Kshitij Crude Oil Forecast - Kshitij.com
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Crude Oil Forecast
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Overview
The Kshitij Crude Oil Forecast takes a deep look at Technical and Fundamental Factors driving Global Crude Oil prices, and provides a macro view for the next 2 to 4 quarters.

Following are few of the charts we analyze in these Reports:
  • Technical Price Charts of Brent, WTI, Crude/Gold, Brent-WTI spread
  • Backwardation / Contango in Crude futures
  • Changes of Positioning in Crude Derivatives (CFTC)
  • Global Crude Demand-Supply Balance (as per OPEC, EIA & IEA)
  • Change in US Crude Inventories & Global Production Levels
We have also introduced a “Data View” section for our readers to stay updated on vital data points from the world of Crude Oil.
Crude Report

April ' 25 Crude Report

Brent has been narrowing its trade range since Oct-23, keeping its bottom floored near $67/68 region. Will the Mar-25 low of $68.33 hold and help the crude prices to move up to the higher end of the range in the coming months? Or will global scenario impact crude and force it to break below the $68/67 floor?

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Crude Report

March ' 25 Crude Report

Crude is headed towards the lower end of the sideways range. Will the range continue to hold and push the crude prices up with a limited downside in the near term? Or can prices break below the support levels and establish any fresh lows in the coming months?

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Crude Report

February ' 25 Crude Report

In our last report (10-Jan-25, Brent $76.95), we expected Brent to remain between $80-60 region with an initial test of $80 in Jan-25 itself before falling to $60 by Jun-25. Thereafter the price was expected to rise slowly in the second half of the year. Brent rose to a high of $82.63, past our Range Top of $80, but has fallen back below $80 from there.

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Crude Report

January ' 25 Crude Report

With the US economic data strong and stable, the earlier expected US slowdown has not played out, resulting in the crude price trading higher while above $70 (Brent). While there is uncertainty in the long-term direction for crude, as long as it stays within the range of $67-80 (Brent), we have kept our earlier forecasts intact this month. Supply from the OPEC countries is also likely to remain tight for the next couple of months. Additionally, a rising Dollar could keep the crude at the higher end of its sideways range for now.

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Crude Report

December ' 24 Crude Report

With recent US economic data coming out strong, there has been reduced chances for an immediate economic slowdown in the US. Will this reduce chances of a decline in the crude prices and continue to keep it ranged? Or can there still be a significant movement in crude in the coming months?

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For subscribers in India
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For subscribers elsewhere
Crude Report

November ' 24 Crude Report

In our Oct-24 report (3-Oct-24, Brent $74.98), we had expected Brent to trade within $80-60 in the coming months. We had laid out a possibility of downside extension to $55-50 in case of a US recession in the Jan-Mar’25 quarter. Else a shallow recession or slowdown could limit the downside to $60. Brent remained above the Sep-24 low of $68.68 through Oct-24 trading within the broad $81.16-69.91 region, in line with our broader mentioned range of $80-60.



April '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr '25 Quarterly Forecast
Our April '25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
April'25 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr'25 EURUSD Report
Admist Global trade tariff announcements, market volatility ECB rate cut expectations and economic growth concerns will the Euro manage to hold below the immediate resistance near 1.12? Or will the global scenario force the Euro to surge beyond 1.12? ...Read More
April'25 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr'25 Crude Oil Report
Brent has been narrowing its trade range since Oct-23, keeping its bottom floored near $67/68 region. Will the Mar-25 low of $68.33 hold and help the crude prices to move up to the higher end of the range in the coming months? Or will global scenario impact crude and force it to break below the $68/67 floor? ... Read More
April '25 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr '25 US Treasury Report
In line with expectations in our last report (07-Mar-25, UST10Yr 4.27%), Yields have come down across the Curve. Although the Citi Surprise Index moving up during the month, the economic data has been mixed. While the IIP, Capacity Utilisation and Retail Sales have risen by varying .... Read More
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