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Aug ' 26 GOI Report

Our last report on 13-Jul-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.74%) stood on a foundation of uncertainty regarding what happens in the Strait of Hormuz. We assumed that Crude would remains below $90, and hence we projected lower inflation (below 4.5%) and therefore lower Yields. As it turns out, Brent rose past $90 to $102 on 23-July and has fallen back below $90 again. In the meanwhile, the Jun-26 Bharat CPI has risen to 4.38% and the 10Yr GOI has also risen nearly 10bp. Over in the USA, the US10Yr has risen further even though the FED has left rates unchanged in a 9-3 split vote.

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WHAT'S NEW?

Aug '26 Monthly Forecast

Our Aug '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'26 EURUSD Report

In our July 2026 report (10-Jul-26, EURUSD 1.1442), we expected the Euro to rise from support at 1.13 to 1.16 by Aug-26 before resuming its broader downtrend towards 1.12 by Oct-26 and 1.0950 by Jun-27. In line with this, the Euro tested 1.1547 in July-26 and 1.1581 in Aug-26, the recent rise triggered by weakness in ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'26 GOI Report

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'26 Crude Oil Report

In our July 2026 report (6-Jul-26, Brent @ $71.94), we had expected Brent to test $64 before consolidating within the $64-90 range till Mar-27. Thereafter, the prices were expected to slowly rise back to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug '26 US Treasury Report

In our last report (29-Jun-26, UST10Y 4.39%) we had followed the fall in Crude to $73 to change our US10Yr forecast from a rise to 5.10% by Sep-26 to a slight dip to 4.30% by Sep-26; and instead of the earlier forecast of a rise to 5.4% by Jan-27, the changed forecast projected .... Read More

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