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July ' 25 GOI Report

In our 05-Jun-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.25%) we said that the 10Yr GOI downside is limited to 6.0% from where it can rise towards 6.5%. In line with that, although the 10Yr GOI dipped to a low of 6.1334% as an immediate reaction to the 50bp Repo Rate cut on 06-June, it has bounced back well. The US Fed retained the FFR at 4.5% at the FOMC meeting on 18-Jun, citing inflation concerns. Brent rose to a high of $79.40 on 23-June at the height of the Israel-Iran conflict and then fell back to $65.92 as the ceasefire came into effect, from where it has risen back to $70.00.

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November '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov '25 Monthly Forecast

Our November '25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 EURUSD Report

The German-US 2yr yield has been hovering just below crucial resistance. Will it decline sharply from here and suggest Euro weakness? Or can it break higher in the coming months? ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 USDJPY Report

In our 08-Oct-25 report (USDJPY 152.68), we expected the USDJPY to initially rise to 154-155 in the near term followed by a fall to 149.50 in Nov-25 before ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 GOI Report

In our 30-Sep-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.57%) we expected Inflation to rise strongly, but the CPI has surprised by falling to 1.54% instead, the lowest level since 2017. The US FED has cut the Fed Rate by ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov'25 Crude Oil Report

With sharp decline in Gold and Gold/Brent ratio, will Brent now start moving higher? Or will other geopolitical and global issues continue to weigh and put pressure for a lower crude price? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Nov '25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (09-Oct-25, UST10Yr 4.11%) we continued to expect the FED to cut rates by 25bp-50bp in its 29-Oct and 10-Dec meetings and for the US10Yr to dip to .... Read More

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