indicators shaping the near-term outlook for Brent. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug '25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (28-Jun-25, UST10Yr 4.28%) we had highlighted the stagflation dilemma faced by the US FED (which still remains); had said that the Inflation Expectation could rise (it did indeed rise); that Inflation is .... Read More

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