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February ' 26 GOI Report

In our 09-Jan-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.63%) we had wondered if actual CPI would undershoot projections; and had said that the RBI might cut rates further. We expected the Yield Curve to steepen and 10Yr GOI to have limited upside. The Dec-25 CPI rose to 1.33%. How the CPI pans out from here will need to be seen. In the meanwhile the Yield Curve has indeed steepened with the 10Yr GOI – 1Mth TBill Spread rising to 1.9%.

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