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April ' 25 GOI Report

In our 17-Mar-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.69%) we said that the RBI could cut the Repo by 25bp in its 09-Apr meeting (tomorrow) but given the chances that the CPI could rise again further rate cuts after Apr-25 would be uncertain. As such we said we expect a gradual rise in the 10Yr GOI from 6.60% towards 6.80%-7.0%. However, the 10Yr GOI has already broken well below 6.60%. Trump has unleashed his reciprocal tariffs on the world and at the same time OPEC has announced production increases. Both together have contributed to Brent breaking well below $68.

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July '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

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July '25 Quarterly Forecast

Our July '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

July'25 EURUSD Report

The Dollar Index has high chances of rebounding from support at 96, in which case, it could limit the immediate upside for Euro and lead to a decline in the coming months ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'25 USDJPY Report

In our 09-Jul-25 report (USDJPY 146.81), an initial rise to 150-152 was expected, followed by a fall to 144.50-143.50 before eventually rallying towards 155 in the long term. As anticipated, the USDJPY observed ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Aug'25 GOI Report

In our 10-Jul-25 report (10Yr GOI 6.38%) we said that Crude might have bottomed and could rise towards $82 (in the long term), limiting the downside for inflation ... Read More

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Aug'25 Crude Oil Report

Our August 2025 Crude Oil Monthly Report covers updates on OPEC+ production, inventory changes and cross-commodity correlations. Our analysis includes both technical setups and broader market indicators shaping the near-term outlook for Brent. ... Read More

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Aug '25 US Treasury Report

In our last report (28-Jun-25, UST10Yr 4.28%) we had highlighted the stagflation dilemma faced by the US FED (which still remains); had said that the Inflation Expectation could rise (it did indeed rise); that Inflation is .... Read More

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