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September ' 24 US Treasury Report

In our Aug-24 report (31-Jul-24, US10Yr @ 4.14%), we were looking for the US10Yr to consolidated between 4.1-4.4% in August, before falling to 4.0-3.8% by Sep-Oct. As it turns out, there was no consolidation in August and the 10Yr has already fallen to 3.8%. The 2Yr has also fallen below 4% and the 10-2Yr Spread (-0.03%) hovers just below 0%. Powell has signalled a rate cut in September as the Unemployment Rate has risen to 4.3% and is now in the FED’s radar, more than Inflation. The market is grappling with the questions of recession – when it will kick in, how long and deep it will be etc.

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October '24 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct '24 Quarterly Forecast

Our October '24 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

October '24 EURUSD Report

With the EU and US Inflation rates almost reaching the 2% target, will inflation continue to fall? Will the ECB cut rates it its upcoming policy rates next week? Does Euro have more room to fall? Or will it rise back from 1.09 itself? ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'24 Crude Oil Report

Brent fell sharply to test $68.68 in Sep-24 and rose sharply to $76.14 on 2nd October 2024 on an escalation of tensions in the Middle East. Where will the price move next? Will it sustain above $70 and move higher or will it fall back below $70 towards $65/60? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct '24 US Treasury Report

Since our Sep-24 report (29-Aug-24, US10Yr @ 3.84%), Crude (WTI $68.22) has remained below earlier support now resistance; Inflation is mixed (PCE down a bit from 2.65% to 2.37% but Core PCE up a bit to 2.82% to 2.86%); surprisingly Unemployment has inched lower .... Read More

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