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April ' 26 GOI Report

In our 09-Mar-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.69%) we had warned that the sharp rise in crude due to the US-Iran conflict could push Brent toward $134, which would lift CPI toward ~6.2%, eliminating any chance of RBI easing, and potentially force tightening. As it turns out, the war has entered its 6th week, Brent has risen to a high of $119.50 already, the US10Yr has risen to a high of 4.476% and the 10Yr GOI has soared to a high of 7.14%, as even a ceasefire is unsure, leave alone cessation and resolution of the war.

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July '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

July '26 Quarterly Forecast

Our July '26 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

July'26 EURUSD Report

In our June 2026 report (10-Jun-26, EURUSD 1.1546), we expected the Euro to rise towards 1.17 in Jun-26 before reversing lower, with surging crude prices, rising inflation, and potential central bank rate hikes posing key risks amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict.... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Jan'26 USDJPY Report

In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

June'26 GOI Report

In our 11-Apr-26 report (10Yr GOI 7.03%) we had retained our bullish view on Brent towards $134 by Sep-26, while allowing for a near term dip to $95 on hopes of a US-Iran resolution. Brent fell to $89.93, lower than... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

July'26 Crude Oil Report

In our June 2026 report (1-Jun-26, Brent @ $95.47), we had expected Brent to correct to $88 before bouncing back to $120 and $145 by Aug-26 and Sep-26, respectively. A sustained trade below $90 was said to be incumbent on a fully credible resolution of the US-Iran war. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

July '26 US Treasury Report

For the last few months we have been looking for Crude to rise towards $130-190 and pull up the US CPI towards 4.6% and the US10Yr Yield to 5.4% by Jan-27. This view has clearly gone wrong with Brent falling sharply below $90 as a result of the US-Iran peace deal, which is the .... Read More

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