In our 09-Nov-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.51%) we again expected Inflation to rise sharply, but instead the CPI has again surprised by falling to 0.25% in Oct-25. The Q2 GDP has come in strong at 8.2%. At the same time, the Rupee has weakened to an all-time low of 90.29. The Indo-US trade deal has not come through yet, whereas Vladmir Putin is to visit Bharat for two days, on 4th and 5th Dec. In the meanwhile, Gold and Silver have been rising again.
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WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '26 Monthly Forecast
Our March '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'26 EURUSD Report
Our view of a fall towards 1.14 seems to be playing out well so far as the tensions in the Middle East and the US-Iran conflict have triggered a rise in Dollar Index and crude oil prices, thereby weakening to Euro to 1.1507 so far in Mar-26. Will it again attempt to rise targeting 1.20? Or will it remain below 1.19/20 now and see an eventual decline to 1.10? ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Jan'26 USDJPY Report
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'26 GOI Report
The Real 10Yr Yield at 0.90% plus CPI at 6.2% implies that the nominal 10Yr GOI rate can ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'26 Crude Oil Report
The Net Long short position for WTI has started to move up. Currently above 2, will it rise sharply towards 4-6 and higher or fall back towards 1.5 or lower? The US-Iran conflict has lead to a sharp rally in crude prices. Will it dominate prices in the coming months? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '26 US Treasury Report
In our last report (28-Jan-26, UST10Yr 4.23%) we had established the linkage between higher Crude and higher Inflation leading onto higher Yields and had said Yields were likely to move up along with .... Read More