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April ' 25 GOI Report

In our 17-Mar-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.69%) we said that the RBI could cut the Repo by 25bp in its 09-Apr meeting (tomorrow) but given the chances that the CPI could rise again further rate cuts after Apr-25 would be uncertain. As such we said we expect a gradual rise in the 10Yr GOI from 6.60% towards 6.80%-7.0%. However, the 10Yr GOI has already broken well below 6.60%. Trump has unleashed his reciprocal tariffs on the world and at the same time OPEC has announced production increases. Both together have contributed to Brent breaking well below $68.

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July '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

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July '25 Quarterly Forecast

Our July '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

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July'25 EURUSD Report

The Dollar Index has high chances of rebounding from support at 96, in which case, it could limit the immediate upside for Euro and lead to a decline in the coming months ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

July'25 USDJPY Report

In our 07-Jun-25 report (USDJPY 144.90), we expected the pair to extend the fall to 138-136 initially before ascending towards 150 in the longer run. Contrary to expectation, the pair ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

July'25 GOI Report

In our 05-Jun-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.25%) we said that the 10Yr GOI downside is limited to 6.0% from where it can rise towards 6.5%. In line with that, although the 10Yr GOI dipped ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'25 Crude Oil Report

Our August 2025 Crude Oil Monthly Report covers updates on OPEC+ production, inventory changes and cross-commodity correlations. Our analysis includes both technical setups and broader market indicators shaping the near-term outlook for Brent. ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug '25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (28-Jun-25, UST10Yr 4.28%) we had highlighted the stagflation dilemma faced by the US FED (which still remains); had said that the Inflation Expectation could rise (it did indeed rise); that Inflation is .... Read More

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