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June ' 23 US Treasury Report

In our Apr-23 report (27-Mar-23, US10Yr @ 3.44%) we had said that (A) the FED’s 2% inflation target is an arbitrary number which was possibly based on the benign post-1980 world of economic co-operation and declining inflation and that (B) it would seem difficult for CPI to keep coming down towards the Fed’s targets of 3.3% (2023), 2.5% (2024) and 2.1% (2025).It is good to see our view being echoed by marquee names like Mohamed A. El-Erian and Gita Gopinath, First MD of IMF.

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Apr '24 Quarterly Forecast

Our April '24 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

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Apr '24 EURUSD Report

Euro could not move above 1.0981 in March and has been trading well below 1.10 post the surprise rate cut by SNB last month. Will Euro continue to trade below 1.10? Or can it remain stable for a while and show a sharp breakout above 1.10? ...Read More

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Apr'24 Crude Oil Report

After breaking above the earlier range of $70-85, Brent has moved up higher. Will it sustain and break above $90? Or will it fall back to $80/70? Find detailed analysis with 12-month numerical projections for Brent in the April 24 Monthly Crude report. ... Read More

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Apr '24 US Treasury Report

In our last report (23-Feb-24, US10Yr @ 4.25%), we had laid out our near term view (that the ongoing rise in the US10Yr may/ may not extend up to 4.5%), our medium term view (that the US10Yr can still fall to 3.5%) and our long term view of a rise towards 5.0% and higher going into 2025. .... Read More

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