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GOI Report
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July ' 25 GOI Report

In our 05-Jun-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.25%) we said that the 10Yr GOI downside is limited to 6.0% from where it can rise towards 6.5%. In line with that, although the 10Yr GOI dipped to a low of 6.1334% as an immediate reaction to the 50bp Repo Rate cut on 06-June, it has bounced back well. The US Fed retained the FFR at 4.5% at the FOMC meeting on 18-Jun, citing inflation concerns. Brent rose to a high of $79.40 on 23-June at the height of the Israel-Iran conflict and then fell back to $65.92 as the ceasefire came into effect, from where it has risen back to $70.00.
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