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March ' 24 US Treasury Report

In our last report (26-Jan-24, US10Yr @ 4.14%), we had suggested that the rise in Yields since 2020 could be like the one seen in 1967-1972, with more upside possible in the long term going into 2025. Within that we also said that the fall in US10Yr since 5.01% (Oct-23)could be an A-B-C correction. Within that, again, the immediate ongoing rally from 3.82% (28-Dec) could be the B-leg which might extend up to 4.5% and thereafter the C-leg (yet to commence) can target 3.5%. The relation between CPI and WTI Y/Y% was highlighted. The Crude outlook for the next 12 months was shared. Since then, Yields have actually moved up further in line with the near term expectations. The FOMC kept rates unchanged on 31-Jan. Economic data has been mixed.

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Apr '24 Quarterly Forecast

Our April '24 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

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Apr '24 EURUSD Report

Euro could not move above 1.0981 in March and has been trading well below 1.10 post the surprise rate cut by SNB last month. Will Euro continue to trade below 1.10? Or can it remain stable for a while and show a sharp breakout above 1.10? ...Read More

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Apr'24 Crude Oil Report

After breaking above the earlier range of $70-85, Brent has moved up higher. Will it sustain and break above $90? Or will it fall back to $80/70? Find detailed analysis with 12-month numerical projections for Brent in the April 24 Monthly Crude report. ... Read More

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May '24 US Treasury Report

In our last report (26-Mar-24, US10Yr @ 4.25%), we were looking for the US10Yr to fall towards 3.8-3.5%, based on expectations of a fall in Crude and softer US data. However, we were wrong on both counts as .... Read More

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